Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:144     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUDGE BOY PALACE 2 2 2nk 1nk   11 1¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 0.80 35% 1.80 0.20 W
TARAASHOQ 3 4 5 5   3 2¾ (ramos mig)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 7.20 P
NEVER FOR SPEIGHT 5 5 3 31   21 3 (bourne j)LARROSA G 121 10.00 40.20  
GREYSHOTT 1 1 1nk 2nk   4 413¾ (yovanovich don)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 7% 12.60 17.50  
IRISH MCDOUGAL 4 3 4 42   5 524¾ (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 124 4.50 6.00  
GO GO GONE 6 6 610¼ 614   6100 6100 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 121 5.00 34% 2.00 10.70  
 
CT-2   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:144     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) 3 4 1½ 14   1 1 (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 39% 1.60 1.20 W
LOST IN MANHATTAN 5 5 612½ 612½   35 2 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 1.60 16% 5.10 1.70 P
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 2 3 4 24   2 3 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 5.50  
BRUTUS 7 6 36 46   46 46 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 9% 10.70 12.50  
FIND YOUR BOAZ 6 7 715½ 715   610 5 (geris j)BATISTA A 122 30.00 57.70  
RISING PERRY 1 2 5 511½   710 613½ (butts e)LARROSA G 122 10.00 13.10  
STRETCH THE TRUTH 4 1 2½ 35   58 718 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 112 4.50 13% 6.90 12.30  
 
CT-3   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY 5 4 2½ 1½   1 1 (sanchez-salomon)ALVELO C 118 3.50 14% 6.10 1.10 W
SUGAR DADDY 1 1 4 3   3 2 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 20% 4.00 5.80 P
AUBURN MILL 4 2 1½ 2½   2 310 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 24% 3.10 1.70 S
TIP FOR TAP 6 6 3 4   45 410 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 13% 6.60 7.70  
MARK DID IT 7 7 5 56   58 510½ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 23.70  
NOVA BOY 2 3 66 7   6 615½ (figgins olli)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 15.20  
BIG DADDY D R 3 5 77 6   711 718¼ (utterback bar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 15.00 46.20  
 
CT-4   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:162     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOIRAINE 3 1 1½ 11   1½ 1 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 3.00 12% 7.10 3.80 W
MAY MAYS CASTLE 6 4 3 4   2½ 2 (casey james )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 1.40 P
I SHALLBE RELEASED 4 3 4 31   3 3 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 4.00 21% 3.80 11.90 S
HOOK THE CHAIN 2 2 55 5   45 44 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 113 5.00 5.70  
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 5 5 2½ 21   56 513¼ (meehan elizabet)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.90  
FREYA'S BLESSING 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00 7.00  
 
CT-5   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDDY BUDDY 2 1 1½ 11   13 1 (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 14% 6.20 5.00 W
ROAD PARTY 7 7 2½ 21   23 2 (grigsby antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 29% 2.40 0.90 P
JUBA BOUND 4 3 43 44   3 3 (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 1.80 24% 3.20 2.60 S
ANGELA'S ROMEO 1 2 55 5   5 47 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 11.90  
AIR MEDAL 5 5 713½ 714½   7 5 (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 20.00 47.40  
ENTRY TIME 6 4 32 3   4 613 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 12% 7.20 7.50  
SARGENT KOBE 3 6 69 6   69 713¼ (lane j)LEWIS M 108 12.00 20.30  
 
CT-6   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:162     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREJO 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 3.80  
CHROME HEIR 7 6 42 32   3 2¼ (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 36% 1.70 2.40 P
ISLAND D'LITE 5 3 21 2nk   2nk 33 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 40% 1.50 0.80 S
ONLY GET'N BETTER 8 8 6 7   57 4 (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 15.90  
BAYTOWN BEAVER 6 7 7 6   45 512¼ (mcentee paul)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 11.90  
CHET'S PACKIN HEAT 4 4 811¾ 813¾   813 623 (malgarini mawi)BATISTA A 122 30.00 56.70  
TIZNOW TIME 2 2 31 4   710½ 726 (covello a)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00 81.00  
TAKE AIM 3 5 5 5   610 831½ (jones e)CULLUM W 122 20.00 61.90  
 
CT-7   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBA GRUMP 5 4 2½ 1nk   11 1¾ (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 16% 5.40 3.70 W
COMMAND THE CAT 1 3 3 3   3 2¾ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 18% 4.60 2.40 P
BUFF'S EYE VIEW 6 7 4 4   42 32 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 3.40  
HERO'S MAN 3 1 1½ 2nk   21 43 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 2.50 17% 4.90 2.80  
OUT OF CENTS 7 6 6 5   5 5 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 19.70  
BOASTER 4 5 7 7   6 612¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 28% 2.60 5.50  
OFFICER APPEAL 2 2 5 69   79 713¾ (downie lofflin)MORALES KELVIN 120 30.00 99.80  
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 8 8 811¼ 817¼   815 817¼ (pennella m)ADAMS L 110 30.00 95.50  
 
CT-8   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AARON'S TAP 3 4 3 31   1 1 (sanderson wad)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 58% 0.70 0.90 W
EISELE 1 2 11 1nk   2 2 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 19.10  
NEVER COMPROMISE 2 1 21 2nk   3 35 (reynolds a)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.00 1.30 S
ELLIE'S LIL MAN 4 3 42 4   44 411½ (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 13% 7.00 5.10  
STEP OUT DANCING 5 5 5 512¼   515 515 (obed-letts ketu)ADAMS L 112 20.00 19.20  
SCR  FRATHOUSE MUSIC               (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
SCR  JEFFERY SCOTT               (perry lawrence )LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  LIL MR MATT               (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00    
SCR  OBANNON               (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.