Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:144     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PUDGE BOY PALACE 2 2 2nk 1nk   11 1¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 0.80 35% 1.80 0.20 W
3  TARAASHOQ 3 4 58¼ 59½   31½ 2¾ (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 ★ 7.20 P
5  NEVER FOR SPEIGHT 5 5 31½ 31   21 37¼ (bourne j)LARROSA G 121 10.00 40.20  
1  GREYSHOTT 1 1 1nk 2nk   41½ 413¾ (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 7% 12.60 17.50  
4  IRISH MCDOUGAL 4 3 41¾ 42   59½ 524¾ (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 124 4.50 ★ 6.00  
6  GO GO GONE 6 6 610¼ 614   6100 6100 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 121 5.00 34% 2.00 10.70  
 
CT-2   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:144     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JACK THE RIPPER (FR) 3 4 1½ 14   13½ 11½ (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 39% 1.60 1.20 W
5  LOST IN MANHATTAN 5 5 612½ 612½   35 21½ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 1.60 16% 5.10 1.70 P
2  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 2 3 46½ 24   23½ 34¾ (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 5.50  
7  BRUTUS 7 6 36 46   46 46 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 9% 10.70 12.50  
6  FIND YOUR BOAZ 6 7 715½ 715   610 59¾ (geris samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00 57.70  
1  RISING PERRY 1 2 59½ 511½   710 613½ (butts e)LARROSA G 122 10.00 ★ 13.10  
4  STRETCH THE TRUTH 4 1 2½ 35   58 718 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 112 4.50 13% 6.90 12.30  
 
CT-3   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY 5 4 2½ 1½   13½ 19¾ (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 118 3.50 14% 6.10 1.10 W
1  SUGAR DADDY 1 1 44½ 33½   34½ 29¾ (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 20% 4.00 5.80 P
4  AUBURN MILL 4 2 1½ 2½   23½ 310 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 24% 3.10 1.70 S
6  TIP FOR TAP 6 6 32½ 43½   45 410 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 13% 6.60 7.70  
7  MARK DID IT 7 7 55½ 56   58 510½ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 23.70  
2  NOVA BOY 2 3 66 77¼   68½ 615½ (figgins ol)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 ★ 15.20  
3  BIG DADDY D R 3 5 77 66¼   711 718¼ (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 15.00 46.20  
 
CT-4   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:162     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOIRAINE 3 1 1½ 11   1½ 12½ (runco c)LEWIS M 108 3.00 12% 7.10 3.80 W
6  MAY MAYS CASTLE 6 4 31½ 41¼   2½ 22½ (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 ★ 1.40 P
4  I SHALLBE RELEASED 4 3 41½ 31   33½ 33½ (runco c)CULLUM W 118 4.00 21% 3.80 11.90 S
2  HOOK THE CHAIN 2 2 55 56¾   45 44 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 113 5.00 5.70  
5  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 5 5 2½ 21   56 513¼ (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.90  
1  FREYA'S BLESSING 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00 ★ 7.00  
 
CT-5   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BUDDY BUDDY 2 1 1½ 11   13 12½ (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 14% 6.20 5.00 W
7  ROAD PARTY 7 7 2½ 21   23 22½ (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 29% 2.40 0.90 P
4  JUBA BOUND 4 3 43 44   33½ 35½ (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 1.80 24% 3.20 2.60 S
1  ANGELA'S ROMEO 1 2 55 55½   56½ 47 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 11.90  
5  AIR MEDAL 5 5 713½ 714½   79½ 59¾ (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 20.00 47.40  
6  ENTRY TIME 6 4 32 32½   46½ 613 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 12% 7.20 7.50  
3  SARGENT KOBE 3 6 69 69½   69 713¼ (lane j)LEWIS M 108 12.00 ★ 20.30  
 
CT-6   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:162     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREJO 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 ★ 3.80  
7  CHROME HEIR 7 6 42 32   31½ 2¼ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 36% 1.70 2.40 P
5  ISLAND D'LITE 5 3 21 2nk   2nk 33 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 40% 1.50 0.80 S
8  ONLY GET'N BETTER 8 8 67½ 78¼   57 48¼ (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 ★ 15.90  
6  BAYTOWN BEAVER 6 7 77¾ 65¾   45 512¼ (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 ★ 11.90  
4  CHET'S PACKIN HEAT 4 4 811¾ 813¾   813 623 (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 122 30.00 56.70  
2  TIZNOW TIME 2 2 31 45½   710½ 726 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00 81.00  
3  TAKE AIM 3 5 52½ 55¾   610 831½ (jones e)CULLUM W 122 20.00 61.90  
 
CT-7   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BUBBA GRUMP 5 4 2½ 1nk   11 1¾ (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 16% 5.40 3.70 W
1  COMMAND THE CAT 1 3 33½ 33½   31½ 2¾ (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 18% 4.60 2.40 P
6  BUFF'S EYE VIEW 6 7 45½ 47½   42 32 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 3.40  
3  HERO'S MAN 3 1 1½ 2nk   21 43 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 2.50 17% 4.90 2.80  
7  OUT OF CENTS 7 6 67½ 58½   52½ 53¼ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 19.70  
4  BOASTER 4 5 77¾ 79¼   68½ 612¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 28% 2.60 5.50  
2  OFFICER APPEAL 2 2 55½ 69   79 713¾ (downie loffl)MORALES KELVIN 120 30.00 ★ 99.80  
8  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 8 8 811¼ 817¼   815 817¼ (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 110 30.00 95.50  
 
CT-8   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AARON'S TAP 3 4 31½ 31   11½ 13¼ (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 58% 0.70 0.90 W
2  EISELE 1 2 11 1nk   21½ 23¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 19.10  
3  NEVER COMPROMISE 2 1 21 2nk   32½ 35 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.00 ★ 1.30 S
5  ELLIE'S LIL MAN 4 3 42 41¼   44 411½ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 13% 7.00 5.10  
9  STEP OUT DANCING 5 5 58½ 512¼   515 515 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 112 20.00 19.20  
SCR  FRATHOUSE MUSIC               (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
SCR  JEFFERY SCOTT               (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  LIL MR MATT               (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00    
SCR  OBANNON               (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.