Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYSHOTT Oct15 Oct01 Jul21     (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 7% 12.60    
2  PUDGE BOY PALACE Oct14 Sep17 Apr30 Apr07 Mar12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 0.80 35% 1.80    
3  TARAASHOQ Oct14 Aug30 Aug23 Jul01 Jan07 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.00 ★    
4  IRISH MCDOUGAL Jul30 May20       (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 124 4.50 ★    
5  NEVER FOR SPEIGHT May21 May04       (bourne j)LARROSA G 121 10.00    
6  GO GO GONE         (viands r)PELTROCHE F 121 5.00 34% 2.00    
 
CT-2   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISING PERRY Sep30 Aug27 Jul16 Jun24 May27 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 ★    
2  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Oct05 Sep23 Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
3  JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Sep29 Sep07 Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 39% 1.60    
4  STRETCH THE TRUTH Sep30 Jul21 Jun30 May28 May06 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 112 4.50 13% 6.90    
5  LOST IN MANHATTAN Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 1.60 16% 5.10    
6  FIND YOUR BOAZ Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 Jun11 May18 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
7  BRUTUS Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 9% 10.70    
 
CT-3   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR DADDY Oct19 Sep24 Aug04 Jul10 Jun11 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  NOVA BOY Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug04 Jul16 (figgins ol)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 ★    
3  BIG DADDY D R Oct05 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 15.00    
4  AUBURN MILL Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 Jul14 Jun25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
5  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Oct08 Sep11 Sep05 Aug07 Jul22 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
6  TIP FOR TAP Sep24 Jul05 May17 Apr04 Mar08 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  MARK DID IT Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul07 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00    
 
CT-4   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREYA'S BLESSING Aug19 Jul07 Jun18     (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00 ★    
2  HOOK THE CHAIN Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 113 5.00    
3  MOIRAINE Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 May13 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 3.00 12% 7.10    
4  I SHALLBE RELEASED Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 Jul07 May27 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  MAY MAYS CASTLE Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Jul30 Jul07 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 ★    
 
CT-5   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELA'S ROMEO Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 Jun30 Apr20 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
2  BUDDY BUDDY Oct14 Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  SARGENT KOBE Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 Aug27 Jun25 (lane j)LEWIS M 108 12.00 ★    
4  JUBA BOUND Oct06 Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  AIR MEDAL Oct12 Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 20.00    
6  ENTRY TIME Oct06 Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jun30 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
7  ROAD PARTY Sep30 Mar25 Feb25 Feb10   (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
CT-6   10/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREJO Oct06 Aug28 Jul24 Jul03 Jun24 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 ★    
2  TIZNOW TIME Oct06 Sep16       (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
3  TAKE AIM Oct06         (jones e)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
4  CHET'S PACKIN HEAT Oct07 Sep17       (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
5  ISLAND D'LITE Oct06 Sep16 Sep05     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
6  BAYTOWN BEAVER Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 Aug22   (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 ★    
7  CHROME HEIR Oct07 Sep17       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 36% 1.70    
8  ONLY GET'N BETTER         (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 ★    
 
CT-7   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND THE CAT Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jul08 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  OFFICER APPEAL Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 (downie loffl)MORALES KELVIN 120 30.00 ★    
3  HERO'S MAN Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 Jul15 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
4  BOASTER Aug26 Jul15 May18 Apr23 Mar19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  BUBBA GRUMP Oct08 Jul27 Jun16 Mar19 Feb17 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
6  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Oct08 Sep08 Jun04 Apr08 Mar16 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
7  OUT OF CENTS Oct08 Sep08 Jun16 May06 Mar25 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00    
8  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Oct14 Oct05 Sep07 Jul30 Jun30 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 110 30.00    
 
CT-8   10/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JEFFERY SCOTT Sep29 Jul16 Jun25 May28 May04 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 ★    
2  EISELE Sep23 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
3  NEVER COMPROMISE Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 May04 Mar31 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.00 ★    
4  AARON'S TAP Sep30 Sep09 Apr27 Mar31 Mar02 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
5  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Oct13 Sep15 Aug20 Jul17 Jun07 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  OBANNON Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  LIL MR MATT Oct18 Sep27 Jul14 Jun13 May04 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00    
SCR  FRATHOUSE MUSIC Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Apr16 Mar09 (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
9  STEP OUT DANCING Sep29 Sep07 Aug27 Aug12 Jul28 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 112 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.