Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :46       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDDY BUDDY 1 4 11     1 1 (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 121 1.80 26% 2.80 0.80 W
FANEUIL HALL 3 2 32     2 2 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 121 6.00 15.20  
GLASTONBURY 6 1 21     36 38 (roadcap laura)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50 20% 3.90 1.80 S
SPARKLING SHIRE 2 5 4     410 411½ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 5.00 4.70  
DR WILL 5 3 5     611 515 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 7% 13.30 21.90  
CHASIN CHAPIN 4 6 6     510½ 616¼ (morris neil )MARRERO CARLOS 124 10.00 7% 13.30 28.30  
SCR  BANCO MEDICI               (sparlin)NAVARRO J 121 4.00    
 
CT-2   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:223 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBIT MARS 3 4 2nk     11 13 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.00 54% 0.90 0.30 W
LADY LICIOUS 4 2 32     33 23 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 3.20 P
HURRICANE DIRECTOR 2 3 1nk     21 35 (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 15.00 18.60 S
COUNTRY MAGIC 1 5 4     43 45 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 5.50  
WHYCANTTHISBELOVE 5 1 5     57 59 (espinosa victor)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 24.40  
SCR  BET THE QUEEN               (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 1.80 17% 4.90    
 
CT-3   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:223 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMERSET BAY 7 1 21     2 1 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 26% 2.80 1.60 W
GRAND FIBER 1 4 11     1 2 (mangual mano)MORALES KELVIN 122 2.50 36% 1.80 3.80 P
SCOTTY SILVER 5 2 42     4 3 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 4.70  
GAMING JACK 3 6 56     5 4 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 2.80  
TANELEER 4 3 31     34 5 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 122 6.00 12.70  
UNNAMED SOLDIER 2 5 6     6 610½ (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 112 5.00 10% 8.60 13.30  
KAMPAI 6 7 710     712 715¼ (hillega)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 18.40  
 
CT-4   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:123     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FLICKER 5 4 3 31   1nk 1 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 1.80  
DETERMINED TRUTH 2 2 2½ 2nk   3½ 2 (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 1.10 P
NICE N' BROAD 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (rideout an)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 38% 1.60 4.80 S
LACE REVOLUTION 3 3 42 44   45 4 (shanley mark)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 19.70  
MISS CHAMITA 4 5 58 5   58 5 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 5.00 4.70  
SCR  LOLA FLO               (cash l)RAMGEET R 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
CT-5   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:15     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBANNON 3 1 12 11   11 1 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 2.90  
LEG UP 9 9 22 21   21 2 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 1.40  
REY O REYES 6 6 5 42   3 3 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 4.00 S
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 5 7 7 6   56 4 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 39% 1.60 4.20  
SALTY J J 8 8 43 32   45 5 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 16.20  
THORN OF ROSE HILL 1 3 8 87   66 6 (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 53.30  
MASTER YOO 4 5 99 9   8 78 (downie lofflin)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00 71.40  
PONTICELLO 2 2 65 76   99 811 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 29% 2.40 21.10  
FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE 7 4 3 5   77 912 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 110 15.00 71.70  
 
CT-6   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOID 3 2 1½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (meehan eliza)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 17% 5.00 2.30 W
PENGUIN PARADE 5 4 2½ 2½   2nk 2¾ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 20% 4.10 5.40 P
REMYS SHOWTIME 7 7 31 3   32 3 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 4.90 S
HOT FUDGE SONDE 6 5 52 53   5 4 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.80  
HAPPY YEARS 1 1 41 42   4 5 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 6.70  
SPANGLISH 2 3 73 6   6 64 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 11.70  
ROLL DEM BONES 4 6 6 7   712¼ 727½ (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 10.00 35.20  
 
CT-7   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:214 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG FIBER 3 5 5     3 1hd (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 1.90  
SETTLEMENT DATE 6 2 43     4 2hd (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 4.50 3.60 P
STEVETHEVANDRIVER 4 4 2nk     21 3 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00 10.30  
E J'S REVENGE 5 3 6     5 4 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 15.00 10.40  
MR TINGLES 2 6 1nk     11 5 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 25% 3.00 1.70  
MORGAN COUNTY 1 7 710¾     77 69 (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 57.00  
U ROCK IT 7 1 31     66 713 (hillega)NAVARRO J 120 6.00 9.20  
SCR  PRIMETIME JET               (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
CT-8   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:152     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUMULONIMBUS 7 9 8 34   21 1 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 1.80  
FORT ZANNA 2 6 1013¾ 910   6 2 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 15.00 39.00  
IRISH SAMURAI 4 2 5 56   5 34 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 119 1.80 23% 3.40 4.80 S
10  BALLYMENA (GB) 10 7 13 1   11 45 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 111 8.00 11% 7.90 13.20  
MAYSVILLE MISS 6 3 23 2   3 5 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 121 3.50 44% 1.30 1.30  
DALLAS 8 10 7 45   4 6 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 15.00 52.80  
WHY LEA 5 4 47 78   712¾ 720¾ (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00 12.30  
REGGAETONI 9 8 6 89   813¾ 822½ (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 19.50  
PAUL'S TRICKY TALE 1 5 910¾ 1020   918¼ 925½ (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 62.50  
LLUVIA 3 1 33 68   1022¼ 1042¾ (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 119 20.00 60.90  
SCR  MANITOULIN ISLAND               (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.