Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUDDY BUDDY Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun04 (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
2  SPARKLING SHIRE         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 5.00 ★    
3  FANEUIL HALL         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 121 6.00    
4  CHASIN CHAPIN         (morris neil )MARRERO CARLOS 124 10.00 7% 13.30    
5  DR WILL         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  BANCO MEDICI Sep27 Sep14 Aug17 Jun21 May24 (sparlin)NAVARRO J 121 4.00    
7  GLASTONBURY Sep23 Aug12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun24 (roadcap s)ACOSTA D 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
CT-2   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY MAGIC Jun23 May05 Apr14 Mar26 Feb24 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 ★    
2  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Sep28 Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 15.00 ★    
3  ORBIT MARS Sep28 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 Jun12 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  BET THE QUEEN Sep21 Sep07 Aug05 Jul18 Jun19 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 1.80 17% 4.90    
5  LADY LICIOUS Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 Jul08 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 ★    
6  WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Oct01 Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (espinosa victor)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND FIBER Sep14 Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 May12 (mangual mano)MORALES KELVIN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  UNNAMED SOLDIER Sep02 Aug18 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 112 5.00 10% 8.60    
3  GAMING JACK Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 Aug12 Jul01 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 ★    
4  TANELEER Sep22 Sep08 Aug20 Aug04 Jul21 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 122 6.00    
5  SCOTTY SILVER Sep28 Sep01 Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
6  KAMPAI         (hillega)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 ★    
7  SOMERSET BAY Oct05 Sep02 Aug18 Jul31 Jul09 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
CT-4   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE N' BROAD Sep07 Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 May20 (rideout an)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  DETERMINED TRUTH Oct01 Aug16 Jul20 Feb18 Jan29 (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 ★    
3  LACE REVOLUTION Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Jun24 Jun02 (shanley mark)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 ★    
4  MISS CHAMITA Oct01 Jul30 Jul17 Jun23 May22 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 5.00    
5  MY FLICKER Oct07 Sep05 Aug21 Aug13 Jul08 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May22 May01 (cash l)RAMGEET R 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
CT-5   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THORN OF ROSE HILL Oct05 Sep01 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 ★    
2  PONTICELLO Oct05 Sep01 Jul22 Jun09 May18 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 29% 2.40    
3  OBANNON Sep29 Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
4  MASTER YOO Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Jul07 May26 (downie lofflin)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
5  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Oct05 Sep07 Jul30 Jun30 Jun11 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
6  REY O REYES Sep21 Aug27 Jul15 Jun18 Jun09 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 ★    
7  FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE Sep22 Sep09 Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 110 15.00    
8  SALTY J J Oct05 Jul08 Jun30 Jun09 Apr28 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 ★    
9  LEG UP Sep22 Sep07 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80    
 
CT-6   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY YEARS Sep08 Aug19 Jun23 May27 Apr20 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
2  SPANGLISH Sep08 Jun16 May21 Apr16 Mar24 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 ★    
3  NOID Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jun23 May18 (meehan eliza)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  ROLL DEM BONES Aug16 Jul20 Jul09 Jun01 May13 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 10.00    
5  PENGUIN PARADE Sep08 Jul23 Jun23 May27 May05 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  HOT FUDGE SONDE Sep08 Aug06 Mar25 Feb26 Feb05 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  REMYS SHOWTIME Sep08 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 ★    
 
CT-7   10/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRIMETIME JET Sep12 Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  MORGAN COUNTY Sep09 Jul09 Jun17 May19 Apr13 (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
3  MR TINGLES Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  STRONG FIBER Oct01 Sep09 Aug25     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 ★    
5  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Sep16 Aug05 Jul04 Jun01 Apr29 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00    
6  E J'S REVENGE Sep17 Sep05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul20 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 15.00 ★    
7  SETTLEMENT DATE Sep07 Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jun18 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 4.50 ★    
8  U ROCK IT Sep04 Aug04 Jul01     (hillega)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Sep05         (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 ★    
2  FORT ZANNA Sep16 Sep03 Aug05 Jul22 May11 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
3  LLUVIA Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 119 20.00    
4  IRISH SAMURAI Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul09 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 119 1.80 23% 3.40    
5  WHY LEA Sep23 Apr23 Mar17 Feb20   (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00    
6  MAYSVILLE MISS Sep23 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  CUMULONIMBUS Aug21 Jul31 May15 Apr24 Mar27 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 ★    
8  DALLAS Oct07         (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
9  REGGAETONI Oct05         (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
10  BALLYMENA (GB) Sep30 Sep14 Jun02 May27 May04 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 111 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  MANITOULIN ISLAND Jul17         (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.