Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE 5 1 1nk 1nk   11 11¼ (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 2.20  
2  FREEDOM RIDER 2 3 41½ 31   21 21¼ (laguna hom)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 46% 1.20 2.40 P
1  CAYENNE CREEK 1 4 62¼ 41¼   43 31½ (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 13% 6.80 2.70 S
6  ELLIE'S LIL MAN 6 2 2nk 2nk   31½ 43¼ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 15% 5.60 10.50  
4  RIP THORN 4 6 3½ 51¼   55½ 512¼ (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 3.50 ★ 3.90  
3  OFFICER APPEAL 3 5 52 64¼   68½ 619¼ (downie loffli)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 ★ 17.70  
 
CT-2   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:22 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PEACEFUL WAY 4 2 11½     13 11¼ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00 11.70  
5  ONE SMART COOKIE 5 3 44     23 21¼ (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 37% 1.70 1.10 P
7  SUPER WILDCAT 7 1 33     43¼ 32¼ (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 10% 8.90 3.20 S
1  WINDSOR'S CHAMPION 1 4 21½     33 45¼ (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 ★ 11.10  
2  DON'T EATTHE APPLE 2 7 76½     56¼ 56¾ (acquilano)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 18% 4.50 3.90  
6  MINNETONKA 6 5 54½     67¼ 611 (laguna home)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 3.00 10% 9.10 6.60  
3  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT 3 6 66½     79¼ 711 (sandoval mich)CHILO JACINTO 122 10.00 40.60  
 
CT-3   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOPWATCHSONNY 1 1 1nk     1½ 12¼ (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 1.80 61% 0.60 0.90 W
5  DIAL HER 5 4 2nk     2½ 22¼ (runco c)CULLUM W 121 2.50 14% 6.10 2.30 P
3  FESSIN UP 3 6 56½     34 37 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 119 10.00 ★ 13.70 S
4  UNBRIDLED IRISH 4 2 44½     56½ 47 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 121 3.00 ★ 4.50  
2  NOBLE PRESENT 2 7 33     44½ 58½ (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 19.20  
6  PRACTICAL KITTY 6 5 78¾     69 613¾ (grullon riquel)RIOS-CONDE A 119 15.00 ★ 35.50  
7  BRINGTHEWINE 7 3 68½     710 714 (rodriguez a)RAMGEET R 119 12.00 11.70  
 
CT-4   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :471       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AT THE HALF 6 6 62¼     31½ 11¼ (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 56% 0.80 1.70 W
5  FEAR THE DIVA 4 1 1½     1½ 21¼ (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 124 1.80 ★ 1.20 P
6  SUPERSTASIA 5 4 52     65 32 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 15.60  
3  U S FUNDS 2 2 2½     2½ 42¼ (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 8% 11.90 5.20  
4  GRAM'S GAL 3 3 31     43 52½ (pennella rhe)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00 30.20  
1  SUPERSNAKE 1 5 42     54 64¼ (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 ★ 6.20  
SCR  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW               (atkins g)CECIL Y 120 5.00 ★    
 
CT-5   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:222 :472       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIENTE LA BRISA 7 1 31     3½ 12 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 121 2.00 ★ 2.20  
5  TUESDAY TOO 5 2 2½     1nk 22 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.50 19% 4.10 2.20 P
2  JUBA BABY 2 6 53½     44 32¼ (curtis f)MONTANO JOSE 121 1.80 55% 0.80 1.50 S
4  A BLONDE THING 4 7 64½     54¼ 42¾ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 10.00 ★ 17.80  
1  NORTHERN FIORE 1 4 1½     2nk 57½ (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 10.10  
3  LAURA'S GRAND 3 5 75½     65¼ 67¾ (pyke joseph)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00 ★ 30.00  
6  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL 6 3 42     710¼ 718¾ (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 51.90  
 
CT-6   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEMO DOCTOR 2 2 1nk 12   12½ 11½ (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 35% 1.80 0.50 W
7  MOTAWAAFEQ 6 6 43½ 22   22½ 21½ (ramos agosto)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 3.50 4.70  
6  CHARLIE POTATOES 5 5 68½ 66½   45½ 33 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 ★ 18.30 S
5  SHAMELESS RISK 4 3 54 44   33 44½ (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 36% 1.80 4.00  
1  KNOWHOWIKNOW 1 1 32 55½   59 512¾ (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 116 5.00 ★ 8.30  
4  WIDGET FACTORY 3 4 2nk 32½   610 620¾ (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.40  
SCR  LIQUID LOUIE               (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOODNESS GRACIOUS 6 4 11 1½   14 17¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 37% 1.70 2.80 W
5  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC 5 3 21 2½   24 27¾ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.00 17% 4.90 5.80 P
3  KARPATHIAN DREAM 3 2 42 33   37 310¾ (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 12.00 12.60  
9  YOLO CHARLOTTE 7 6 32 43½   59 411 (lyster ste)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 5% 17.20 0.50  
4  LONG LEGS LOUISE 4 7 710½ 710½   610½ 511¼ (lewis r)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 55.50  
2  CEDAR'S WISH 2 1 53 54½   49 613¼ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 21.90  
1  CEDARS BULLS EYE 1 5 64½ 64½   712½ 716¼ (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★ 58.60  
SCR  GOT ANY               (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BRASS               (runco c)CULLUM W 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
CT-8   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSIONISM 1 7 64 31½   13½ 11¼ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 26% 2.90 5.00 W
7  MARMO MOON 7 6 79 65¾   45 21¼ (walden wil)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 1.80 ★ 1.20 P
3  AMELIA'S DREAM 3 2 42 41¾   35 34¾ (runco c)CULLUM W 122 5.00 31% 2.20 6.70 S
6  VAN HOOK 6 1 11 1nk   23½ 46½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 22% 3.50 2.60  
8  APPEALING ROAD 8 5 53 55¼   610 516½ (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 12.00 31.70  
2  BEST VIRGINIA 2 4 21 2nk   817 617¾ (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★ 7.80  
5  AWESOME MOON 5 3 31 76¾   711 722½ (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 23.20  
4  VIESTE 4 8 813½ 814¾   55½ 827¼ (schiano-di)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00 73.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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