Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYENNE CREEK Aug20 Aug06 May27 Apr30 Mar02 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
2  FREEDOM RIDER Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul23 Jun23 (laguna hom)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  OFFICER APPEAL Sep29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 (downie loffli)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 ★    
4  RIP THORN Sep27 Aug31 Jul10 Jun20 May07 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 3.50 ★    
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Sep17 Aug25 Aug06 Jul14 Jun25 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50    
6  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Sep15 Aug20 Jul17 Jun07 Apr27 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
CT-2   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Sep02 Jun11 May21 Apr27 Mar26 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 ★    
2  DON'T EATTHE APPLE Sep23 Aug09 Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 (acquilano)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Sep24 Jul22 Jul17 Jun30 Jun11 (sandoval mich)CHILO JACINTO 122 10.00    
4  PEACEFUL WAY Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jun13 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
5  ONE SMART COOKIE Sep25 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  MINNETONKA Sep03 Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May21 (laguna home)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 3.00 10% 9.10    
7  SUPER WILDCAT Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
CT-3   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOPWATCHSONNY Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 Jun26   (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 1.80 61% 0.60    
2  NOBLE PRESENT Sep17 Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 Jul02 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
3  FESSIN UP Sep30 Sep14 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 119 10.00 ★    
4  UNBRIDLED IRISH Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14   (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 121 3.00 ★    
5  DIAL HER Sep14 Mar11       (runco c)CULLUM W 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  PRACTICAL KITTY Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (grullon riquel)RIOS-CONDE A 119 15.00 ★    
7  BRINGTHEWINE Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul20 (rodriguez a)RAMGEET R 119 12.00    
 
CT-4   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSNAKE Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul16 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Sep03 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Jan28 (atkins g)CECIL Y 120 5.00 ★    
3  U S FUNDS Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
4  GRAM'S GAL Sep22 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 (pennella rhe)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00    
5  FEAR THE DIVA Sep09 Jul30       (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 124 1.80 ★    
6  SUPERSTASIA Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
7  AT THE HALF Sep28 Sep04 Aug22 Aug05 Jul01 (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
CT-5   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN FIORE         (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
2  JUBA BABY Sep22         (curtis f)MONTANO JOSE 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  LAURA'S GRAND Jan26         (pyke joseph)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00 ★    
4  A BLONDE THING Sep07 Aug19       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 10.00 ★    
5  TUESDAY TOO Jul21 Jun30 Apr29 Mar10 Jan27 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
6  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
7  SIENTE LA BRISA Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 121 2.00 ★    
 
CT-6   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOWHOWIKNOW Sep05 Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun05 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 116 5.00 ★    
2  DEMO DOCTOR Sep17 Aug12 May30 Apr21 Mar26 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  LIQUID LOUIE Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 Jun22 May24 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
4  WIDGET FACTORY Sep30 Sep08 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHAMELESS RISK Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  CHARLIE POTATOES Sep07 Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr15 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 ★    
7  MOTAWAAFEQ Sep18 Jul14 Jun24 May21 Apr03 (ramos agosto)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 3.50    
 
CT-7   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDARS BULLS EYE Sep10 Jun10 May19 Apr30 Apr20 (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun24 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00    
3  KARPATHIAN DREAM Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 12.00    
4  LONG LEGS LOUISE Sep30 Sep07 Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 (lewis r)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Sep30 Sep15       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GOT ANY Sep22 Sep12 Aug19 Jul27 Jun08 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BRASS Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Apr29 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
8  GOODNESS GRACIOUS Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  YOLO CHARLOTTE Aug26 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 May25 (lyster ste)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 5% 17.20    
 
CT-8   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSIONISM Sep17 Sep02       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  BEST VIRGINIA Jul22         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★    
3  AMELIA'S DREAM Sep17 Sep02       (runco c)CULLUM W 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  VIESTE Sep23 Sep02       (schiano-di)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00    
5  AWESOME MOON Sep23 Sep02       (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
6  VAN HOOK Sep23         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  MARMO MOON Sep14 Aug14       (walden wil)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 1.80 ★    
8  APPEALING ROAD Sep23 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.