Handicappers' Racing Form
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Charles Town
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CT-1   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYENNE CREEK Aug20 Aug06 May27 Apr30 Mar02 (davis rus)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
2  FREEDOM RIDER Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul23 Jun23 (laguna homer)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  OFFICER APPEAL Sep29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 (downie lofflin)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 ★    
4  RIP THORN Sep27 Aug31 Jul10 Jun20 May07 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 3.50 ★    
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Sep17 Aug25 Aug06 Jul14 Jun25 (mangual manol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50    
6  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Sep15 Aug20 Jul17 Jun07 Apr27 (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
CT-2   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Sep02 Jun11 May21 Apr27 Mar26 (covello a)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 ★    
2  DON'T EATTHE APPLE Sep23 Aug09 Jul27 Jun28 Jun07 (acquilano j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Sep24 Jul22 Jul17 Jun30 Jun11 (sandoval michae)CHILO JACINTO 122 10.00    
4  PEACEFUL WAY Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jun13 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
5  ONE SMART COOKIE Sep25 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 (patterson ke)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  MINNETONKA Sep03 Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May21 (laguna homero)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 3.00 10% 9.10    
7  SUPER WILDCAT Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
CT-3   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOPWATCHSONNY Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 Jun26   (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 1.80 61% 0.60    
2  NOBLE PRESENT Sep17 Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 Jul02 (rodriguez angel)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
3  FESSIN UP Sep30 Sep14 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 119 10.00 ★    
4  UNBRIDLED IRISH Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14   (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 121 3.00 ★    
5  DIAL HER Sep14 Mar11       (runco c)CULLUM W 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  PRACTICAL KITTY Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (grullon riquelvi)RIOS-CONDE A 119 15.00 ★    
7  BRINGTHEWINE Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul20 (rodriguez ang)RAMGEET R 119 12.00    
 
CT-4   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSNAKE Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul16 (sandoval michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Sep03 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Jan28 (atkins g)CECIL Y 120 5.00 ★    
3  U S FUNDS Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
4  GRAM'S GAL Sep22 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 (pennella rhea )MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00    
5  FEAR THE DIVA Sep09 Jul30       (covello a)RIOS-CONDE A 124 1.80 ★    
6  SUPERSTASIA Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 (rangel ricard)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
7  AT THE HALF Sep28 Sep04 Aug22 Aug05 Jul01 (scott lloyd )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
CT-5   10/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN FIORE         (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
2  JUBA BABY Sep22         (curtis f)MONTANO JOSE 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  LAURA'S GRAND Jan26         (pyke joseph)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00 ★    
4  A BLONDE THING Sep07 Aug19       (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 10.00 ★    
5  TUESDAY TOO Jul21 Jun30 Apr29 Mar10 Jan27 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
6  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
7  SIENTE LA BRISA Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 (stehr joseph )RAMGEET R 121 2.00 ★    
 
CT-6   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOWHOWIKNOW Sep05 Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun05 (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 116 5.00 ★    
2  DEMO DOCTOR Sep17 Aug12 May30 Apr21 Mar26 (klesaris robe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  LIQUID LOUIE Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 Jun22 May24 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
4  WIDGET FACTORY Sep30 Sep08 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHAMELESS RISK Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  CHARLIE POTATOES Sep07 Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr15 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 ★    
7  MOTAWAAFEQ Sep18 Jul14 Jun24 May21 Apr03 (ramos m)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 3.50    
 
CT-7   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDARS BULLS EYE Sep10 Jun10 May19 Apr30 Apr20 (grams c)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun24 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00    
3  KARPATHIAN DREAM Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 12.00    
4  LONG LEGS LOUISE Sep30 Sep07 Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 (lewis r)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Sep30 Sep15       (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GOT ANY Sep22 Sep12 Aug19 Jul27 Jun08 (pearson michael )RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BRASS Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Apr29 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
8  GOODNESS GRACIOUS Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  YOLO CHARLOTTE Aug26 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 May25 (lyster steph)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 5% 17.20    
 
CT-8   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSIONISM Sep17 Sep02       (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  BEST VIRGINIA Jul22         (contreras javie)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★    
3  AMELIA'S DREAM Sep17 Sep02       (runco c)CULLUM W 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  VIESTE Sep23 Sep02       (schiano-dico)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00    
5  AWESOME MOON Sep23 Sep02       (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
6  VAN HOOK Sep23         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  MARMO MOON Sep14 Aug14       (walden willi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 1.80 ★    
8  APPEALING ROAD Sep23 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.