Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:15     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S MALIBU 6 5 4 3½   2nk 1 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 65% 0.50 0.40 W
POLITICAL DECISION 2 1 11 1nk   1nk 2 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 8.00 15.10 P
SCHOOLYARD BULLY 1 2 6 65   6 36 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00 16.90 S
GOLD GUY 4 4 5 54   5 4 (butts mike )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 8.20  
GOT FLOFFY 5 3 21 2nk   3 5 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 3.80  
BELMULLET 3 6 31 4   43 614½ (runco c)LEWIS M 112 4.50 8% 11.70 11.10  
 
CT-2   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:163 1:431   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H P BIG HOPE 6 3 11 11 1½ 16 1 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 36% 1.80 0.50 W
RIGHTEOUS MAN 1 2 7 711 7 6 2 (kirlew lenwort)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 11% 8.20 5.40 P
LUFTY'S KISSES 5 7 67 610 5 37 38 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 4.50 21% 3.90 10.90 S
MAKE WAY 7 4 21 21 2½ 26 4 (barber donal)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 8% 10.90 3.70  
PRINCIPALITY 4 6 56 4 34 58 510 (serey jr)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 24.20  
GABBYS BIG NOTION 3 5 35 35 4 47 610¾ (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 15.60  
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR 2 1 45 59 6 79 712¼ (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 35.70  
 
CT-3   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT STOP MAN 5 1 1 12   15 15 (frock charles )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00 3.70  
INDIANA RED 9 8 5 34   25 25 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 15% 5.70 2.40 P
POINT OF GRACE 7 9 86 5   4 37 (cooney susan)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 4.80  
GHOST ON A MISSION 1 3 4 46   5 49 (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
URBAN WARRIOR 6 5 2 22   36 5 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
BATTLE OF MEMPHIS (IRE) 2 7 9 89   610 614¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 59% 0.70 2.20  
DIVINE PROPORTION 3 4 7 911   711 719¾ (butts mike )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 51.40  
LUNAR IMAGE 4 2 6 78   812 819¾ (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 20.00 73.00  
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS 8 6 3 67   921 942½ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 40.40  
SCR  CALLYOURIGHTBACK               (serey jr)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLONDER               (bass curt)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 10.00    
 
CT-4   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:223 :48       :55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY PINK 1 7 1nk     1nk 1½ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 41% 1.50 5.50 W
GREAT DEVOTION 2 5 3.2     2nk 2½ (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 17% 4.80 1.40 P
FESSIN UP 6 4 5     4 3 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 121 3.00 14% 6.00 3.70 S
BLUE BONNIE 5 3 2nk     3½ 4 (gregory e)RIOS-CONDE A 121 4.50 3.70  
NOBLE PRESENT 8 1 4     5 5 (rodriguez angel)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 6.70  
PRACTICAL KITTY 3 8 610¾     67 6 (grullon riquelv)THORPE DARIUS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
GOLD DOLL 4 6 816¾     813½ 713 (campbell jayson)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00 42.80  
NANNY'S MISSION 7 2 711¾     7 814½ (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00 36.60  
 
CT-5   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:22 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUKULKAN (MEX) 3 4 3     32 1½ (ramos agost)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 29.70  
HEY CONGRATS 2 6 2nk     1½ 2½ (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50 28% 2.60 2.50 P
MOSS BOSS 6 2 6     56 3 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 7% 13.20 3.80 S
SHACKLEFORDS STORM 1 5 5     43 4 (ginter jr)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 12.50  
BULL SHARK 5 3 1nk     2½ 5 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 1.80  
CONFUSION BABY BOY 7 1 7     7 6 (frock a)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 6.90  
IMPETUOUS 4 7 42     67 78 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 15% 5.50 6.60  
 
CT-6   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:222 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING A LULLABYE 9 1 1nk     13 13 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 11% 7.90 0.30 W
XANTHE 6 4 3     3 23 (moschonas gerasim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 9.00  
CASTLE TOY 7 2 2nk     23 3 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 29.80  
PATTI BLUE EYES 8 3 4     4 49 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 55% 0.80 3.50  
GOLDEN SALLY 5 5 5     5 510½ (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 10.00 34.70  
NO DENYING DENIS 2 8 715¾     614 614 (casey james)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 19.80  
WISHING FOR SPRING 1 9 615½     717 721¼ (casey james )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
XPOSED SECRET 4 6 816¾     825 831¼ (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 5% 19.00 64.00  
XALTINGRUN 3 7 922¼     931 935¾ (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00 61.60  
 
CT-7   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:221 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANHATTAN WEAVE 2 5 21     11 14 (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 1.60 19% 4.20 1.10 W
CATS DIAMOND BOY 1 6 11     21 24 (rangel ricard)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 2.50 17% 4.70 2.80 P
BEAR'S ESTATE 5 4 42     44 3 (knoblauch-perez )RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 57.70  
TALKING TEDDY 6 1 32     34 46 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00 16% 5.40 13.10  
THUNDERINREADYRICK 4 7 6     57 5 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 2.70  
ROCKING TO HOME 7 3 7     79 6 (obed-letts keturah )CECIL Y 118 20.00 38.50  
IN HIGH GEAR 3 2 53     6 710 (mcdonald timot)BATISTA A 124 3.50 16% 5.30 8.10  
 
CT-8   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:131     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR ON FIRE 7 5 1 1   1 1 (magee kieron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50 61% 0.60 1.00 W
FINAL SAY 2 2 5 49   3 2 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 6% 16.70 8.90 P
10  SUBJECT TO CHANGE 9 7 2 2   2 3 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 12% 7.70 1.80 S
TIZ AUCTION TIME 5 1 3 39   510½ 4 (utterback bar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 45.00  
SUNMAN 6 6 810 816¾   612½ 5 (pickett crystal)THORPE DARIUS 122 30.00 5% 19.00 54.90  
AMEN CORNER 3 4 46 5   4 6 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
ROCK FILE 1 9 915 919¾   715 712¾ (o'neill m)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 48.00  
SOUTHERN SAVIOUR 4 3 78 716¾   815½ 818¾ (schottroffe edw)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 26.80  
SONDE ST BLUES 8 8 67 615¾   931½ 942½ (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 40.30  
SCR  ALPHA QUEUE               (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.