Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCHOOLYARD BULLY Oct07 Aug11 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  POLITICAL DECISION Oct07 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul29 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 8.00 ★    
3  BELMULLET Sep30 Sep15 Jul09 May05 Mar04 (runco c)LEWIS M 112 4.50 8% 11.70    
4  GOLD GUY Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Aug05 Jun26 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
5  GOT FLOFFY Oct07 Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 Aug13 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 ★    
6  CURLIN'S MALIBU Sep16 Sep05 Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 65% 0.50    
 
CT-2   10/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTEOUS MAN Sep21 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
2  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Oct05 Sep08 Aug27 Aug18 Jul07 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 ★    
3  GABBYS BIG NOTION Sep29 Sep08 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
4  PRINCIPALITY Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 Aug18 Jun30 (serey j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
5  LUFTY'S KISSES Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Aug06 Jul01 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 4.50 21% 3.90    
6  H P BIG HOPE Oct05 Sep05 Jul16     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 36% 1.80    
7  MAKE WAY Sep29 Aug27 Jul29 Jul22 Jun25 (barber don)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
 
CT-3   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST ON A MISSION Sep29 Aug19 Jul23 Jun03 May11 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BATTLE OF MEMPHIS (IRE) Aug31 Aug10 Jul11 Jun18 Jan16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 59% 0.70    
3  DIVINE PROPORTION Sep29 Sep14 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
4  LUNAR IMAGE Oct05 Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 20.00    
5  PIT STOP MAN Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
6  URBAN WARRIOR Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug12 Jul30 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  POINT OF GRACE Sep25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jul11 (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
8  DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Sep29 Aug28 Aug12 Jul21 Jul09 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
9  INDIANA RED Oct07 Apr23 Mar19 Mar04 Feb10 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  PLONDER Oct05 Jul16 Jun09 May14 May07 (bass cu)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 10.00    
SCR  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Oct14 Sep23 Sep17 Sep05 Aug28 (serey j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY PINK Jul29 Jun17 May06 Apr07 Mar06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 41% 1.50    
2  GREAT DEVOTION Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  PRACTICAL KITTY Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 (grullon rique)THORPE DARIUS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLD DOLL Oct11 Sep23       (campbell jayso)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00    
5  BLUE BONNIE Oct05 Sep05 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (gregory george)RIOS-CONDE A 121 4.50    
6  FESSIN UP Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 Aug13 Jul23 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 121 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  NANNY'S MISSION Mar30         (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00 ★    
8  NOBLE PRESENT Oct13 Sep17 Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00    
 
CT-5   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACKLEFORDS STORM Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul06 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
2  HEY CONGRATS Sep29 Sep22 Aug11 Jul28 Jun25 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  KUKULKAN (MEX) Sep22 Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
4  IMPETUOUS Sep30 Aug12 Jul15 Jun09 May26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  BULL SHARK Sep29 Aug20 Jul28 May20 May12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  MOSS BOSS Sep08 Jul08 Jun16 May25 Apr20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 7% 13.20    
7  CONFUSION BABY BOY Sep25 Sep04 Aug28 Aug05 Jul22 (frock charles)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 ★    
 
CT-6   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING FOR SPRING         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  NO DENYING DENIS         (casey jam)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
3  XALTINGRUN         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  XPOSED SECRET         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN SALLY Sep15 Sep02       (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 10.00    
6  XANTHE Sep23         (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
7  CASTLE TOY Oct06 Sep23       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
8  PATTI BLUE EYES Sep23 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
9  SING A LULLABYE Oct06 Sep23 Sep02     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 11% 7.90    
 
CT-7   10/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS DIAMOND BOY Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jul09 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 2.50 17% 4.70    
2  MANHATTAN WEAVE Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jun30 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 1.60 19% 4.20    
3  IN HIGH GEAR Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 Jun30 May04 (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  THUNDERINREADYRICK Sep30 Aug11 Jul30 Jun18 May21 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 ★    
5  BEAR'S ESTATE Sep30 Jul09       (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
6  TALKING TEDDY Apr29 Apr16 Mar25 Mar02 Feb17 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00 16% 5.40    
7  ROCKING TO HOME Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (obed-letts ketura)CECIL Y 118 20.00    
 
CT-8   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK FILE Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 Jun09 (o'neill tonya)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
2  FINAL SAY Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 Jun25 May28 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 6% 16.70    
3  AMEN CORNER Sep28 Sep02 Jul08 Jun24 Apr21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Sep30 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 (schottroffe e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
5  TIZ AUCTION TIME Sep08 Aug18 Jul18 Jul07 Jun17 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
SCR  ALPHA QUEUE Oct08 Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 Jun25 (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
7  SUNMAN Sep09 Aug19 Jun09 May27 May14 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  AIR ON FIRE Sep28 Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
9  SONDE ST BLUES Aug03 Jul26 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
10  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 May19 Apr21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 12% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.