The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - December 03, 2022

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MVR-1   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
:24 :481 1:134 1:272   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMIC TREASURE 2 1 1 1 1 13 1(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 1.80 60% 0.70 0.40 W
DEBDURITE 5 3 32 2 2 23 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00 11% 8.10 4.50 P
AMERICAN FLEET 4 2 5 5 4 45 3(castillo jabdiel)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00 17.20  
ADANO 3 5 2 3 3 35 4(faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 11.10  
KING OF THE RING 6 7 6 6 5 5511¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 126 2.50 6% 16.30 8.30  
JUSTENUFFTUFF 7 4 44 43 68 6615¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 126 8.00 10.00  
PRECIOUS JULES 1 6 710½ 713¼ 720 717½ 725½ (crumley jevon)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 35.40  
 
MVR-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
:224 :463 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURRY SPUR 2 5 45 5   4¾ 1¾ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 16.00  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 5 2 56 43   52¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5.50 P
CLASSIC MO 6 1 33 3   2nk 3(skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 3.50 16% 5.40 3.00 S
ROYAL'D 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 4(sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.50  
WAPAKONETA PHIL 3 3 2nk 2nk   3½ 5(huffman m)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 23% 3.30 2.30  
WEST LEONARD 4 6 69 6   6616½ (johnson l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 13.50  
 
MVR-3   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:11
:23 :47 1:011     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTROD BOBBY 5 4 34 36   31(dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 2.50 15% 5.80 0.80 W
SLICK EDDIE 6 1 46 410   45 2(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 5.20 P
CAVALETTO 4 5 24 24   24 33 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 2.00 54% 0.90 3.30 S
BAD BOY BOOGIE 1 2 14 14   14 4(huffman m)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 6% 16.70 5.70  
HARSH TRUTH 2 7 818 823½   717 5(skerrett jeffrey)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 46.60  
PALACE TEMPTATION 8 3 612½ 619   513 6(faulkner c)VELEZ J 122 15.00 49.20  
MOONLIGHT MEISTER 3 8 716 722   613½ 79 (faulkner c)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 30.20  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 7 6 5 517   821 837¼ (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
 
MVR-4   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:242 :484 1:144 1:431   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG FRANK 3 4 43 4 31 1nk 1(pappada a)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.20 W
STOP MAKING SENSE 8 2 32 21 2nk 2nk 2(overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 15.90  
VALHALLA AIR BASE 2 1 2 3 4 43(zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 6.00 S
SOUPER PRONTO 4 3 1 11 1nk 3.2 4(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 123 3.00 3.20  
MINE NOT MINE 1 6 66 6 5 5513¼ (clouston edward)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00  
EASTON ROCKS 6 8 810 77 7 6615¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 20.00 23.80  
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 7 5 55 5 6 714¼ 746 (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 5% 19.00 48.10  
LEND AMERICA 5 7 7 87 813¼ 828¼ 873¼ (radosevich s)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 11.80  
 
MVR-5   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
:24 :482 1:134 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISON KARTER 6 6 53 3 1½ 14 1(estvanko richard)BRACHO A 124 3.50 30% 2.30 1.90 W
JUSTIN'S QUEST 1 3 6 6 3 34 2(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 31% 2.20 4.60 P
10  UNCAPTURED PULSE 8 5 1½ 11 2½ 24 311½ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 21.10  
BOURBON WISDOM 2 2 7 8 6 6412 (skerrett jeffrey)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 5.50  
PATIO PARTY 7 4 2½ 21 4 45 512¼ (galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00 16.60  
CANDY KINGDOM 4 9 10 10 9 7612¾ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 53.80  
NOT YET CHARLIE 5 7 43 5 8 5712¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 6.00 10.10  
11  HIATUS 9 8 3 4 5 8818½ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 8.00  
12  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 10 10 98 9 7 9922 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 124 10.00 9.90  
OWN THE TOWN 3 1 8 7 10 1011¾ 1028½ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 16% 5.10 6.10  
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER               (zielinski richard)STANLEY O 124 20.00    
SCR  OPEN OUT               (londono j)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:35
:231 :48 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 2 11 11   12 1(faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 118 3.00 3.40  
EXPRESS FASHION 4 4 52 21   22 2(gorham m)CORREA L 118 6.00 10% 9.20 17.60 P
NEAR PERFECT 5 1 4 4   32 3(gorham m)DIAZ I 118 2.50 1.20 S
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 3 5 21 31   43 4(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.20 55% 0.80 1.50  
FACTISIMFLASHY 2 3 31 5   59 514 (chapman k)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 8.00 7.60  
 
MVR-7   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:234 :473 1:132 1:414   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BIG TRUCK 11 9 94 8 4 2nk 12 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 32% 2.10 1.90 W
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 8 11 73 7 5 3.2 22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00 15.30  
ROMANTIC COWBOY 7 3 11 11 1 1nk 3(mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 10% 9.10 8.10 S
MOBIL SOLUTION 3 2 104 95 8 64(skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9.40  
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 1 5 5 31 2 4¾ 56 (mcdonald james)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 18% 4.50 3.80  
MANGA MAN 5 12 128 129 12 106(guciardo robert)VELEZ J 118 10.00 13.20  
RELISH THE RIDE 6 6 4 4 3 74 7(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 12% 7.10 5.60  
SHANGHAI PRINCE 4 7 116 105 7 58(cline c)ROSARIO L 116 20.00 36.60  
10  HITE 10 10 8 11 116 84 910 (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 115 15.00 52.90  
12  SPEEDY MOBILE 12 8 6 5 9 111015¼ (zielinski richard)STANLEY O 117 10.00 21.20  
PAT'S KARMA 9 1 21 21 6 121122 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 116 15.00 12.60  
POWERFUL PHIL 2 4 31 6 105 91228¼ (morales m)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 20.00 39.90  
 
MVR-8   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
:223 :464 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS TURN 7 3 1nk 12   11(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 35% 1.90 1.10 W
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 2 6 6 47   22(faulkner c)DIAZ I 123 12.00 5.90  
SOMUCHSUGAR 3 5 3 35   335 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 4.00 26% 2.80 3.10 S
MOBIL CHIC 5 8 7 6   44(zielinski richard)STANLEY O 124 5.00 16% 5.40 10.00  
CROSSED UP 4 9 910¾ 910¾   6510 (evans ii)BRACHO A 123 10.00 14.60  
THE LAST APPLE 8 1 44 57   7610½ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 7.60  
CONSECUTIVE RUN 1 7 8 810½   58 712½ (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 41.50  
HOSANNA 6 4 55 7   8813½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 18.60  
CLIFTONS BALLERINA 9 2 2nk 22   913¾ 928 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 20.00 50.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.