Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134 1:272   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COSMIC TREASURE 2 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 13 13½ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 1.80 60% 0.70 0.40 W
5  DEBDURITE 5 3 32 21½ 21½ 23 23½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00 11% 8.10 4.50 P
4  AMERICAN FLEET 4 2 54½ 53¼ 47½ 45 38½ (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00 17.20  
3  ADANO 3 5 21½ 31½ 36½ 35 49¼ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 ★ 11.10  
6  KING OF THE RING 6 7 69½ 67¼ 57½ 57½ 511¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 126 2.50 6% 16.30 8.30  
7  JUSTENUFFTUFF 7 4 44 43 68 69½ 615¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 126 8.00 ★ 10.00  
1  PRECIOUS JULES 1 6 710½ 713¼ 720 717½ 725½ (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 35.40  
 
MVR-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MURRY SPUR 2 5 45 53¼   4¾ 1¾ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 ★ 16.00  
5  SHOW SLIDING HOME 5 2 56 43   51¼ 2¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 5.50 P
6  CLASSIC MO 6 1 33 31½   2nk 32¾ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 3.50 16% 5.40 3.00 S
1  ROYAL'D 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 46¾ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.50  
3  WAPAKONETA PHIL 3 3 2nk 2nk   3½ 57½ (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 23% 3.30 2.30  
4  WEST LEONARD 4 6 69 68¼   67¼ 616½ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 13.50  
 
MVR-3   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:011     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOTROD BOBBY 5 4 34 36   34½ 11¾ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 2.50 15% 5.80 0.80 W
6  SLICK EDDIE 6 1 46 410   45 21¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 ★ 5.20 P
4  CAVALETTO 4 5 24 24   24 33 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 2.00 54% 0.90 3.30 S
1  BAD BOY BOOGIE 1 2 14 14   14 46¾ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 6% 16.70 5.70  
2  HARSH TRUTH 2 7 818 823½   717 57¾ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 46.60  
8  PALACE TEMPTATION 8 3 612½ 619   513 68¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 122 15.00 49.20  
3  MOONLIGHT MEISTER 3 8 716 722   613½ 79 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 30.20  
7  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 7 6 59½ 517   821 837¼ (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
 
MVR-4   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144 1:431   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG FRANK 3 4 43 42½ 31 1nk 11¾ (pappada a)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.20 W
8  STOP MAKING SENSE 8 2 32 21 2nk 2nk 21¾ (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 15.90  
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE 2 1 21½ 31½ 41¼ 41¼ 31¾ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 ★ 6.00 S
4  SOUPER PRONTO 4 3 11½ 11 1nk 3.2 44¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 123 3.00 ★ 3.20  
1  MINE NOT MINE 1 6 66 64½ 55¼ 56¼ 513¼ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00  
6  EASTON ROCKS 6 8 810 77 78¼ 69¼ 615¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 20.00 23.80  
7  STAYIN OR STRAYIN 7 5 55 53½ 65¼ 714¼ 746 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 5% 19.00 48.10  
5  LEND AMERICA 5 7 78½ 87 813¼ 828¼ 873¼ (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 11.80  
 
MVR-5   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RAISON KARTER 6 6 53 31½ 1½ 14 18½ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 3.50 30% 2.30 1.90 W
1  JUSTIN'S QUEST 1 3 64½ 63¼ 31½ 34 28½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 31% 2.20 4.60 P
10  UNCAPTURED PULSE 8 5 1½ 11 2½ 24 311½ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 21.10  
4  BOURBON WISDOM 2 2 75½ 84¼ 62¾ 66¾ 412 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 5.50  
9  PATIO PARTY 7 4 2½ 21 41½ 45 512¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00 16.60  
6  CANDY KINGDOM 4 9 108¼ 105¾ 95¾ 76¾ 612¾ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 53.80  
7  NOT YET CHARLIE 5 7 43 51¾ 84¾ 56½ 712¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 6.00 ★ 10.10  
11  HIATUS 9 8 31½ 41½ 51¾ 87¾ 818½ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 ★ 8.00  
12  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 10 10 98 94¼ 72¾ 98¾ 922 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 124 10.00 9.90  
5  OWN THE TOWN 3 1 86½ 73¾ 106¼ 1011¾ 1028½ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 16% 5.10 6.10  
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER               (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 124 20.00    
SCR  OPEN OUT               (londono odi)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 2 11 11   12 11¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 118 3.00 ★ 3.40  
4  EXPRESS FASHION 4 4 52 21   22 21¾ (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 6.00 10% 9.20 17.60 P
5  NEAR PERFECT 5 1 41½ 41¼   32 32½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.50 ★ 1.20 S
3  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 3 5 21 31   43 48½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.20 55% 0.80 1.50  
2  FACTISIMFLASHY 2 3 31 55¼   59 514 (chapman jam)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 8.00 ★ 7.60  
 
MVR-7   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:132 1:414   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BIG TRUCK 11 9 94 82½ 41¾ 2nk 12 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 32% 2.10 1.90 W
8  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 8 11 73 72½ 52¼ 3.2 22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00 15.30  
7  ROMANTIC COWBOY 7 3 11 11 11½ 1nk 33½ (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 10% 9.10 8.10 S
3  MOBIL SOLUTION 3 2 104 95 83½ 63¾ 45½ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★ 9.40  
1  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 1 5 51¼ 31 21½ 4¾ 56 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 18% 4.50 3.80  
5  MANGA MAN 5 12 128 129 127½ 106½ 67¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 118 10.00 13.20  
6  RELISH THE RIDE 6 6 41¼ 41¼ 31½ 74 79¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 12% 7.10 5.60  
4  SHANGHAI PRINCE 4 7 116 105 73¼ 53¾ 89¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 116 20.00 36.60  
10  HITE 10 10 83½ 116½ 116 84 910 (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 115 15.00 52.90  
12  SPEEDY MOBILE 12 8 61½ 52¼ 93½ 116½ 1015¼ (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 117 10.00 21.20  
9  PAT'S KARMA 9 1 21 21 62¼ 127½ 1122 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 116 15.00 12.60  
2  POWERFUL PHIL 2 4 31 62¼ 105 95½ 1228¼ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 20.00 39.90  
 
MVR-8   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  QUEENS TURN 7 3 1nk 12   13½ 12½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 35% 1.90 1.10 W
2  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 2 6 67½ 47   23½ 22½ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 12.00 5.90  
3  SOMUCHSUGAR 3 5 33½ 35   33½ 35 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 4.00 26% 2.80 3.10 S
5  MOBIL CHIC 5 8 77¾ 67½   47½ 48½ (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 124 5.00 16% 5.40 10.00  
4  CROSSED UP 4 9 910¾ 910¾   68¼ 510 (evans michael)BRACHO A 123 10.00 14.60  
8  THE LAST APPLE 8 1 44 57   79¼ 610½ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 ★ 7.60  
1  CONSECUTIVE RUN 1 7 88¾ 810½   58 712½ (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 41.50  
6  HOSANNA 6 4 55 78½   89¾ 813½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 ★ 18.60  
9  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 9 2 2nk 22   913¾ 928 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 20.00 50.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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