The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
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MVR-1   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:234 :48 1:143 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SWEETER THAN HONEY 3 5 512 512½ 55 23½ 12¼ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 125 8.00 15.40  
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 3 13½ 14 12½ 13½ 22¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 24% 3.10 0.80 P
2  AMERICA'S JAZZ 2 4 23½ 24 22½ 34 37½ (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 125 4.50 ★ 11.80 S
5  I'M JAC'D 5 2 35½ 45½ 33½ 48 413½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 1.60 44% 1.30 2.10  
1  SHANGHAI ROYALTY 1 6 46 35 44 59½ 519¼ (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 6.00 11% 8.00 4.40  
4  MOTOWN HARBOR 4 1 613½ 624½ 630 634½ 639¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 ★ 29.00  
 
MVR-2   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:241 :481 1:141 1:274   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WICKED ECSTASY 7 3 21 1nk 13½ 12½ 13¼ (medina tomas)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 31% 2.20 0.50 W
5  DONNARUMMA 5 4 65 58 44 35 23¼ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 125 6.00 ★ 3.50 P
4  ASHWICKEN 4 8 77½ 69 34 22½ 34 (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 5.00 12.60  
8  IMA SURE BET 8 7 89 811¼ 69¼ 49½ 45¾ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 ★ 22.80  
6  HOT AS BLUE BLAZES 6 1 31½ 32½ 54¼ 59½ 510¼ (johnson a)JURADO EDDIE 126 3.00 46% 1.20 5.00  
2  TEST YOUR FAITH 2 5 44 46½ 79¼ 714 617½ (campbell l)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 15.00 29.30  
3  IRON WILMA 3 2 11 2nk 23½ 610 718 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★ 30.10  
1  KENTE KLARKE 1 6 55 79¼ 817¼ 834 846¼ (platt noah)TOLEDO S 125 15.00 88.90  
 
MVR-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:224 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GEHRIG 7 1 12½ 13½   16½ 18 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 126 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
6  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 6 8 88¾ 811¼   612¼ 28 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 ★ 13.50 P
1  GIO SAMMY 1 4 22½ 23½   26½ 39¼ (trevino g)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 ★ 6.20 S
4  KEYED ON TOP 4 3 33 45   48½ 39¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 7.50 DH
8  COLOMBARD 8 2 64¾ 35   36½ 510 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.30  
2  OUT FOR JUSTICE 2 5 54½ 69½   512 613 (gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 ★ 34.00  
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 6 76¼ 79¾   812½ 715 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 20.50  
5  SHARINGTHEJOURNEY 5 7 44½ 57   712¼ 818¼ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 25.60  
 
MVR-4   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:233 :474 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOUBLE EDGED 2 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 12½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 28% 2.60 2.30 W
3  CHLOES ANGEL 1 5 53 52¾   32 22½ (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 ★ 1.10 P
6  BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 2 42½ 3.2   2½ 33¾ (morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 23.00  
7  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 5 3 3½ 4¼   43½ 48¾ (atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★ 3.00  
5  PISTOL PACKIN BOS 3 1 1nk 2nk   53½ 514¾ (hurley l)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 6% 15.50 5.20  
SCR  ETTA               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
SCR  KICHI KITSU               (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-5   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:243 :491 1:144 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VISUAL MISSION 7 4 57½ 54½ 2½ 1nk 11¾ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★ 1.90  
8  SPEEDY MOBILE 8 1 11 11½ 1½ 2nk 21¾ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.80 P
5  DR. ZARNETT 5 2 46½ 43 31½ 33 35¼ (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 4.00 ★ 6.00 S
4  BIG OHIO 4 9 812½ 88 78 710¾ 412¾ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 27% 2.70 31.50  
3  STONE COLD CAT 3 6 711½ 78 88½ 510¼ 513 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 6.80  
2  PLATE IT UP 2 3 32 21½ 43½ 410 616½ (gonzalez donaciano)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 72.10  
6  DEER CREEK ROAD 6 8 610½ 67 67 610¼ 717¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 21.20  
1  JACK BE FAST 1 5 21 32 56 811¾ 824¼ (castillo jabdiel)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 ★ 7.00  
9  MOBIL AT LAST 9 7 914 910 913½ 919¾ 925 (diehl candace)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 21.10  
 
MVR-6   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:244 :49 1:144 1:273   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GULLANE 4 6 62¾ 62¾ 4¼ 13 19½ (cowans d)BRACHO A 125 2.00 9% 10.80 1.40 W
1  POT COMMITTED 1 5 31 41 61 45 29½ (faulkner c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 8.00 ★ 12.30 P
5  BLUNDER 5 2 41¼ 31 2nk 23 39½ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 125 2.50 13% 6.70 5.20 S
2  SUPER BROTHER 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 33½ 412¼ (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 126 12.00 15.40  
3  SHEA D CAPTURE 3 1 21 2½ 3.2 56 515½ (gotera carlos)PEREZ E 125 6.00 ★ 6.70  
7  ZINFATUATION 7 7 73¼ 73¾ 71 68 616½ (norris stephani)DIAZ I 125 20.00 74.10  
6  SUCCEED 6 4 52¾ 52½ 5¾ 710 720 (cash l)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 50% 1.00 1.70  
SCR  BOOKER T               (morris r)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:234 :474 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STAR MABEE 5 1 41 2nk   1nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.20 W
4  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 4 6 52 3.2   3½ 2¼ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 ★ 3.80 P
7  CAT'S RHYTHM 6 4 74 51¾   52¼ 3½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 13% 6.60 6.70 S
3  GAIL'S DANCER 2 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 41¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 21% 3.80 4.40  
8  APPEALING SENORITA 7 8 63 63¾   64¾ 51½ (gonzalez donaciano)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 42.00  
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 5 31 41¾   42 61¾ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 21% 3.70 5.70  
1A  BEST OF YOU 8 7 85½ 77¼   79¾ 78 (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 126 8.00 3.40  
1  SWEET BETTY JOYCE 3 3 2½ 87½   812¾ 820 (murillo alejandro)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 3.40  
SCR  NANA ROZE               (morelos mateo)TAPARA BRANDON 124 30.00    
 
MVR-8   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:244 :482 1:134 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WILD OX 4 3 31½ 42 2nk 1½ 1¾ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 9% 9.80 1.30 W
8  WEEKENDER 8 2 21 3½ 42¾ 32 2¾ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.50 ★ 8.40 P
6  JEBIP 6 7 63½ 2nk 3.2 2½ 32¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 25% 3.00 4.90 S
1  CRYPTO COPY 1 5 42 52½ 63¼ 53½ 45½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 4.50 26% 2.80 2.10  
2  MONSTER HUNTER 2 6 53 63½ 52¾ 65 511½ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 20.00 45.90  
3  POWERFUL PHIL 3 1 11 1nk 1nk 42½ 613¼ (morales m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 10% 9.50 7.70  
7  KISSINGER 7 8 86½ 77 73½ 78 714 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 18.50  
5  DYNAMIC REACH 5 4 75½ 811½ 88½ 814 829½ (platt noah)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 82.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.