Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:143 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETER THAN HONEY 3 5 512 512½ 55 2 1 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 125 8.00 15.40  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 3 1 14 1 1 2 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 24% 3.10 0.80 P
AMERICA'S JAZZ 2 4 2 24 2 34 3 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 125 4.50 11.80 S
I'M JAC'D 5 2 3 4 3 48 413½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 1.60 44% 1.30 2.10  
SHANGHAI ROYALTY 1 6 46 35 44 5 519¼ (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 6.00 11% 8.00 4.40  
MOTOWN HARBOR 4 1 613½ 624½ 630 634½ 639¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 29.00  
 
MVR-2   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:141 1:274   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED ECSTASY 7 3 21 1nk 1 1 1 (medina tomas)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 31% 2.20 0.50 W
DONNARUMMA 5 4 65 58 44 35 2 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 125 6.00 3.50 P
ASHWICKEN 4 8 7 69 34 2 34 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 5.00 12.60  
IMA SURE BET 8 7 89 811¼ 6 4 4 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 22.80  
HOT AS BLUE BLAZES 6 1 3 3 5 5 510¼ (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 126 3.00 46% 1.20 5.00  
TEST YOUR FAITH 2 5 44 4 7 714 617½ (campbell)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 15.00 29.30  
IRON WILMA 3 2 11 2nk 2 610 718 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 30.10  
KENTE KLARKE 1 6 55 7 817¼ 834 846¼ (platt noah)TOLEDO S 125 15.00 88.90  
 
MVR-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEHRIG 7 1 1 1   1 18 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 126 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 6 8 8 811¼   612¼ 28 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 13.50 P
GIO SAMMY 1 4 2 2   2 3 (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 6.20 S
KEYED ON TOP 4 3 33 45   4 3 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 7.50 DH
COLOMBARD 8 2 6 35   3 510 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 3.00 26% 2.80 2.30  
OUT FOR JUSTICE 2 5 5 6   512 613 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 34.00  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 6 7 7   812½ 715 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 20.50  
SHARINGTHEJOURNEY 5 7 4 57   712¼ 818¼ (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 25.60  
 
MVR-4   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE EDGED 2 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 28% 2.60 2.30 W
CHLOES ANGEL 1 5 53 5   32 2 (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 1.10 P
BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 2 4 3.2   2½ 3 (morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 23.00  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 5 3 3½ 4¼   4 4 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 3.00  
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 3 1 1nk 2nk   5 514¾ (hurley l)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 6% 15.50 5.20  
SCR  ETTA               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
SCR  KICHI KITSU               (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-5   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:144 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISUAL MISSION 7 4 5 5 2½ 1nk 1 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 2.50 1.90  
SPEEDY MOBILE 8 1 11 1 1½ 2nk 2 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.80 P
DR. ZARNETT 5 2 4 43 3 33 3 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 4.00 6.00 S
BIG OHIO 4 9 812½ 88 78 710¾ 412¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 27% 2.70 31.50  
STONE COLD CAT 3 6 711½ 78 8 510¼ 513 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 6.80  
PLATE IT UP 2 3 32 2 4 410 616½ (gonzalez don)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 72.10  
DEER CREEK ROAD 6 8 610½ 67 67 610¼ 717¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 21.20  
JACK BE FAST 1 5 21 32 56 811¾ 824¼ (castillo jabd)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 7.00  
MOBIL AT LAST 9 7 914 910 913½ 919¾ 925 (diehl ca)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 21.10  
 
MVR-6   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:144 1:273   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULLANE 4 6 6 6 4¼ 13 1 (cowans william )BRACHO A 125 2.00 9% 10.80 1.40 W
POT COMMITTED 1 5 31 41 61 45 2 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 8.00 12.30 P
BLUNDER 5 2 4 31 2nk 23 3 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 125 2.50 13% 6.70 5.20 S
SUPER BROTHER 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 3 412¼ (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 126 12.00 15.40  
SHEA D CAPTURE 3 1 21 2½ 3.2 56 515½ (gotera carlos)PEREZ E 125 6.00 6.70  
ZINFATUATION 7 7 7 7 71 68 616½ (norris stephani)DIAZ I 125 20.00 74.10  
SUCCEED 6 4 5 5 5¾ 710 720 (cash l)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 50% 1.00 1.70  
SCR  BOOKER T               (morris neil)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR MABEE 5 1 41 2nk   1nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.20 W
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 4 6 52 3.2   3½ 2¼ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 3.80 P
CAT'S RHYTHM 6 4 74 5   5 3½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 13% 6.60 6.70 S
GAIL'S DANCER 2 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 21% 3.80 4.40  
APPEALING SENORITA 7 8 63 6   6 5 (gonzalez dona)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 42.00  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 5 31 4   42 6 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 21% 3.70 5.70  
1A  BEST OF YOU 8 7 8 7   7 78 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 126 8.00 3.40  
SWEET BETTY JOYCE 3 3 2½ 8   812¾ 820 (murillo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 3.40  
SCR  NANA ROZE               (morelos mateo)TAPARA BRANDON 124 30.00    
 
MVR-8   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:134 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD OX 4 3 3 42 2nk 1½ 1¾ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 9% 9.80 1.30 W
WEEKENDER 8 2 21 3½ 4 32 2¾ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.50 8.40 P
JEBIP 6 7 6 2nk 3.2 2½ 3 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 25% 3.00 4.90 S
CRYPTO COPY 1 5 42 5 6 5 4 (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 4.50 26% 2.80 2.10  
MONSTER HUNTER 2 6 53 6 5 65 511½ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 20.00 45.90  
POWERFUL PHIL 3 1 11 1nk 1nk 4 613¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 10% 9.50 7.70  
KISSINGER 7 8 8 77 7 78 714 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 18.50  
DYNAMIC REACH 5 4 7 811½ 8 814 829½ (platt noah)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 82.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.