Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Sep14   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 6.00 11% 8.00    
2  AMERICA'S JAZZ Nov21 Nov07       (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 125 4.50 ★    
3  SWEETER THAN HONEY Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep22 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 125 8.00    
4  MOTOWN HARBOR Dec06 Nov16 Oct22 Oct06 Aug19 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 ★    
5  I'M JAC'D Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 Oct04 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Jul26   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 125 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-2   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTE KLARKE Nov10 Sep14       (platt noah)TOLEDO S 125 15.00    
2  TEST YOUR FAITH Dec05 Nov28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 (campbe)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 15.00    
3  IRON WILMA Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 Oct18 Sep28 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★    
4  ASHWICKEN Dec05 Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Aug27 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 5.00    
5  DONNARUMMA Nov28 Nov07 Oct10 Sep05 Aug06 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 125 6.00 ★    
6  HOT AS BLUE BLAZES Nov29 Oct24 Sep19 Jul27 Jul13 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  WICKED ECSTASY Nov16 Oct25 Sep06 Aug02 May24 (medina tomas)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 31% 2.20    
8  IMA SURE BET Dec05 Nov16 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIO SAMMY Nov19 Nov02 Oct14 Aug29 Jul21 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 ★    
2  OUT FOR JUSTICE Dec14 Nov27 Nov13 Nov07 Oct17 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 ★    
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Nov15 Nov08 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
4  KEYED ON TOP Nov17 Nov02 Oct22 Sep12 Jul21 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 3.50    
5  SHARINGTHEJOURNEY Nov02 Oct07 Sep06 Aug02 Jul22 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
6  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Nov29 Nov16 Nov03 Oct24 Oct06 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 ★    
7  GEHRIG Dec08 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 126 2.50 50% 1.00    
8  COLOMBARD Nov17 Jul21 Jun30 Jun21 Jun06 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-4   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ETTA Dec12 Nov23 Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
SCR  KICHI KITSU Nov07 Aug13 Jul26     (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 Oct05 Sep13 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 ★    
4  DOUBLE EDGED Nov23 Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 Aug22 Jul05 (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 6% 15.50    
6  BEAUTIFUL LASS Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Sep26 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
7  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Nov08 Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK BE FAST Dec06 Nov12 Oct12 Sep19 Sep08 (castillo ja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 ★    
2  PLATE IT UP Dec12 Dec01 Nov22 Nov03 Oct10 (gonzalez d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
3  STONE COLD CAT Dec06 Nov10 Nov03 Oct04 Sep22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
4  BIG OHIO Dec06 Nov19 Oct29 Oct10 Sep22 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 27% 2.70    
5  DR. ZARNETT Dec12 Nov28 Nov07 Oct10 Sep21 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 4.00 ★    
6  DEER CREEK ROAD Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00    
7  VISUAL MISSION Dec06 Nov07 Sep16 Sep06 Aug24 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★    
8  SPEEDY MOBILE Dec03 Oct31 Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
9  MOBIL AT LAST Dec12 Nov22 Nov03 Oct12 Sep22 (diehl )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POT COMMITTED Nov25 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 8.00 ★    
2  SUPER BROTHER Jul28 Jun24 Jun02 Apr30   (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 126 12.00    
3  SHEA D CAPTURE Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 Sep18 Sep04 (gotera carlo)PEREZ E 125 6.00 ★    
4  GULLANE May13 Apr24       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 125 2.00 9% 10.80    
5  BLUNDER Dec06 Nov02 Oct12 Sep15 Aug27 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 125 2.50 13% 6.70    
6  SUCCEED May28 May14 May04 Apr23 Apr15 (cash l)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
7  ZINFATUATION Dec06 Sep14 Aug29 Jul11 Jun28 (norris stephan)DIAZ I 125 20.00    
SCR  BOOKER T Dec10 Jul31       (morris ne)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Dec05 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Sep14 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
1A  BEST OF YOU Nov23 Nov16 Oct29 Sep22 Sep07 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY Nov29 Nov17 Oct11 Sep07 Aug04 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  GAIL'S DANCER Dec13 Dec05 Nov23 Sep08 Aug17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Dec05 Nov22 Nov03 Oct05 Sep13 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
5  STAR MABEE Dec05 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  NANA ROZE Nov16 Oct25 Sep27 Sep09 Aug24 (morelos mate)TAPARA BRANDON 124 30.00    
7  CAT'S RHYTHM Nov29 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 Jul14 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
8  APPEALING SENORITA Dec05 Nov19 Oct25 Sep27 Sep12 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO COPY Oct24 Sep29 Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
2  MONSTER HUNTER Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Sep15 Aug15 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 20.00    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Dec03 Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 Sep14 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 10% 9.50    
4  WILD OX Dec01 Nov01 Sep13 Aug31 Jul07 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 9% 9.80    
5  DYNAMIC REACH Oct20 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 (platt noah)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
6  JEBIP Dec06 Nov17 Nov01 Oct13 Sep29 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  KISSINGER Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 Oct14 Sep15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
8  WEEKENDER Dec01 Aug23 Jul21 Jun28 May25 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.