Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOOGIE BOOGEE 2 1 52¼ 41¼   1nk 11¾ (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★ 6.80  
6  OUT MY DEAR 6 3 31 2nk   3.2 21¾ (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 23% 3.40 1.00 P
3  PROPHETESS 3 5 41¼ 3.2   2nk 35¼ (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 38% 1.70 3.40 S
1  PENNY SHOTS 1 6 63¾ 65¾   54¼ 47¾ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 10% 9.20 4.00  
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH 5 4 1nk 1nk   4¾ 510¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★ 9.20  
4  VICTOR STORY 4 2 2nk 55¼   66¼ 616¾ (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 10.40  
 
MVR-2   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 1 4 11 11½   14 19½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 0.70  
5  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 5 2 33½ 35   37 29½ (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 10% 9.30 32.90 P
7  CALL PAPA 7 3 75¼ 69   47½ 310¼ (feebeck thom)HALDAR J 124 2.50 ★ 4.80 S
6  CAPE MARCO DRIVE 6 1 43½ 59   57½ 411½ (lopez carlo)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 18% 4.50 13.50  
3  EAGLES PALACE 3 6 21 21½   24 512¼ (dodge alber)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 29% 2.40 3.20  
4  GOTIGER SPECIAL 4 5 65 48   68½ 613½ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 3.50 12% 7.00 7.90  
2  GET ALONG 2 7 54 711   713½ 725¼ (barnes ba)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 39.30  
 
MVR-3   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRIZABELLA 7 2 53¾ 32   31 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 16% 5.30 1.50 W
5  GAIL'S DANCER 5 1 22 2½   1nk 21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 45% 1.20 6.50 P
6  DIAL AGAIN 6 3 12 1½   2nk 35½ (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 5.00 7.50  
4  HAPPY AS YOU GO 4 7 75¾ 63½   45 410 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 14% 5.90 2.70  
1  KIST 1 6 64¾ 74   66½ 510¼ (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★ 5.20  
3  MOBIL MEISTER 3 5 43½ 53   55½ 611 (faulkner )CORREA L 124 8.00 ★ 9.60  
2  SARAH JANE 2 4 32 43   78 720½ (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 15.20  
 
MVR-4   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:143 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CREDIT RIVER 5 2 2½ 2nk 15 15 19¼ (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 33% 2.00 7.00 W
4  STAR ENTERTAINER 4 7 84¼ 85¼ 46 36½ 29¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 ★ 1.60 P
3  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 3 1 1½ 1nk 35 46½ 39¼ (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.50 4.00  
8  DUKE OF FENWAY 8 8 61¾ 42½ 25 25 411 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 14% 6.20 3.80  
6  GOLD HERITAGE 6 6 72¼ 63¼ 56¼ 58½ 513 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 123 3.00 4.20  
1  DAWN WEST 1 5 41½ 74¾ 88¼ 710½ 618½ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 10% 8.90 10.00  
2  OLD FORTY FIVE 2 4 51½ 52¾ 77¼ 810¾ 718¾ (poole c)RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 18.60 44.70  
7  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM 7 3 31 31½ 66¼ 610 820 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 50.40  
 
MVR-5   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM 9 3 72¾ 1½   11 11 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 6.20  
1  GRAYWING 1 8 62½ 42½   31 21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.50 P
8  BIG BAD BEAST 8 5 95¾ 95¾   52½ 32 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 9.00  
7  DOCTOR WU 7 4 83¾ 63   42 42¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 ★ 5.50  
5  BIG BROWN SHOES 5 2 3½ 2½   21 55 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 4.00 16% 5.30 3.10  
3  RIKIO 3 6 1nk 31½   62¾ 610 (cline robert)HALDAR J 125 3.50 11.50  
6  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 6 1 52 74½   74¾ 711¼ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 9% 9.60 57.30  
2  MY GRASS IS BLUE 2 7 2nk 84¾   85¾ 813¼ (pitts c)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 16.80  
4  DIXIE BOUND 4 9 41 52½   97¼ 915¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 ★ 24.50  
 
MVR-6   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :464 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHACO SPIRIT 7 2 31 21½   2nk 13½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.30 W
3  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 3 4 1½ 11½   1nk 23½ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 6.00 13% 6.60 3.80 P
6  SUNNY BEAST 6 7 65½ 56¾   43 38¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★ 11.60 S
5  KAPHAVATA 5 3 2½ 31½   31 49¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 15% 5.80 3.00  
2  THE EQUINEST 2 8 811 811¾   68 512¼ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 11.40  
4  DIAMOND MONEY 4 5 76 77¾   57 619¼ (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 12.00 47.30  
1  TWICE AS SMART 1 6 43 67¾   711 722¼ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★ 5.70  
8  WHO CAN WIN 8 1 53 46½   811¼ 823½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 72.80  
 
MVR-7   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:144 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIP SHEET 5 4 58 56½ 34½ 2nk 11¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 3.50 20% 4.00 7.30 W
1  TAMANRASSETT 1 2 11 1½ 11 1nk 21¼ (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5.80  
2  DISTORTED LIMITS 2 6 710 712 68½ 43 34¾ (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 6.00 1.70  
7  LUCKY JUNIOR 7 7 46½ 46½ 45 53½ 46¼ (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 15% 5.50 9.90  
6  SKIDSTREAM 6 5 21 2½ 21 32 510 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 18% 4.40 10.10  
4  SMASH 4 8 68½ 67 56½ 65½ 613¾ (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 19% 4.30 3.30  
3  IMTHEPRINCE 3 1 815 816 818½ 812 723 (jones e)DIAZ I 124 5.00 12.80  
8  EMPEROR'S GOLD 8 3 35½ 36 712½ 711½ 825 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 124 10.00 ★ 8.20  
 
MVR-8   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:021     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DANES LAST SONG 8 5 31½ 21   24 11½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 6.20  
8  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 7 2 63 62½   35 21½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 7% 12.50 2.50 P
6  KISS VALENTINA 5 1 2½ 11   14 32 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 ★ 14.40 S
7  SWEET MOBILTEE 6 6 42 52½   47 43½ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.70  
2B  WEEKENDING 9 8 53 42   511 518 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 3.00 31% 2.30 2.80  
1  THELMA LUCILLE 2 7 84½ 75   611 618¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 6.00 6.20  
5  HALO EFFECT 4 3 74 87   814¼ 719¾ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 10.00 18.10  
3  CANELA FINA 1 4 1½ 31½   711¼ 823¾ (langley)PILARES P 122 20.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
4  MORNINGBEACHWALK 3 9 912½ 9100   9100 9100 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 20.00 43.60  
SCR  ROARING GINGER               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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