Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY SHOTS Nov29 Nov03       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
2  BOOGIE BOOGEE Nov23 Nov03 Oct12 Sep07   (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★    
3  PROPHETESS Dec05 Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 Aug29 (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
4  VICTOR STORY Apr28 Mar14       (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00    
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH Nov23 Nov01 Sep28 Aug29 Aug04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★    
6  OUT MY DEAR Nov19 Oct25 Sep28     (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-2   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Dec05 Nov16 Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
2  GET ALONG Nov10 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (barnes a)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
3  EAGLES PALACE Nov14 Oct25 Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 (dodge alber)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
4  GOTIGER SPECIAL Nov21 Oct27 Sep28 Aug15 Jul25 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 3.50 12% 7.00    
5  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Nov21 Jun30 May26 May16 Apr15 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
6  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 Jul13 (lopez carlo)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  CALL PAPA Nov21 Nov10 Oct26 Oct04 Sep23 (feebeck thom)HALDAR J 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIST Nov23 Nov10 Oct11 Sep22 Aug08 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
2  SARAH JANE Oct11 Sep02 Aug17 Aug04 Jun02 (bates l)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
3  MOBIL MEISTER Dec01 Nov12 Oct03 Sep23 Aug25 (faulkner )CORREA L 124 8.00 ★    
4  HAPPY AS YOU GO Oct29 Oct11 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 14% 5.90    
5  GAIL'S DANCER Dec05 Nov23 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
6  DIAL AGAIN Nov23 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Sep12 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 5.00    
7  GRIZABELLA Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-4   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAWN WEST Nov03 Oct07 Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
2  OLD FORTY FIVE Nov30 Oct30 Oct18 Sep27 Aug29 (poole c)RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 18.60    
3  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Dec06 Nov13 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.50    
4  STAR ENTERTAINER Nov14 Nov02 Oct27 Oct12 Sep17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 ★    
5  CREDIT RIVER Nov04 Oct21 Jul23 May20   (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 33% 2.00    
6  GOLD HERITAGE Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 Aug29 Jul28 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
7  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Nov03 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
8  DUKE OF FENWAY Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-5   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYWING Nov14 Jul09 Jun05 Apr20 Jan01 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  MY GRASS IS BLUE Nov09 Sep20 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 (pitts c)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
3  RIKIO Nov29 Oct14 Sep21 Aug12 Jul16 (cline robert)HALDAR J 125 3.50    
4  DIXIE BOUND Oct14 Sep25 Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 ★    
5  BIG BROWN SHOES Nov23 Jun07 May11 Apr24 Mar13 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
6  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Nov17 Oct27 Jun16 May16 Apr16 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 9% 9.60    
7  DOCTOR WU Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 Sep20 Aug30 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 ★    
8  BIG BAD BEAST Nov06 Sep23 Aug28 Jul10 Jun09 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
9  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Nov23 Nov08 May17 Apr16   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWICE AS SMART Oct28 Oct15 Oct07 Sep16 Aug08 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★    
2  THE EQUINEST Nov17 Sep11 Aug22 Aug14 Jul30 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
3  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Nov30 Nov17 Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  DIAMOND MONEY Nov30 Nov15 Nov07 Oct26 Oct11 (romero osca)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
5  KAPHAVATA Nov10 Oct26 Oct04 Aug23 Jul25 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
6  SUNNY BEAST Nov10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Jul25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★    
7  CHACO SPIRIT Nov14 Oct03 Aug31 Aug15 Jul05 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
8  WHO CAN WIN Nov14 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 Jul06 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANRASSETT Nov07 Oct06 Sep19 Aug16 Jul18 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
2  DISTORTED LIMITS Nov30 Nov14 Nov02 Oct11 Oct03 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
3  IMTHEPRINCE Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 Oct14 Sep19 (jones e)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
4  SMASH Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 Oct12 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  TIP SHEET Nov19 Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  SKIDSTREAM Oct25 Oct11 Oct04 Sep18 Sep05 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 18% 4.40    
7  LUCKY JUNIOR Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
8  EMPEROR'S GOLD Nov28 Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 Sep08 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELMA LUCILLE Nov30         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
1A  DANES LAST SONG Nov30         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00    
2B  WEEKENDING         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  ROARING GINGER         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 ★    
3  CANELA FINA         (langley)PILARES P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MORNINGBEACHWALK Nov30 Nov12       (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
5  HALO EFFECT Nov30 Sep29 Sep12     (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
6  KISS VALENTINA         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 ★    
7  SWEET MOBILTEE Nov30 Nov12 Oct29 Oct10 Sep21 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
8  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Oct29 Oct06 Sep14 Aug31   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 7% 12.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.