Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SHALLOTS 1 2 1 1   1 13 (breed a)COA J 122 6.00 3.05  
DRAW OFF 2 4 3 34   3 23 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 24% 3.20 11.00 P
LET'S MAGA 4 3 4 4   4 3 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 13% 6.90 4.10 S
HEARTBUSTINGIRL 6 1 2 2   2 4 (bartlett w)DAVIS A 122 2.50 14% 6.00 1.20  
CAT GLASSES KATHY 3 6 65 57   57 5 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 120 15.00 35.00  
SOCIAL MOBILITY 7 7 76 712   715 611 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.80 6.30  
CLARA'S GONE WEST 5 5 5 69   613 712¼ (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 15.00 10.90  
 
FL-2   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:132 1:413   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUD PUPPY 3 5 5 3 35 23 1 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 6.70  
DROSEL DIEM 5 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 2 (sabine mic)DAVIS A 117 5.00 17% 5.00 2.30 P
NOBLE JOURNEY 2 4 4 510 49 36 3 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 1.00 39% 1.60 0.60 S
LORENZEN 1 2 2½ 2½ 2 47 4 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 11% 8.40 7.40  
SUPER REIGN 6 3 3 610½ 613 512 5 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 12.00 37.75  
RICKYS REVENGE 4 6 6 410 512 618 627¼ (hillegass)NAVARRO J 120 10.00 7% 13.40 26.25  
SCR  DOMINANT FACTOR               (hillegass alexa)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00    
 
FL-3   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:133 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITTINGTON PARK 3 4 33 3 1nk 1½ 14 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.80 23% 3.30 0.70 W
BIG GEORGES KINGDM 6 1 11 1 2nk 2½ 24 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 6.00 18% 4.60 11.00 P
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 5 2 46 4 4 3 37 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.50 2.50 S
RED FORTRESS 1 6 5 5 611¾ 510½ 411¾ (ferraro michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 9% 9.90 18.00  
MISBEHAVED 2 5 21 2 36 410½ 517½ (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 4.50 22% 3.50 4.50  
LUCA AT THE SPA 7 7 77 7 511½ 613½ 625¼ (gutterson )DAVIS A 121 12.00 20.00  
INAPPROPRIATE 4 3 6 68 714¾ 719½ 729¾ (smith julie)GOMEZ O 124 8.00 38.00  
 
FL-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH TALES 2 5 43 4   11 1 (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 14.20  
NIGHT ESCORT 7 4 3 31   21 2 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 2.65 P
DISTORTED LIMITS 1 8 810½ 68   5 3 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 28% 2.60 13.90 S
FAR AWAY LOOK 5 7 710 8   64 4 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 11% 8.40 6.20  
QUINTARELLI 4 2 53 54   4 5 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 122 12.00 56.75  
DOUBLE VISION 8 1 12 11   3 613¾ (d'alessandro ral)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 32% 2.10 4.40  
GOLDMINE KAZ 6 6 67 7   8 713¾ (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 122 20.00 80.75  
BOY I HOPE SO 3 3 22 21   7 817¾ (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 2.00 1.15  
 
FL-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT BY A WAVE 6 2 1 1   14 1 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 1.85  
NOBLE ENDEAVOR 9 6 6 45   4 2 (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 20% 3.90 1.75 P
WAR OF THRONES 7 1 4 2   24 3 (acquilano james)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 14% 6.30 6.00 S
LOVER'S LEAP 4 3 3 3   34 44 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 11% 7.80 12.10  
INALIENABLE RIGHTS 8 7 75 6   510½ 5 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 5.00 9% 10.20 11.50  
MR. MIMS 3 9 99 912¾   715½ 614 (oyola david)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 60.50  
RUNNING VIOLENCE 5 8 86 712¼   816½ 718 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 94.00  
MELLMAN 2 5 2 58   614½ 818½ (ubbink steph)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 68.50  
TWISTED SUNSET 1 4 5 812¾   916¾ 925½ (moral)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 17% 4.90 4.60  
 
FL-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESUMMER 2 3 3 44   3½ 1¾ (ashley ju)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 13.10  
BLUES CITY 6 5 8 8   5 2¾ (dominguez v)GOMEZ O 124 20.00 22.30  
TRUE GOLD 4 8 5 34   6 3 (sells rachel)COA J 122 5.00 12% 7.10 5.90 S
1A  DR. LLOYD 9 9 7 7   7 4 (dominguez carlo)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00 22.30  
TOWN JAK 5 6 6 55   2½ 5 (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 122 8.00 11% 8.10 8.20  
STONE GUITAR 7 1 2½ 21   41 6 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 31.25  
TAKE IT TO SCALE 1 7 1½ 11   1½ 7 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 9% 10.50 29.75  
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE 3 2 4 66   812½ 827½ (clarke dylan)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 67.25  
10  GOLANI BRIGADE 8 4 9100 9100   9100 9100 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 0.80 46% 1.20 0.25  
SCR  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN               (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  TWO STEP SLEW               (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL QUARTET 2 6 4 3 3 11 1¾ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 6.00 2.15  
OUR CARAVAN 6 8 8 7 7 5 2¾ (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 0.50 64% 0.60 1.60 P
ROYAL SUSPECT 5 4 5 4 4 21 3 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 7% 14.10 3.55 S
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 4 7 7 6 5 6 4 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 117 15.00 9.90  
COACH BAHE 1 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 5 (gutierrez )DAVIS A 119 8.00 14.30  
SNEADS 7 1 33 5 6 7 610¾ (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 117 20.00 30.25  
MATTY'S EXPRESS 8 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 4 712 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 124 8.00 8.80  
GRIT AND GLORY 3 5 6 88 813¾ 823½ 831 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 91.25  
 
FL-8   11/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:144 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V PATTERN 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1 1 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 16% 5.10 4.70 W
MO DANCIN 7 6 5 5 4 32 2 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 7% 12.40 1.10 P
BENCH WALK 6 4 3 3½ 2½ 2 3 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 121 8.00 4.60  
JACOBA 5 3 4 43 89 712½ 414 (ficarella brooke)ALVARADO R 121 20.00 37.00  
MOUNTAIN TIME 4 8 76 8 55 59 514 (hillegass alexandra)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00 28.25  
DOUBLEPOUR 8 5 21 2½ 3 48 615 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 6% 14.60 17.00  
TAKE THE EDGE 2 2 66 6 7 612½ 716½ (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 121 5.00 26% 2.90 8.20  
IRISH GIANT 1 7 8 7 68 813 821 (grabowski a)COA J 121 5.00 22% 3.60 4.70  
SCR  PASCAL               (dixon linda )DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.