Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SHALLOTS 1 2 1 1   1 13 (breed a)COA J 122 6.00 3.05  
DRAW OFF 2 4 3 34   3 23 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 24% 3.20 11.00 P
LET'S MAGA 4 3 4 4   4 3 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 13% 6.90 4.10 S
HEARTBUSTINGIRL 6 1 2 2   2 4 (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 2.50 14% 6.00 1.20  
CAT GLASSES KATHY 3 6 65 57   57 5 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 120 15.00 35.00  
SOCIAL MOBILITY 7 7 76 712   715 611 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.80 6.30  
CLARA'S GONE WEST 5 5 5 69   613 712¼ (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 15.00 10.90  
 
FL-2   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:132 1:413   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUD PUPPY 3 5 5 3 35 23 1 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 6.70  
DROSEL DIEM 5 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 2 (sabine m)DAVIS A 117 5.00 17% 5.00 2.30 P
NOBLE JOURNEY 2 4 4 510 49 36 3 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 1.00 39% 1.60 0.60 S
LORENZEN 1 2 2½ 2½ 2 47 4 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 11% 8.40 7.40  
SUPER REIGN 6 3 3 610½ 613 512 5 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 12.00 37.75  
RICKYS REVENGE 4 6 6 410 512 618 627¼ (hillega)NAVARRO J 120 10.00 7% 13.40 26.25  
SCR  DOMINANT FACTOR               (hillegass ale)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00    
 
FL-3   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:133 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITTINGTON PARK 3 4 33 3 1nk 1½ 14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.80 23% 3.30 0.70 W
BIG GEORGES KINGDM 6 1 11 1 2nk 2½ 24 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 6.00 18% 4.60 11.00 P
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE 5 2 46 4 4 3 37 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.50 2.50 S
RED FORTRESS 1 6 5 5 611¾ 510½ 411¾ (ferraro michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 9% 9.90 18.00  
MISBEHAVED 2 5 21 2 36 410½ 517½ (gutters)NAVARRO J 121 4.50 22% 3.50 4.50  
LUCA AT THE SPA 7 7 77 7 511½ 613½ 625¼ (gutterso)DAVIS A 121 12.00 20.00  
INAPPROPRIATE 4 3 6 68 714¾ 719½ 729¾ (smith julie)GOMEZ O 124 8.00 38.00  
 
FL-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH TALES 2 5 43 4   11 1 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 14.20  
NIGHT ESCORT 7 4 3 31   21 2 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 2.65 P
DISTORTED LIMITS 1 8 810½ 68   5 3 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 28% 2.60 13.90 S
FAR AWAY LOOK 5 7 710 8   64 4 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 11% 8.40 6.20  
QUINTARELLI 4 2 53 54   4 5 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 122 12.00 56.75  
DOUBLE VISION 8 1 12 11   3 613¾ (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 32% 2.10 4.40  
GOLDMINE KAZ 6 6 67 7   8 713¾ (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 122 20.00 80.75  
BOY I HOPE SO 3 3 22 21   7 817¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 2.00 1.15  
 
FL-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT BY A WAVE 6 2 1 1   14 1 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 1.85  
NOBLE ENDEAVOR 9 6 6 45   4 2 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 20% 3.90 1.75 P
WAR OF THRONES 7 1 4 2   24 3 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 14% 6.30 6.00 S
LOVER'S LEAP 4 3 3 3   34 44 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 11% 7.80 12.10  
INALIENABLE RIGHTS 8 7 75 6   510½ 5 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 5.00 9% 10.20 11.50  
MR. MIMS 3 9 99 912¾   715½ 614 (oyola david)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 60.50  
RUNNING VIOLENCE 5 8 86 712¼   816½ 718 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 94.00  
MELLMAN 2 5 2 58   614½ 818½ (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 68.50  
TWISTED SUNSET 1 4 5 812¾   916¾ 925½ (mor)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 17% 4.90 4.60  
 
FL-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESUMMER 2 3 3 44   3½ 1¾ (ashley )NAVARRO J 122 8.00 13.10  
BLUES CITY 6 5 8 8   5 2¾ (dominguez v)GOMEZ O 124 20.00 22.30  
TRUE GOLD 4 8 5 34   6 3 (sells rachel)COA J 122 5.00 12% 7.10 5.90 S
1A  DR. LLOYD 9 9 7 7   7 4 (dominguez car)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00 22.30  
TOWN JAK 5 6 6 55   2½ 5 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 122 8.00 11% 8.10 8.20  
STONE GUITAR 7 1 2½ 21   41 6 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 31.25  
TAKE IT TO SCALE 1 7 1½ 11   1½ 7 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 9% 10.50 29.75  
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE 3 2 4 66   812½ 827½ (clarke dylan)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 67.25  
10  GOLANI BRIGADE 8 4 9100 9100   9100 9100 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 0.80 46% 1.20 0.25  
SCR  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN               (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  TWO STEP SLEW               (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL QUARTET 2 6 4 3 3 11 1¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 6.00 2.15  
OUR CARAVAN 6 8 8 7 7 5 2¾ (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 0.50 64% 0.60 1.60 P
ROYAL SUSPECT 5 4 5 4 4 21 3 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 7% 14.10 3.55 S
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 4 7 7 6 5 6 4 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 117 15.00 9.90  
COACH BAHE 1 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 5 (gutierre)DAVIS A 119 8.00 14.30  
SNEADS 7 1 33 5 6 7 610¾ (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 117 20.00 30.25  
MATTY'S EXPRESS 8 3 2nk 2nk 1nk 4 712 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 8.00 8.80  
GRIT AND GLORY 3 5 6 88 813¾ 823½ 831 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 91.25  
 
FL-8   11/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:144 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V PATTERN 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1 1 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 16% 5.10 4.70 W
MO DANCIN 7 6 5 5 4 32 2 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 7% 12.40 1.10 P
BENCH WALK 6 4 3 3½ 2½ 2 3 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 8.00 4.60  
JACOBA 5 3 4 43 89 712½ 414 (ficarella broo)ALVARADO R 121 20.00 37.00  
MOUNTAIN TIME 4 8 76 8 55 59 514 (hillegass alexand)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00 28.25  
DOUBLEPOUR 8 5 21 2½ 3 48 615 (gutters)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 6% 14.60 17.00  
TAKE THE EDGE 2 2 66 6 7 612½ 716½ (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 121 5.00 26% 2.90 8.20  
IRISH GIANT 1 7 8 7 68 813 821 (grabowski john)COA J 121 5.00 22% 3.60 4.70  
SCR  PASCAL               (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.