Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SHALLOTS Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug29 Aug01 (breed a)COA J 122 6.00    
DRAW OFF Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
CAT GLASSES KATHY Oct18 Oct03 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 120 15.00    
LET'S MAGA Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
CLARA'S GONE WEST Oct18 Sep19 Jul11     (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
HEARTBUSTINGIRL Oct04 Aug17 Jul04     (bartlett w)DAVIS A 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
SOCIAL MOBILITY Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Jul11 Jun15 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
FL-2   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORENZEN Oct26 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  DOMINANT FACTOR Oct04 Sep21 Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 (hillegass alexa)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00    
NOBLE JOURNEY Oct26 Oct18 May01 Mar18 Feb18 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 1.00 39% 1.60    
STUD PUPPY Oct26 Oct10 Sep01 Jul24 May30 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 124 6.00    
RICKYS REVENGE Oct13 Sep18 Aug26 Aug08 Jul29 (hillegass)NAVARRO J 120 10.00 7% 13.40    
DROSEL DIEM Nov01 Oct18 Sep27 Aug31 Aug02 (sabine mic)DAVIS A 117 5.00 17% 5.00    
SUPER REIGN Oct26 Oct10 Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 12.00    
 
FL-3   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED FORTRESS Oct17 Sep27       (ferraro michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
MISBEHAVED Oct17 Oct02 Aug27 Jul01 Jun05 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
WHITTINGTON PARK Oct18 Sep18 Aug20 Jul08   (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.80 23% 3.30    
INAPPROPRIATE Oct12 Sep10 Aug14 Jul17   (smith julie)GOMEZ O 124 8.00    
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Oct18 Jun21 Jun05 Apr21 Apr02 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.50    
BIG GEORGES KINGDM Oct18 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22   (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
LUCA AT THE SPA Oct17 Sep13 Aug03 Jul08 Apr29 (gutterson )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
 
FL-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED LIMITS Nov02 Oct11 Oct03 Sep05 Aug29 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
SMOOTH TALES Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 Sep06 Aug02 (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
BOY I HOPE SO Oct19 Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 2.00    
QUINTARELLI Oct31 Oct17 Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 122 12.00    
FAR AWAY LOOK Oct31 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
GOLDMINE KAZ Oct17 Sep19 Aug30 Aug02 Jul20 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 122 20.00    
NIGHT ESCORT Oct25 Oct03 Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50    
DOUBLE VISION Oct18 Oct04 Aug30 Aug17 Jul11 (d'alessandro ral)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 32% 2.10    
 
FL-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWISTED SUNSET Oct25 Oct05 Jul27 Jul18 Jul06 (moral)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
MELLMAN Oct26 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Jul20 (ubbink steph)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00    
MR. MIMS Oct31 Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 (oyola david)GOMEZ O 122 15.00    
LOVER'S LEAP Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 Aug03 Jul20 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
RUNNING VIOLENCE Nov02 Oct10 Sep30 Sep16 Sep05 (ashley julius)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
HIT BY A WAVE Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug03 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 3.50    
WAR OF THRONES Oct04 Sep21 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 (acquilano james)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
INALIENABLE RIGHTS Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
NOBLE ENDEAVOR Oct25 Oct11 Aug08 Jul11 Jun14 (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
FL-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUES CITY Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 (dominguez v)GOMEZ O 124 20.00    
1A  DR. LLOYD Oct31 Sep27 Sep05 Aug17 Aug09 (dominguez carlo)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00    
TAKE IT TO SCALE Oct18 Oct05 Jul13 May21 Apr27 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
AWESUMMER Nov02 Sep30 Aug22 Aug13 Jul16 (ashley ju)NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Jul20 Jul06 (clarke dylan)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
TRUE GOLD Oct31 Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 (sells rachel)COA J 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TWO STEP SLEW Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul26 Jul05 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 122 20.00    
TOWN JAK Oct31 Oct18 Sep21 Aug30 Jul26 (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
STONE GUITAR Oct31 Oct19 Oct04 Sep05 Jul26 (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
10  GOLANI BRIGADE Oct24 Sep20 Jun04 May21 Mar04 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 0.80 46% 1.20    
 
FL-7   11/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH BAHE Oct31 Oct19 Oct04 Sep19 Sep06 (gutierrez )DAVIS A 119 8.00    
COOL QUARTET Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Jul27 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 117 6.00    
GRIT AND GLORY Oct31 Oct04 Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Oct11 Sep14 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 117 15.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 7% 14.10    
OUR CARAVAN Oct19 Sep07       (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 0.50 64% 0.60    
SNEADS Nov02 Oct19 Sep27 Jul19 Jun27 (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 117 20.00    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Aug26 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 124 8.00    
 
FL-8   11/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PASCAL Oct25 Oct11 Sep28 Sep07 Jun28 (dixon linda )DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
IRISH GIANT Nov02 Oct19 Aug29 Aug01 Jun30 (grabowski a)COA J 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
TAKE THE EDGE Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 Sep05 Aug03 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
V PATTERN Sep05 Aug16 Jun15 May23 May09 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
MOUNTAIN TIME Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 Sep07 (hillegass alexandra)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00    
JACOBA Oct25 Sep12 Aug10 Jul05 May18 (ficarella brooke)ALVARADO R 121 20.00    
BENCH WALK Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Aug29 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
MO DANCIN Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 7% 12.40    
DOUBLEPOUR Nov02 Oct03 Sep14 May05 Mar19 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 6% 14.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.