Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZZURRO 3 4 1nk 1½   12 12 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 4.50 3.80  
AWESOME CHARGE 7 3 2nk 2½   22 22 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 16% 5.30 1.13 P
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 1 8 4 4   3 310 (roberson dennis)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00 16.87  
SILVESTRE 4 2 5 5   4 412½ (cambray ignacio)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 34.86  
KENRIC 6 6 3½ 32   5 514 (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 5.35  
PRIVATE CONNIE 5 5 8 810½   711½ 618 (hancock joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 31.19  
LOCO 8 7 6 64   69 718½ (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 16.21  
GUS GUS 2 1 7 7   814 824¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 35% 1.90 3.85  
SCR  WINGED FOOT               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
CD-2   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDGEE ANGEL 3 4 5 46   43 1¾ (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 1.80 26% 2.80 2.25 W
SUPER CAT LADY 5 1 3½ 11   1½ 2¾ (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 120 1.20 1.13 P
BOURBONWITHGINGER 2 5 4 3   2½ 3 (tooley jennifer)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 25% 3.00 4.47 S
CANARY 1 3 1½ 21   3 4 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 4.34  
JOY ENAMORADA 4 2 2½ 5   511½ 524 (duvall e)COURT K 118 15.00 6% 14.80 13.93  
 
CD-3   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR DAWN 1 2 1nk 2½   2nk 1½ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 11% 8.10 4.49 W
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 3 4 2nk 1½   1nk 2½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 36% 1.80 8.86 P
SPARE A DIME 4 1 33 3   33 3 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 13% 6.80 3.74 S
BIG JAVA 2 5 45 5   44 4 (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.11  
DALLAS VOLUNTEER 5 3 5 4   5 5 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 1.51  
SCR  FRACING NASTY               (reed r)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:214 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND MOUNTAIN 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 8.00 18.05  
DRENA'S STAR 8 3 6 3   2½ 2¼ (duncan vance)COURT K 120 6.00 44% 1.30 1.19 P
FOREVAMO 3 8 98 7   55 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00 11.95 S
BIG BELLA BROWN 6 7 7 8   66 4 (foley greg)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 6% 16.80 13.25  
CHIEF HOWCOME 2 4 3 42   3 55 (sanner e)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 34.34  
COOL RUNNINGS 5 6 42 64   89 69 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50 5.26  
11  ELI 10 10 1010 10   910 7 (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 54.91  
GEMO RAIN 1 9 5 5   77 810 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5.41  
RELEASED 7 1 2½ 2½   44 911¼ (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 23% 3.40 8.41  
10  HIGHER AUTHORITY 9 5 8 97   1011½ 1015½ (vance d)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 10.23  
SCR  FEELING IT               (sherman jus)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 20.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BEEMSTER 6 2 4 4 2nk 1½ 1 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 23% 3.30 13.30 W
GRIMES 4 4 33 3 4 4 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 2.39  
O'CONNER SUNSET 5 3 22 2 3.2 2½ 3 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 44% 1.30 5.55 S
12  TALKSCHEAP 12 1 12 1 1nk 31 4 (pitts helen)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 25.23  
NIKOLAS ARTHUR 8 9 10 8 8 78 58 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 20.92  
10  BREAD WINNER 10 8 1210¾ 1111 910¾ 68 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 10% 8.70 4.13  
CHILI RED 1 11 65 54 5 5 7 (mckeever an)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00 57.77  
CONNECT ME 2 7 55 76 7 811½ 817½ (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 8.99  
PARACHUTEBATTALION 9 10 11 99 1015¾ 1018½ 925¼ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 62.94  
11  CAESAR'S GHOST 11 5 9 1213 1117¾ 1119 1026 (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00 55.07  
CAMBIASO 7 6 7 6 6 914½ 1129¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 3.20  
RILEY BEE 3 12 8 10 1218¾ 1227 1239¾ (sanner e)LEBRON VICTOR 119 20.00 34.20  
SCR  DUPLANTIS               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00    
 
CD-6   11/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 7 7 7   1 1 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 6% 16.00 3.72 W
DRIVE FOR FUN 6 2 43 2   2 2 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 14% 5.90 3.64 P
AMERICAN ICON 7 3 11 1   3 36 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 50% 1.00 2.28 S
CARBONITE 1 6 53 4   44 4 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 5% 19.00 2.24  
RUM 'N TONIC 4 1 64 5   5 5 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 8.14  
MARCHING 3 5 21 32   6 610¾ (medina robert)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 25.71  
MY GRASS IS BLUE 5 4 3 65   7 712¾ (pitts c)CANUTO THIAGO 118 12.00 37.44  
 
CD-7   11/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOKI'S FLIGHT 2 1 1½ 13   19 114½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.25 W
TRIPLE OPTION 8 5 5 5   310½ 214½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 18.80 11.27 P
HITTING BOMBS 3 3 6 6   511 316 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 44% 1.30 1.68 S
UNDER THE GUN 4 2 2½ 23   29 417¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 18.57  
TOP SECRET 5 7 7 7   614½ 518¾ (mackey wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 10.23  
WAR ROOM 7 6 32 34   411 619½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 6.68  
MR. YASUDA 1 8 8 811   716 720 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 13.40  
MAYAN 6 4 4 4   816½ 827½ (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00 4.43  
 
CD-8   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:10 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGIONNAIRE 5 2 55 54 4 2nk 1 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.21 W
BEN DIESEL 6 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 3½ 2 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 8% 11.20 1.58 P
CLASSIC MOMENT 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 3 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 6% 15.00 3.16 S
MINNESOTA READY 8 6 6 6 5 43 46 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 6.00 10.75  
POLICY OPTION 4 8 8 87 6 6 510¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 11.36  
HIPPODROME 7 4 3 32 31 56 612 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 25.32  
GRANTHAM 1 5 4 42 7 812 715¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 59% 0.70 3.45  
BOURBON THUNDER 2 7 7 7 8 711 815¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00 16.11  
 
CD-9   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLEY RUDE 5 2 2 11   12 13 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 2.87  
PLEASE BE KIND 1 4 32 3   22 23 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 27% 2.80 2.45 P
CAMI CAT 4 1 1 21   3 311¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 29% 2.50 7.05 S
ROLLESTON 2 8 44 45   410½ 416 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 16.77  
11  PENITENT'S ROSE 9 3 6 5   512 518¼ (meah m)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
MAGIC PALACE 6 7 7 710½   615 619¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 16.16  
10  SOMEBODY LOVES ME 8 5 810¼ 812½   817½ 720½ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 15.39  
PUGLIA 3 9 54 68   717 822¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 16% 5.40 3.46  
PLAYFUL KITTEN 7 6 914¼ 929½   952½ 981¾ (kerrick lacy)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 61.45  
SCR  BIDOFHONEY               (catalano m)MCKEE J 122 20.00    
SCR  PERFECTION SAVER               (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.