Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Oct26 Oct12 Aug30 Aug05 Jul10 (roberson dennis)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00    
GUS GUS Mar12 Feb16 Jan07     (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  WINGED FOOT         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
AZZURRO Oct12 Jan15       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 4.50    
SILVESTRE Oct28 Sep28 Aug30 Aug11 Jul20 (cambray ignacio)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
PRIVATE CONNIE Oct12 Aug28 Aug12 Jul16 Jun19 (hancock joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
KENRIC Oct19 Sep29 Sep12 Aug24 Aug11 (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00    
AWESOME CHARGE Oct14 Sep21 Aug12     (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 16% 5.30    
LOCO Oct12 Sep17 Jun22 May28 Apr22 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
 
CD-2   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANARY Oct02 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 May11 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
BOURBONWITHGINGER Oct13 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul11 (tooley jennifer)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
EDGEE ANGEL Oct13 Sep21 Aug28 Jul06 Feb24 (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
JOY ENAMORADA Oct19 Sep21 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 (duvall e)COURT K 118 15.00 6% 14.80    
SUPER CAT LADY Sep29 Aug29       (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 120 1.20    
 
CD-3   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR DAWN Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 Aug08 Jun24 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
BIG JAVA Oct29 Oct08 Aug14 Jul01 May22 (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Jun24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb11   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FRACING NASTY Jun02 May21 Apr02 Feb18   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
SPARE A DIME Oct11 Jul01       (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
DALLAS VOLUNTEER Oct29 Sep16 May21 Mar16 Feb18 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
 
CD-4   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEMO RAIN Oct24 Sep20 Aug15 Jun28 May16 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
CHIEF HOWCOME Sep30 Aug31 Aug16 May14 Apr21 (sanner e)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00    
SCR  FEELING IT Oct13 Oct05 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 (sherman jus)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 20.00    
FOREVAMO Oct27 Aug30 Jul24 Jun23 May01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00    
SAND MOUNTAIN Jun24 May20       (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 8.00    
COOL RUNNINGS Oct22 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50    
BIG BELLA BROWN Oct04 Apr19 Jan28     (foley greg)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 6% 16.80    
RELEASED Oct16 Sep21 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
DRENA'S STAR Sep23 Jun10 May12 Apr23 Apr02 (duncan vance)COURT K 120 6.00 44% 1.30    
10  HIGHER AUTHORITY Oct07 Sep23 Aug30 Aug03 Jul11 (vance d)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00    
11  ELI Oct19 Sep21 Aug20 Jul17 Jun24 (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILI RED Oct14         (mckeever an)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
CONNECT ME Oct22 Sep22 Jul30     (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
RILEY BEE Oct22         (sanner e)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
GRIMES Oct14         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
O'CONNER SUNSET Oct23         (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
BIG BEEMSTER Oct02 Sep24       (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 23% 3.30    
CAMBIASO Sep28 Sep22 Aug27 Jul24 Jul10 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00    
NIKOLAS ARTHUR         (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
PARACHUTEBATTALION Sep07         (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
10  BREAD WINNER Sep18 Jun09       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
11  CAESAR'S GHOST         (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00    
12  TALKSCHEAP Oct03 Sep18 Aug30     (pitts helen)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  DUPLANTIS Sep22 Aug05 Jun10     (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00    
 
CD-6   11/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBONITE Oct09 Sep22 Aug08     (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Oct20 Sep17 Jun30 May29 Apr21 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 6% 16.00    
MARCHING Oct27 Sep22 Aug20     (medina robert)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
RUM 'N TONIC Oct16 Sep03 Jun19 May22 Apr23 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
MY GRASS IS BLUE Sep20 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 Jun19 (pitts c)CANUTO THIAGO 118 12.00    
DRIVE FOR FUN Oct14 Sep17 Jan13     (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
AMERICAN ICON Oct14 Sep17 Feb04     (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
CD-7   11/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. YASUDA         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
FLOKI'S FLIGHT Sep25 Aug20 Jul24 Jun11 May08 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
HITTING BOMBS         (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
UNDER THE GUN         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
TOP SECRET         (mackey wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
MAYAN Sep22         (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00    
WAR ROOM Oct16 Sep22       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
TRIPLE OPTION Sep29 Sep13 Aug21 Jul31   (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 18.80    
 
CD-8   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANTHAM Mar12 Feb05       (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 59% 0.70    
BOURBON THUNDER Jul02 May30       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00    
CLASSIC MOMENT Oct14 Mar27 Feb27 Jan29   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 6% 15.00    
POLICY OPTION Oct26 Oct12 Sep17 Sep03 Jul24 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
LEGIONNAIRE Oct12 Aug13 Jul16 Jun05   (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEN DIESEL Oct08 May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 8% 11.20    
HIPPODROME Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Aug22 Aug13 (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
MINNESOTA READY Sep03 Jun19 May20 Apr10 Feb19 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASE BE KIND Sep28 Sep17 Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  BIDOFHONEY Oct01         (catalano m)MCKEE J 122 20.00    
ROLLESTON Sep28 Aug07 Jul10     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
PUGLIA         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
CAMI CAT Oct17 Sep16 Jul30 Jun19 Jun10 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  PERFECTION SAVER         (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00    
CHARLEY RUDE Jun24 Apr15 Mar17     (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
MAGIC PALACE         (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
PLAYFUL KITTEN         (kerrick lacy)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
10  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Oct19 Sep28 Aug06 Jul10 May05 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
11  PENITENT'S ROSE Oct26         (meah m)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.