Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:142 1:374   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T FOOL ME 2 7 7 64 6 4 1 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 8.40  
PHOTON 6 2 32 4 4 3 2 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 29% 2.50 1.85 P
SUCCULENT 7 8 8 8 8 8 3 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 7.30  
10  PIMENOVA 9 1 1½ 1½ 1 1½ 4 (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
BAVARIAN CREME 8 6 5 5 3 2½ 5 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 9% 9.50 13.90  
CAPE COD CAUSEWAY 3 3 6 7 7 6 6 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 17% 4.80 4.50  
1A  ARISAEMA 10 5 2½ 2½ 2 52 74 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 9.80  
LEM ME DRINK 4 4 4 3 5 74 8 (levine bruc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 21.90  
SHE'S A NATURAL 5 10 9 9 1010¼ 97 9 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00 74.00  
HONOR STAR 1 9 10 10 9 1012 1014 (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00 87.00  
SCR  SUMMER TAKEOVER               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  YOGI               (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:22 :443 :554     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR FIGHTER 3 1 11 1   15 1 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 3.00  
CAPTAIN QUICK 2 7 76 65   4 2 (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00 10.00  
CLEAT 7 2 4 32   25 3 (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.65 S
CHUCKA MOON 8 3 65 75   5 4 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 2.90  
STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR 6 4 21 2   3 5 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 5.20  
1A  GOLDEN PURCHASE 5 8 88 87   810 611¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00 19.20  
CAPLETON 4 5 3 4   68 711¾ (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00 57.25  
CLASH A. J. 1 6 5 5   79 813 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 20.00 19.20  
SCR  CRACK THE CODE               (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-3   10/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:124     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINIT 1 8 41 2½ 1nk 11 12 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 2.60  
MONEY SUPPLY 6 6 5 42 3 21 22 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 29% 2.50 3.15 P
THREE JOKERS 8 5 2½ 1½ 2nk 31 36 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 11.20  
LUNI SIMA 2 2 7 74 5 54 4 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 7.10  
HIPPODROME 3 1 6 8 6 65 5 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 42.00  
TRIPLE ELVIS 7 4 1½ 3 4 4 611¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8.00  
PERCEIVED 4 7 8 6 7 810 715¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 8.40  
SHIPSATIONAL 5 3 31 53 8 7 815¾ (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 41% 1.50 3.35  
 
BAQ-4   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:13 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM TRAIL 4 6 6 66 6 22 1¾ (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 14% 6.20 1.90 W
DANDY HANDYMAN 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 2¾ (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 10.10 P
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 5 3 3 32 32 43 31 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 12.10 DQ↓4
LET'S GO BIG BLUE 6 2 46 4 44 64 41 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 49% 1.00 3.00 S
SENDERO 2 5 58 5 5 5 5 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 3.55  
CONMAN 1 7 710 7 76 75 6 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 7.30  
EL DE CHIMI 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 7 (avila c)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 11% 8.40 9.50  
 
BAQ-5   10/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE CROWN 5 3 5 52 5 2 1 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 12% 7.30 42.25 W
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
BABY YODA 6 5 2½ 3½ 11 1 2 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 29% 2.50 0.55 P
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of MORE THAN SPEED by MORE THAN READY)
SHACKQUEENKING 1 1 31 2½ 31 3 310 (capuano a)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 9.50 S
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of JURYS OUT by LAWYER RON)
EMPTY TOMB 2 2 1½ 1½ 21 55 411¼ (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 6.40  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SURE PEG by ARCH)
MORELLO (NZ) 3 6 42 4 4 4 513 (asmussen steven)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 3.40  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of STOP THE WEDDING by CONGRATS)
TITLE READY 4 4 6 6 6 610½ 616¾ (stewart d)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00 18% 4.60 13.30  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TITLE SEEKER by MONARCHOS)
 
BAQ-6   10/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:221 :444 :561     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOGO SHOES 6 6 5 4   2nk 1nk (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 7% 13.60 5.20 W
MRS. GREEN 1 5 3 2   1nk 2nk (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.95 P
MISCHIEVOUS DREAM 4 7 7 7   4 32 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 4.30 S
STRONG ODOR 5 1 2 32   5 4 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 10% 9.50 15.50  
STOP WAR 7 2 1 1   31 5 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 24% 3.10 4.40  
SECRET TIME (GER) 3 3 6 6   7 6 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 13.10  
MADEMOISELLE NOVA 2 4 43 54   6 7 (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 38.00  
 
BAQ-7   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:13     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARNAC (FR) 2 6 6 6 7 4 1nk (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 3.15  
CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 1 7 5 53 5 3½ 2nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 15% 5.70 0.85 P
CHORUS GIRL 4 4 42 3½ 3½ 1nk 3½ (matz michae)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8.80  
10  CAIRONI 7 5 76 76 6 6 4¾ (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 40.00  
TIMELESS JOURNEY 3 3 3 42 4 5 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 10% 8.90 17.70  
ICY STARE DOWN 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 6 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 4.50  
TUSCAN QUEEN 6 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 7 7 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 16.90  
SCR  INVINCIBLE GAL (GB)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  MALIBU CURL               (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER               (camejo jo)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
SCR  TEQUILERA               (matz r)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTON POST ROAD 1 4 2½ 1nk   1 1¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 39% 1.50 0.65 W
DR B 3 2 3 31   2 2¾ (reid robert)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 6.60 P
OXANA 5 1 1½ 2nk   34 3 (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00 10.50 S
GLASS CEILING 4 6 6 6   45 49 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 2.45  
COREY 2 3 4 4   5 514¾ (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 14.30  
MOVIE MOXY 6 5 53 5   610½ 615¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 6% 14.60 36.75  
SCR  W W FITZY               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 8 9 6 4¾   1½ 1hd (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 2.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
EASTERN BAY 7 8 8 7   3½ 2hd (cash norman )CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 28% 2.60 6.70 P
  (by E DUBAI out of CHRUSCIKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
FACTOR IT IN 3 2 5 5   41 3½ (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 11.30  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GREELEY AND BEN 5 6 21 2nk   2½ 4¾ (englehart)VARGAS A 123 10.00 20% 4.00 20.40  
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of TRACI'S WILD by LANGFUHR)
DRAFTED 2 7 98 9   6 5 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 9.60  
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
STEINBECK 6 3 31 1nk   5 65 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 41.75  
  (by FROSTED out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
10  JALEN JOURNEY 10 10 10 10   10 7 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 30.00 59.25  
  (by WITH DISTINCTION out of PETUNIA FACE by CONGRATS)
JAXON TRAVELER 4 1 4 6   7 810¼ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 30% 2.30 2.95  
  (by MUNNINGS out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
REPO ROCKS 9 5 7 8   9 916 (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00 24.00  
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
MERAAS (GB) 1 4 11 3.2   8 1019¾ (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 3.15  
  (by OASIS DREAM (GB) out of REHN'S NEST by AUTHORIZED)
 
BAQ-10   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:13 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFLATION ADJUSTED 1 2 4 4 3 4 1¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 11.70  
ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 4 3 63 6 43 31 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 50% 1.00 6.20 P
ROYAL SPIRIT 7 6 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 3¾ (rice linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 5% 19.00 7.50 S
RELATE 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 41 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.00 2.30  
SIX MINUS 5 4 5 5 6 55 5 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 7.20  
11  FATIMA'S BLESSING 11 10 10 10 10 6 6 (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 32.50  
SONIC SPEED 2 11 11 117 11 7 7 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 10.50  
13  SHINSUN 12 12 12 12 12 119 84 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 8.00  
SELL SOMETHING 9 8 9 95 96 8 9 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00 83.25  
HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR 3 9 85 85 8 9 10 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 31.50  
10  FRENCHBORO 10 7 74 74 7 10 11 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5.70  
CAGNEY (BRZ) 8 5 31 31 5 129 1213¼ (schettino)VARGAS A 120 30.00 75.50  
SCR  BATON               (pino michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  BLU GROTTO               (kimmel c)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KHAFRE               (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 10% 9.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.