The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 29, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:234 :494 1:142 1:374   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAN'T FOOL ME 2 7 73¾ 64 64½ 41½ 12¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 8.40  
7  PHOTON 6 2 32 42½ 42½ 31½ 22¼ (breen j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 29% 2.50 1.85 P
8  SUCCULENT 7 8 85¼ 85¾ 87¾ 84½ 32½ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 7.30  
10  PIMENOVA 9 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 1½ 42¾ (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
9  BAVARIAN CREME 8 6 53½ 53½ 32½ 2½ 53¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 9% 9.50 13.90  
4  CAPE COD CAUSEWAY 3 3 63½ 74¼ 74¾ 62½ 63¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 17% 4.80 4.50  
1A  ARISAEMA 10 5 2½ 2½ 21½ 52 74 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 9.80  
5  LEM ME DRINK 4 4 42½ 32½ 53½ 74 85½ (levine bruce)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 21.90  
6  SHE'S A NATURAL 5 10 95¾ 96¾ 1010¼ 97 95½ (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00 74.00  
2  HONOR STAR 1 9 107¼ 108¼ 98¾ 1012 1014 (ferraro w)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00 87.00  
SCR  SUMMER TAKEOVER               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  YOGI               (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 ★    
 
BAQ-2   10/29/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
:22 :443 :554     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WAR FIGHTER 3 1 11 11½   15 16¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 ★ 3.00  
2  CAPTAIN QUICK 2 7 76 65   45½ 26¼ (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00 10.00  
6  CLEAT 7 2 41½ 32   25 37¼ (mott i)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.50 49% 1.00 1.65 S
7  CHUCKA MOON 8 3 65 75   56½ 47½ (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 ★ 2.90  
5  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR 6 4 21 21½   35½ 58½ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 5.20  
1A  GOLDEN PURCHASE 5 8 88 87   810 611¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00 19.20  
4  CAPLETON 4 5 31½ 42½   68 711¾ (richards marvin)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00 57.25  
1  CLASH A. J. 1 6 54½ 54½   79 813 (jones e)HARKIE K 121 20.00 19.20  
SCR  CRACK THE CODE               (duarte jr)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-3   10/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:24 :481 1:124     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINIT 1 8 41 2½ 1nk 11 12 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 ★ 2.60  
6  MONEY SUPPLY 6 6 51½ 42 31½ 21 22 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 29% 2.50 3.15 P
8  THREE JOKERS 8 5 2½ 1½ 2nk 31 36 (terranova p)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 11.20  
2  LUNI SIMA 2 2 73½ 74 54¼ 54 48¾ (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 ★ 7.10  
3  HIPPODROME 3 1 62½ 84½ 64¼ 65 59¼ (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 42.00  
7  TRIPLE ELVIS 7 4 1½ 31½ 41¾ 43½ 611¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8.00  
4  PERCEIVED 4 7 83¾ 63½ 76¼ 810 715¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 ★ 8.40  
5  SHIPSATIONAL 5 3 31 53 86¾ 79½ 815¾ (barker r)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 41% 1.50 3.35  
 
BAQ-4   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:12
:231 :483 1:13 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FREEDOM TRAIL 4 6 68½ 66 65½ 22 1¾ (terranova p)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 14% 6.20 1.90 W
3  DANDY HANDYMAN 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 2¾ (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★ 10.10 P
5  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 5 3 34½ 32 32 43 31 (friedman mitchell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 12.10 DQ↓4
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 6 2 46 43½ 44 64 41 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 49% 1.00 3.00 S
2  SENDERO 2 5 58 54½ 54½ 53½ 51¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 ★ 3.55  
1  CONMAN 1 7 710 76½ 76 75 63¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 7.30  
7  EL DE CHIMI 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 32½ 74½ (avila carlos)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 11% 8.40 9.50  
 
BAQ-5   10/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:242 :483 1:131     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOUBLE CROWN 5 3 52½ 52 51¾ 21½ 11¾ (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 12% 7.30 42.25 W
6  BABY YODA 6 5 2½ 3½ 11 11½ 21¾ (mott i)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 29% 2.50 0.55 P
1  SHACKQUEENKING 1 1 31 2½ 31 34½ 310 (capuano a)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 ★ 9.50 S
2  EMPTY TOMB 2 2 1½ 1½ 21 55 411¼ (falcone n)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 6.40  
3  MORELLO 3 6 42 41½ 41½ 44½ 513 (asmussen m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★ 3.40  
4  TITLE READY 4 4 64½ 63½ 66¾ 610½ 616¾ (stewart dallas)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00 18% 4.60 13.30  
 
BAQ-6   10/29/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:221 :444 :561     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOGO SHOES 6 6 53¼ 42½   2nk 1nk (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 7% 13.60 5.20 W
1  MRS. GREEN 1 5 31½ 21½   1nk 2nk (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.95 P
4  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM 4 7 77¾ 75½   42½ 32 (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 ★ 4.30 S
5  STRONG ODOR 5 1 21½ 32   52¾ 43¾ (maker j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 10% 9.50 15.50  
7  STOP WAR 7 2 11½ 11½   31 55¼ (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 24% 3.10 4.40  
3  SECRET TIME (GER) 3 3 65¼ 65½   74¾ 67½ (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 13.10  
2  MADEMOISELLE NOVA 2 4 43 54   64¾ 78½ (sweezey kent)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 38.00  
 
BAQ-7   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
:24 :49 1:13     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PARNAC (FR) 2 6 64½ 64½ 73¼ 41½ 1nk (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 ★ 3.15  
1  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) 1 7 53½ 53 51¾ 3½ 2nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 15% 5.70 0.85 P
4  CHORUS GIRL 4 4 42 3½ 3½ 1nk 3½ (matz r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8.80  
10  CAIRONI 7 5 76 76 63¼ 61¾ 4¾ (miceli michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 40.00  
3  TIMELESS JOURNEY 3 3 31½ 42 41½ 51¾ 52¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 10% 8.90 17.70  
6  ICY STARE DOWN 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 64¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 4.50  
8  TUSCAN QUEEN 6 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 72¼ 76½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 ★ 16.90  
SCR  INVINCIBLE GAL (GB)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  MALIBU CURL               (albertrani thomas)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER               (camejo m)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
SCR  TEQUILERA               (matz r)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:232 :47 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOSTON POST ROAD 1 4 2½ 1nk   11½ 1¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 39% 1.50 0.65 W
4  DR B 3 2 31½ 31   21½ 2¾ (reid e)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 ★ 6.60 P
6  OXANA 5 1 1½ 2nk   34 38½ (hills a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00 ★ 10.50 S
5  GLASS CEILING 4 6 64½ 63½   45 49 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 2.45  
3  COREY 2 3 42½ 41½   57½ 514¾ (walder r)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 14.30  
7  MOVIE MOXY 6 5 53 52½   610½ 615¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 6% 14.60 36.75  
SCR  W W FITZY               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
:223 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUNNINSONOFAGUN 8 9 62¼ 4¾   1½ 1hd (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 ★ 2.65  
7  EASTERN BAY 7 8 84½ 72¾   3½ 2hd (cash l)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 28% 2.60 6.70 P
3  FACTOR IT IN 3 2 52¼ 51¼   41 3½ (mancilla a)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 11.30  
5  GREELEY AND BEN 5 6 21 2nk   2½ 4¾ (englehart s)VARGAS A 123 10.00 20% 4.00 20.40  
2  DRAFTED 2 7 98 94¾   61¾ 51¼ (duggan p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 9.60  
6  STEINBECK 6 3 31 1nk   51½ 65 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 41.75  
10  JALEN JOURNEY 10 10 108½ 109¾   109¾ 79¾ (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 30.00 59.25  
4  JAXON TRAVELER 4 1 41¼ 61¼   73¾ 810¼ (asmussen m)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 30% 2.30 2.95  
9  REPO ROCKS 9 5 72½ 84¼   97¼ 916 (diprima gregory)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00 24.00  
1  MERAAS (GB) 1 4 11 3.2   84¼ 1019¾ (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 ★ 3.15  
 
BAQ-10   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:244 :492 1:13 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFLATION ADJUSTED 1 2 41½ 41½ 32½ 41½ 1¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 11.70  
4  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 4 3 63 63½ 43 31 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 50% 1.00 6.20 P
7  ROYAL SPIRIT 7 6 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 3¾ (rice linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 5% 19.00 7.50 S
6  RELATE 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 41 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.00 2.30  
5  SIX MINUS 5 4 52½ 52½ 64½ 55 51½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 7.20  
11  FATIMA'S BLESSING 11 10 105¾ 105½ 106¼ 66½ 62¼ (summers chad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 32.50  
2  SONIC SPEED 2 11 116¼ 117 117¼ 76¾ 72¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 10.50  
13  SHINSUN 12 12 128¼ 128½ 128¾ 119 84 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 8.00  
9  SELL SOMETHING 9 8 95¼ 95 96 87¼ 94½ (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00 83.25  
3  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR 3 9 85 85 85½ 97¼ 106¾ (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 31.50  
10  FRENCHBORO 10 7 74 74 74½ 107½ 117½ (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5.70  
8  CAGNEY 8 5 31 31 53½ 129 1213¼ (schettino a)VARGAS A 120 30.00 75.50  
SCR  BATON               (pino v)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  BLU GROTTO               (kimmel c)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KHAFRE               (antonacci philip)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.