Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ARISAEMA Jul16 Jun04 Apr10     (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER TAKEOVER         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
2  HONOR STAR Oct08 Aug31 Jul31     (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00    
3  CAN'T FOOL ME Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Apr24 Apr10 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
4  CAPE COD CAUSEWAY Sep04 Jul16 May12 Apr10 Jan06 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  LEM ME DRINK Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Jun25   (levine bruc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
6  SHE'S A NATURAL May30         (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
7  PHOTON Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 Jul09   (breen j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
8  SUCCULENT Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Jul16 Jun25 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
9  BAVARIAN CREME Sep30 Aug11 Jun24 May30 Apr23 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 9% 9.50    
10  PIMENOVA Feb27 Jan02       (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  YOGI Aug31 Aug03       (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 ★    
 
BAQ-2   10/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASH A. J. Feb24 Feb13 Jan22 Jan09 Jan01 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
1A  GOLDEN PURCHASE Oct15 Oct03       (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
2  CAPTAIN QUICK Sep29 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 8.00    
3  WAR FIGHTER         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 ★    
4  CAPLETON Jul28 Jul17       (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00    
5  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Sep15         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50    
6  CLEAT Sep13         (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
7  CHUCKA MOON Sep29 Aug28 Jan06     (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Aug13 Jun26       (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 23% 3.30    
SCR  CRACK THE CODE Sep18 Aug15 Jul30 Jul08 May21 (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   10/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINIT Sep29 Aug18 Jul08 Jun10   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 ★    
2  LUNI SIMA Sep25 Aug27 Jul03 Jun04 May08 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 ★    
3  HIPPODROME Oct08 Sep24 Aug22 Aug13 Aug01 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
4  PERCEIVED Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 May15 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 5.00 ★    
5  SHIPSATIONAL Oct08 Mar12 Feb12     (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 41% 1.50    
6  MONEY SUPPLY Aug06 Jun19 May07 Apr08 Feb12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  TRIPLE ELVIS Aug15 Jun26       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
8  THREE JOKERS Aug12 Jun11 May15 Mar04 Feb05 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONMAN Sep17 Aug10 Jul17     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
2  SENDERO Sep07 Jul18       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 ★    
3  DANDY HANDYMAN Sep07         (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
4  FREEDOM TRAIL Sep25         (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Oct02 Aug31 Aug19 Jul27   (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Sep17 Aug19       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
7  EL DE CHIMI Sep17 Aug21 Jul23     (avila c)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 11% 8.40    
 
BAQ-5   10/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACKQUEENKING Oct01 Sep03 Aug10 Feb19 Jan29 (capuano a)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of JURYS OUT by LAWYER RON)
2  EMPTY TOMB Oct07 Jan29       (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SURE PEG by ARCH)
3  MORELLO (NZ) Oct08 Jun11 Apr09 Mar05 Feb06 (asmussen steven)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of STOP THE WEDDING by CONGRATS)
4  TITLE READY Sep19 Aug06 Jul02 May06 Apr02 (stewart d)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TITLE SEEKER by MONARCHOS)
5  DOUBLE CROWN Oct22 Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 Jul30 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
6  BABY YODA Oct07 Aug27 Jul16 Jun10 May05 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 122 1.20 29% 2.50    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of MORE THAN SPEED by MORE THAN READY)
 
BAQ-6   10/29/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. GREEN Oct15 Sep15 Aug14 Jul20 Jun24 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  MADEMOISELLE NOVA Sep30 Sep03 Jun11 May14   (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
3  SECRET TIME (GER) Aug31 Aug04 Jun04 Feb25   (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
4  MISCHIEVOUS DREAM Sep30 Sep02 Jul08 May27 Apr23 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 ★    
5  STRONG ODOR Sep30         (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 10% 9.50    
6  GOGO SHOES Sep14 Jul18 Jun25 May21 May01 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 7% 13.60    
7  STOP WAR Sep30 Aug13 Jul27 Jun25 Jun10 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-7   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) Aug25 Jul14 Jun03     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 15% 5.70    
2  PARNAC (FR) Sep30 Aug27 Jul08     (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 ★    
3  TIMELESS JOURNEY Apr09         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
4  CHORUS GIRL Aug24         (matz michae)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  INVINCIBLE GAL (GB) Aug27 Jul08       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
6  ICY STARE DOWN Sep15 Mar24 Feb26     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  MALIBU CURL Oct03 Sep07 Jul30 Jun12 May22 (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
8  TUSCAN QUEEN Sep30 Sep15 Aug19 Jul24 Jul02 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER Sep30 Aug05 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (camejo jo)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
10  CAIRONI Sep30 Aug19 Jul24 Jun16 May14 (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  TEQUILERA Sep18 Aug10 Jul12 May26 Apr03 (matz r)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  W W FITZY Sep01 Aug04 Jun12 May06 Apr01 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  BOSTON POST ROAD Sep04 Aug04 Jun11 May08   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
3  COREY Sep10 Aug14 Jul02 May21 Apr23 (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
4  DR B Oct03 Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 (reid robert)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 ★    
5  GLASS CEILING Jul02 Jun10 Apr09 Feb19 Jan23 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50    
6  OXANA Oct03 Sep10 Aug22 Jul02 Jun10 (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00 ★    
7  MOVIE MOXY Oct06 Sep04 Aug03 Jul20   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 6% 14.60    
 
BAQ-9   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERAAS (GB) Sep03         (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 ★    
  (by OASIS DREAM (GB) out of REHN'S NEST by AUTHORIZED)
2  DRAFTED Oct08 Aug27 Jul02 Jun04 May14 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
3  FACTOR IT IN Oct01 Aug16 Jul10     (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  JAXON TRAVELER Sep10 Jul30 May21 Apr21 Mar19 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LISTEN BOY by AFTER MARKET)
5  GREELEY AND BEN Oct08 Sep04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 (englehart)VARGAS A 123 10.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of TRACI'S WILD by LANGFUHR)
6  STEINBECK Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Aug20 Aug08 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
7  EASTERN BAY Oct08 Sep28 Aug26 Aug13 Jul10 (cash norman )CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by E DUBAI out of CHRUSCIKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
8  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Sep24 Aug27 Jul31 Jul02 May15 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
9  REPO ROCKS Oct03 Aug10 Jul02 Jun14 May14 (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  JALEN JOURNEY Oct08 Oct03 Sep23 Aug26 Aug16 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 30.00    
  (by WITH DISTINCTION out of PETUNIA FACE by CONGRATS)
 
BAQ-10   10/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFLATION ADJUSTED Oct09 Sep05 Aug10 Jul02   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
2  SONIC SPEED Oct09 Sep24 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
3  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Oct02 Mar18 Feb20     (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
4  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Aug25 Jun25 Apr15 Feb27 Jan14 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
5  SIX MINUS Sep05 May29 Apr24 Mar20 Feb27 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
6  RELATE Aug14 Jun19 Feb24 Feb05 Jan01 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.00    
7  ROYAL SPIRIT Oct07 Aug25 Jul16 Jun12 Apr02 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  CAGNEY (BRZ) Aug17 Jun23 May20 Apr01 Feb25 (schettino)VARGAS A 120 30.00    
9  SELL SOMETHING Oct07 Aug18 Jul29 Jun23 May28 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
10  FRENCHBORO Oct02         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
11  FATIMA'S BLESSING Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 Jun25 (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
SCR  KHAFRE Sep25 Aug12 Jul02 Jun02 May06 (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
13  SHINSUN Aug17 Jul23 Jun17     (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  BATON Sep24 Aug19       (pino michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL Sep25 Sep03 Jul22 Jun17 May01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  BLU GROTTO Oct02 Apr07 Feb26 Feb04 Jan13 (kimmel c)RIDER TBA 124 2.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.