The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - December 12, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
MVR-1   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:232 :48 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 1 6 67¼ 46   33½ 11 (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 0.80 58% 0.70 1.00 W
3  EL CONDOR CAZA 3 4 33 23½   21 21 (langley joshua)PILARES P 126 10.00 ★ 15.40 P
6  BUCKEYE RED 6 2 1nk 13½   11 33 (maddox rachael)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 ★ 4.20 S
2  OXBOW'S RIDE 2 5 57 59   410½ 415¼ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00 30.30  
4  FAST AS FAST CAN B 4 3 2nk 35   510½ 520¾ (guidry terrance)HALDAR J 125 8.00 ★ 3.40  
5  SQUEAKY CLEAN 5 1 45½ 612   617½ 628¾ (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 125 2.50 14% 6.00 3.50  
 
MVR-2   12/12/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:253 :50 1:154 1:291   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 1 1nk 21 11½ 13½ 13½ (romero a)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 18% 4.40 2.70 W
3  DR. ZARNETT 2 3 41¾ 31½ 21½ 23½ 23½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★ 2.30 P
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 7 63¾ 53½ 54½ 49 38 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 3.00 20% 4.10 2.40  
2  FU ROO 1 2 3.2 11 33½ 38 49¾ (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 126 1.80 33% 2.10 3.20  
7  SAMMY DA BULL 6 5 2nk 41½ 44½ 512 511¼ (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 8.40  
1A  MUSTANG WILLIE 7 6 75¾ 77 76¾ 612½ 612 (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 ★ 2.40  
6  ONE CRAZY RIDE 4 4 52¾ 64½ 66½ 715½ 718¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 12.00 38.20  
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT               (miller arizona)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
MVR-3   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:232 :48 1:012     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORA PANQUEQUES 2 3 21 2nk   11 13½ (morales m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 7.80  
3  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 3 4 42 31½   31½ 23½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.50 P
2  REYS PINA COLADA 1 2 11 1nk   21 38¼ (schuster robin)RIVERA R 123 8.00 ★ 7.50 S
6  SEEKING THE MONEY 7 5 32 42½   45½ 410¼ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 118 1.80 39% 1.60 1.70  
5  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 6 1 78¼ 69   59½ 510¾ (skerrett jeffrey)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.00 ★ 4.00  
1A  BEAUTIFUL LASS 5 6 54½ 57½   69½ 618 (morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 7.80  
4  ETTA 4 7 64¾ 710   716½ 727¾ (rivera nestor)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 ★ 25.40  
 
MVR-4   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:232 :47 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BEVERLY PARK 8 1 2½ 11   14½ 1¼ (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 1.20 58% 0.70 0.20 W
4  FLAT FUN 4 7 74¼ 66¼   34½ 2¼ (dillion jimmy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 5.00 9% 10.30 4.70 P
3  PROFESSIONAL 3 4 42 32   24½ 33¾ (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 64.80  
7  DIAMONDS ENJOY 7 3 1½ 21   44¾ 48 (galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 11.80  
5  VOLBEAT 5 2 52¼ 42   55¼ 510¾ (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★ 11.40  
2  FAHRENHEIT 2 6 32 56   67¾ 613¼ (trevino g)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 8% 11.90 20.30  
6  UNCLE KEVIN 6 5 64¼ 77¼   79¼ 714¾ (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 43.30  
1  UNION BROTHER 1 8 84½ 812¼   814¼ 818¾ (reed r)RIVERA R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 74.30  
 
MVR-5   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:233 :481 1:011     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KID RUSSELL 5 3 21 1nk   2½ 1½ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 126 6.00 29% 2.40 2.20 W
8  HONOR THE D 6 1 44½ 2nk   1½ 2½ (bates l)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 5% 19.00 8.20 P
2  MOBIL AT LAST 2 8 813½ 89½   68½ 35 (diehl candace)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7.10  
5  KONTAR 4 5 65½ 53½   44½ 45 (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50 14% 6.30 2.10  
4  JOES A ROCKIN 3 4 33 42½   33½ 55¼ (castillo jabdiel)HALDAR J 126 4.00 ★ 3.20  
9  THE MAN CAN 7 6 55½ 32   55½ 68¾ (faulkner c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00 18.60  
10  PLATE IT UP 8 7 710½ 77½   78½ 711¼ (gonzalez donaciano)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00 25.60  
1  JUST CHESTER 1 2 11 66½   812½ 826½ (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 20.00 28.10  
SCR  CAPTAIN RILEY               (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
SCR  CHARLEE'S MAGIC               (trevino g)REYES FRANK 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-6   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:224 :462 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 2 11 11   11½ 11¼ (galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 ★ 1.90  
6  PLAY BALL 6 1 43 31½   21½ 21¼ (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 123 5.00 7% 13.50 4.80 P
4  MO DONT NO 4 5 54½ 63   43½ 31¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 8.00  
7  GOLDEN MONEY 7 7 77½ 74   73¾ 43¼ (dacosta jason)CORREA L 123 4.50 ★ 9.20  
5  CHIEF RANDEL 5 6 64½ 52½   63¾ 55½ (romero a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 ★ 2.30  
1  LITTLE BLAKER 1 3 32½ 41½   33 66 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 64% 0.60 5.50  
3  MIDNIGHT MIKEY 3 4 21 21   53½ 710½ (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 19.90  
 
MVR-7   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:231 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IT'S YOUR CALL 8 7 84¾ 55   41¾ 1nk (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00 14.20  
5  GARRETT 5 5 53 33½   31½ 2nk (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.00 P
4  QUIET AMIGO 4 1 22 21½   2nk 31 (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 22% 3.50 11.40 S
6  BULLION 6 3 64 65½   52¼ 42¾ (castillo jabdiel)HALDAR J 124 8.00 6% 15.00 13.80  
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK 2 9 97¾ 96¼   88¼ 55½ (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 21.50  
1  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 1 4 43 86   76¼ 66¾ (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 7% 13.00 14.10  
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY 3 8 32½ 44½   62¼ 77 (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 19.80  
7  APACHE 7 6 74¼ 75½   98½ 87¼ (elliott l)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 3.60  
9  UPGRADE AL 9 2 12 11½   1nk 97¾ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 10% 9.50 1.50  
 
MVR-8   12/12/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:241 :492 1:161 1:304   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STATE OF GRACE 7 5 53 51¼ 52½ 32 11 (feebeck h)ROSARIO L 125 4.50 7.20  
9  SORORITY SISTER 8 6 42½ 4¼ 11 1nk 21 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 13% 6.90 3.80 P
6  COSTUME JEWELRY 5 7 78 61½ 21 2nk 35¼ (morales m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 13.50  
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 4 8 89 83½ 85¾ 57¼ 45¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
4  SPICE ICE 3 3 32 1nk 31 42¼ 58 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.60 29% 2.40 1.00  
7  WAR MOON 6 4 2nk 2nk 41½ 68¾ 615 (doering mark)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00 33.80  
1  LADY FORTUNE 1 1 1nk 3.2 75½ 711¾ 720 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 5.00 15% 5.80 5.20  
3  YOU NAME IT 2 2 65 72½ 64½ 812¾ 824 (gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 17% 4.90 8.20  
SCR  SIREN CALL               (van dennis)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.