Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Nov29 Nov10 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 0.80 58% 0.70    
2  OXBOW'S RIDE Nov29 Nov10 Oct27     (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 120 12.00    
3  EL CONDOR CAZA Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Jul14 (langley)PILARES P 126 10.00 ★    
4  FAST AS FAST CAN B Nov10 Oct06 Jun21 Jan25 Jan11 (guidry terra)HALDAR J 125 8.00 ★    
5  SQUEAKY CLEAN Nov10 Oct07 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 125 2.50 14% 6.00    
6  BUCKEYE RED Nov10 Aug01       (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   12/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD Nov22 Oct24 Oct12 Sep22 Jul15 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
1A  MUSTANG WILLIE Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 Sep26 Aug24 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 ★    
2  FU ROO Nov22 Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 (schuster robin)FELICIANO R 126 1.80 33% 2.10    
3  DR. ZARNETT Nov28 Nov07 Oct10 Sep21 Aug22 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 Sep19 Aug17 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Oct10 Sep15 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 7% 13.10    
6  ONE CRAZY RIDE Nov28 Nov03 Sep27 Aug06 Mar16 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 12.00    
7  SAMMY DA BULL Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORA PANQUEQUES Nov23 Nov08 Aug03 Jul12   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
1A  BEAUTIFUL LASS Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Sep26 Sep07 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
2  REYS PINA COLADA Nov23 May09 Apr02 Feb26 Feb19 (schuster robin)RIVERA R 123 8.00 ★    
3  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Nov23 Nov07 Jun11 May11 Apr25 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  ETTA Nov23 Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 Aug30 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 ★    
5  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Sep07 Aug03 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.00 ★    
6  SEEKING THE MONEY Nov23 Oct25 Oct12 Sep07 Aug22 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-4   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION BROTHER Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Oct09 Sep07 (reed r)RIVERA R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAHRENHEIT Nov09 Oct14 Oct04 Aug30 Aug16 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
3  PROFESSIONAL Nov08 Oct12 Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
4  FLAT FUN Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 Sep30 Sep14 (dillion jim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
5  VOLBEAT Nov21 Oct24 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★    
6  UNCLE KEVIN Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 Oct06 Sep19 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
7  DIAMONDS ENJOY Nov07 Sep22 Aug18 Aug01 Jul14 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
8  BEVERLY PARK Nov28 Nov19 Nov12 Nov03 Oct15 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 1.20 58% 0.70    
 
MVR-5   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CHESTER Oct10 Sep22 Sep07     (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
2  MOBIL AT LAST Nov22 Nov03 Oct12 Sep22 Aug08 (diehl )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN RILEY Nov03 Jun27 May25 Apr27 Apr06 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
4  JOES A ROCKIN Nov12 Nov03 Oct11 Sep26 Aug25 (castillo jabdie)STANLEY O 126 4.00 ★    
5  KONTAR Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 Sep06 Aug13 (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 (trevino stephen)REYES FRANK 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
7  KID RUSSELL Nov28 Jun27 May30 Apr26 Apr16 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
8  HONOR THE D Oct10 Sep20       (bates l)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  THE MAN CAN Nov28 Nov03 Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
10  PLATE IT UP Dec01 Nov22 Nov03 Oct10 Sep22 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BLAKER Jan04         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 64% 0.60    
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS Nov21 Oct25 Oct03 Aug16 Jul15 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 ★    
3  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Jun30 Jun09 May19 May07   (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
4  MO DONT NO Nov21 Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 Sep06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
5  CHIEF RANDEL Nov21 Nov06 Oct14 Oct04 Sep06 (romero )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 ★    
6  PLAY BALL Dec01 Nov09 Oct22 Oct10 Sep27 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 123 5.00 7% 13.50    
7  GOLDEN MONEY May03 Apr15 Mar24 Mar07 Feb14 (dacosta j)CORREA L 123 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   12/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 Sep06 Aug16 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 124 6.00 7% 13.00    
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK Nov10 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug17 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Nov17 Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
4  QUIET AMIGO Nov09 Oct10 Sep06 Aug02 Jul06 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  GARRETT Nov23 Jun06 May17 Apr28 Apr09 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  BULLION Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 Oct06 Sep20 (castillo jab)HALDAR J 124 8.00 6% 15.00    
7  APACHE Nov21 May11 Apr27 Mar19 Feb21 (elliott mich)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00    
8  IT'S YOUR CALL Nov23 Oct31 Oct14 Sep21 Sep06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
9  UPGRADE AL Nov23 Sep21 Sep07 Jul05 Jun02 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 10% 9.50    
 
MVR-8   12/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY FORTUNE Nov28 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SIREN CALL Nov28 Nov12 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
3  YOU NAME IT Nov28 Nov12 Oct12 Sep08 Aug23 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  SPICE ICE Nov21 Oct26 Oct04 Sep15 Aug13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.60 29% 2.40    
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Aug12 Jul12 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  COSTUME JEWELRY Nov28 Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
7  WAR MOON Nov16 Oct24 Oct06 Sep21 Aug23 (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
8  STATE OF GRACE Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Sep29 Sep06 (feebeck thom)ROSARIO L 125 4.50    
9  SORORITY SISTER Nov28 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 13% 6.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.