The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
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MVR-1   12/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:22 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOTTAGETITBACK 7 4 31½ 21½   1nk 13 (clouston edward)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80 1.80 W
5  PERFECT PICTURE 4 7 65 44   3.2 23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.70 P
4  READY TO MARCH 3 5 21½ 31½   2nk 33¾ (chapman k)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 ★ 4.10 S
6  JOCKO ROAD 6 2 54½ 56   55¼ 48¾ (baird michael)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 ★ 5.00  
7  MAGIC MOUNTAIN 8 1 11½ 11½   41¼ 59¼ (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00 22.20  
3  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 1 8 815 814¾   713¼ 69¾ (schuster robin)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 ★ 21.70  
2  UPTOWN GUY 5 3 44 66¼   67¼ 711¾ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 15.60  
1  SMARTY JOHN 2 6 710 714¼   817¼ 824½ (clouston edward)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 ★ 1.80  
SCR  CADILLAC RIDE               (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 123 8.00    
 
MVR-2   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:242 :483 1:151 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILVER MATT 1 5 21½ 21 2nk 14 110¼ (langley joshua)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 2.50 53% 0.90 0.80 W
7  TRUST FUND ROBBER 8 1 33 35½ 33 36 210¼ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00 4.30  
5  AWESOME BREAK 5 3 44 48 49 47 312 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★ 7.70 S
3  OLD MAN MAC 3 2 11½ 11 1nk 24 414¾ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00 30.30  
6  RESERVATION 6 4 56½ 611½ 611 511 517¼ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 125 3.00 12% 7.60 5.00  
4  WHISKEY HELPS 4 7 79 59½ 510 614 626 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 8% 11.20 12.30  
1A  PARTY NEWS 7 8 814 820½ 824 827 739¼ (maver eduardo)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 4.00 ★ 7.80  
1  SHE SPEAKS WELL 2 6 68 715½ 716 722 843¾ (maver eduardo)BARBARAN ERIK 125 4.00 7.80  
 
MVR-3   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:231 :471 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HERO'S DAUGHTER 7 4 3½ 1nk   1nk 11½ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 15.00 44.40  
3  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE 2 5 2½ 3.2   2nk 21½ (buttigieg kevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 9.50  
10  IRON WILMA 10 1 54 55¼   52 33½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 16.30  
7  I MATTER 6 11 1011½ 913¼   64½ 44¾ (gorham m)BRACHO A 125 10.00 6% 15.70 7.50  
1  MARIMBA 9 2 42 41¼   41 54¾ (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 6.00 26% 2.90 9.50  
6  LITTLE FOUR 5 8 86½ 710¼   85¾ 66½ (fiesman l)CORREA L 126 20.00 5% 17.90 18.00  
5  HOPS PETUNIA 4 3 1½ 2nk   3½ 77 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.50 11% 8.00 3.00  
11  DANCING FOR MONEY 11 9 75½ 66¼   75½ 87½ (sullivan elliott)CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.50 3.50  
9  AMORADA 8 6 65 810¼   99¾ 910¼ (medina tomas)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.00 29% 2.50 2.60  
2  LOVINGTIZ 1 7 910 1018¼   1015¾ 1022½ (bracho jr)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 15.00 35.00  
4  PACKIN 3 10 1111¾ 1118¾   1117¼ 1127 (norris stephani)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 67.60  
SCR  SOULSTONE               (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 125 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:23 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FRONTLINER 7 3 63¾ 42   1nk 13¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.40 39% 1.50 1.60 W
5  JOSHY JAK 5 6 31½ 31   4¼ 23¾ (bayley randy)DIAZ I 124 10.00 9% 9.80 3.60 P
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 1 21½ 2nk   2nk 36¾ (johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 24% 3.20 4.20 S
4  D'MONEY HONEY 4 5 53½ 78½   65½ 48 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 6.00 5% 18.30 9.40  
2  CON ON THE RUN 2 2 11½ 1nk   3.2 58¼ (chapman k)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 4.20  
1  UNCLE KEVIN 1 7 77¾ 68   55¼ 68¾ (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 22.10  
3  PROFESSIONAL 3 4 42½ 56   76½ 719¾ (brown glenroy)CCAMAQUE M 124 3.50 ★ 8.10  
 
MVR-5   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:224 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AUGER 6 2 55½ 4¾   2nk 11 (vickers t)DIAZ I 124 10.00 10.00  
3  AMERICAN UNION 2 8 21 2nk   3.2 21 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 9% 9.60 1.50 P
1  DECEITFUL ANTHONY 1 7 11 1nk   1nk 31¾ (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 7.10  
9  LUCKY JUNIOR 8 4 65¾ 52¾   52¾ 42¼ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 7% 12.40 9.10  
4  TOO LEGIT 3 6 32 3.2   41¼ 53½ (robillard julie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 12% 7.60 10.70  
8  THE FILTER 7 3 89¾ 62¾   62¾ 65¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 3.30  
6  ARAZI LIKE MOVE 5 1 75¾ 85¾   88 712 (langley joshua)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.70 5.20  
5  HE'S THE SOUPERWON 4 5 42 73¼   77¾ 816¼ (van dennis)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 21.90  
SCR  BIG TRIP               (brown t)RIVERA R 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-6   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:243 :482 1:134 1:27   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH 1 5 11 11½ 1½ 1nk 1nk (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 12% 7.30 10.00 W
2  WINDY LU WHO 2 2 21 21½ 2½ 2nk 2nk (anderson l)BRACHO A 124 5.00 16% 5.10 4.70 P
4  HAPPY BEE 4 3 31½ 32½ 32 34 36¼ (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 13% 6.90 13.30 S
6  SHE'S CRAFTY 6 7 710 711 711½ 67½ 49½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 2.50 ★ 2.20  
5  KINGSTON TIME 5 4 53½ 53½ 43 46 510 (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 6.80  
7  BALLROOM BLITZ 7 1 64 64 53½ 56½ 613¾ (gorham m)RIVERA R 126 4.00 5.50  
3  MAOILIN 3 6 42 43½ 67½ 79 720¼ (blankenship t)JURADO EDDIE 124 3.00 32% 2.10 2.40  
 
MVR-7   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:23 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FANCY EMPRESS 8 1 23½ 32   2nk 14½ (campbell joel)BRACHO A 126 6.00 ★ 6.80  
1  GOLDEN LASSIE 1 4 13½ 12   1nk 24½ (clouston edward)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 14% 6.30 8.00 P
5  CHARGAREE 5 8 65¼ 64¾   32½ 35¼ (sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 43% 1.30 1.60 S
3  LILAC LACE 3 6 53¾ 44   42¾ 46¼ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 11% 8.50 1.70  
7  GO STELLAIRE 7 2 76¼ 76¾   63¾ 57 (vickers t)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 10.00 14.30  
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN 2 7 43¾ 54½   52¾ 68¾ (huffman m)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 8% 11.00 21.00  
6  GIFT FROM MOM 6 3 33½ 22   74¾ 713 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00 9.70  
4  LOVE'S TAVITO 4 5 86¾ 87¼   85¾ 814½ (gonzalez donaciano)CORREA L 126 20.00 23.60  
 
MVR-8   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:241 :48 1:133 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG TRUCK 3 3 54¼ 3.2 1nk 11 13 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 36% 1.80 2.20 W
7  RAISON KARTER 5 5 64¾ 63¼ 31 21 23 (estvanko richard)BRACHO A 126 2.00 30% 2.40 2.30 P
6  DYRDEK 4 2 32½ 1nk 2nk 31 35½ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 8% 10.80 3.50 S
2  THRU THE VINE 1 6 42¾ 52¼ 52¾ 55¼ 48¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 2.60  
4  MAGICAL EXPRESS 2 4 2nk 41¼ 42½ 45 517¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 12.60  
8  KITCHI 6 1 1nk 2nk 66¾ 611¼ 632¼ (gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 ★ 17.50  
SCR  UPTOWN               (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  VISKI JONES               (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.