Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY JOHN Dec07 Nov21 Oct20 Oct03 Sep02 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 ★    
1A  GOTTAGETITBACK Dec07 Nov21 Oct24 Sep09 Aug24 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  UPTOWN GUY Dec08 Jun20 Jun01 May04 Apr25 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
SCR  CADILLAC RIDE Oct27 Sep08 Aug24 Jun25 Jun08 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 123 8.00    
3  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Dec13 Nov21 Jun30 May26 May16 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 ★    
4  READY TO MARCH Dec10 Nov20 Oct27 Aug31 Aug03 (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 ★    
5  PERFECT PICTURE Dec02 Nov06 Oct07 Sep10 Aug21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  JOCKO ROAD Dec13 Dec07 Nov27 Nov14 Oct23 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 ★    
7  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Dec13 Dec07 Oct23 Oct10 Sep26 (welsh r)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE SPEAKS WELL Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 Oct17   (maver eduar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 4.00    
1A  PARTY NEWS Dec14 Nov23 Sep02     (maver eduardo)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 4.00 ★    
2  SILVER MATT Dec19 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 (langley)PILARES P 125 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  OLD MAN MAC Dec14 Nov22 Nov06 Oct23 Sep28 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 8.00    
4  WHISKEY HELPS Nov10 Oct07 Aug19 Aug03 Jul12 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 8% 11.20    
5  AWESOME BREAK Dec14 Nov08 May31 Apr28 Apr13 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★    
6  RESERVATION Dec14 Dec06 Nov17 Nov02 Oct27 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 125 3.00 12% 7.60    
7  TRUST FUND ROBBER Dec07 Nov14 Oct06 Sep22 Sep13 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00    
 
MVR-3   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIMBA Nov16 Nov04 Oct18 Oct01 Sep16 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  SOULSTONE Dec15 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 125 6.00 ★    
2  LOVINGTIZ Dec05 Oct25 Sep20 Apr24 Apr15 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 15.00    
3  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE Dec05 Oct04 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00    
4  PACKIN Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 Sep25   (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
5  HOPS PETUNIA Dec15 Nov28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct26 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.50 11% 8.00    
6  LITTLE FOUR Dec11 Nov21 Nov04 Oct15 Sep23 (fiesman r)CORREA L 126 20.00 5% 17.90    
7  I MATTER Nov23 Oct27 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 125 10.00 6% 15.70    
8  HERO'S DAUGHTER Sep20 Aug17 Apr02 Feb03 Jan10 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 15.00    
9  AMORADA Dec02 Nov10 Jul19 Jun30 May26 (medina tomas)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
10  IRON WILMA Dec21 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 Oct18 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
11  DANCING FOR MONEY Dec09 Nov11       (sullivan elli)CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.50    
 
MVR-4   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE KEVIN Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 Oct06 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
2  CON ON THE RUN Dec13 Jun09 Feb19 Jan14   (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
3  PROFESSIONAL Dec12 Nov08 Oct12 Oct04 Sep20 (brown glenroy)CCAMAQUE M 124 3.50 ★    
4  D'MONEY HONEY Dec15 Nov27 Nov08 Oct24 Oct07 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 6.00 5% 18.30    
5  JOSHY JAK Dec11 Nov07 Oct30     (bayley randy)DIAZ I 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Oct10 Sep12 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  FRONTLINER Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.40 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-5   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Dec12 Nov17 Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  BIG TRIP Dec15 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (brown t)RIVERA R 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  AMERICAN UNION Dec15 Nov22 Oct22 Sep14 Aug24 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
4  TOO LEGIT Dec14 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
5  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Dec12 Nov29 Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 (van den)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
6  ARAZI LIKE MOVE Dec04 Nov08 Aug23 Aug16 Jul18 (langle)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
7  AUGER Dec15 Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 Sep26 (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
8  THE FILTER Dec14 Dec05 Nov16 Nov07 Mar22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50    
9  LUCKY JUNIOR Dec13 Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct16 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 7% 12.40    
 
MVR-6   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH Dec19 Nov03 Oct04 Aug16 Aug03 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  WINDY LU WHO Nov28 Oct26 Oct04 May12 May02 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
3  MAOILIN Nov23 Nov12 Oct21 Sep27 Aug24 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  HAPPY BEE Nov19 Aug09 Jul27 Jul04 Jun14 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
5  KINGSTON TIME Nov21 Oct18 Oct10 Sep20 Sep13 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
6  SHE'S CRAFTY Nov28 Nov15 Oct29 Oct13 Aug24 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 2.50 ★    
7  BALLROOM BLITZ Dec15 Nov15 Oct29 Sep27 Aug13 (gorham m)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
 
MVR-7   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN LASSIE Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Jul12 Jun27 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct04 Sep14 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 8% 11.00    
3  LILAC LACE Dec20 Jun28 Jun11 May25 May11 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 11% 8.50    
4  LOVE'S TAVITO Dec11 Nov28 Nov22 Oct30 Sep28 (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 20.00    
5  CHARGAREE Dec08 Oct10 Sep19 Aug15 May31 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  GIFT FROM MOM Dec05 Nov10 Oct05 Sep02 Aug13 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00    
7  GO STELLAIRE Dec08 Nov17 Jun13 May30 May07 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 10.00    
8  FANCY EMPRESS Dec16 Nov25 Sep23 Aug20 Jul13 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   12/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VISKI JONES Dec15 Nov15 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
2  THRU THE VINE Dec08 Nov10 Oct31 Oct14 Sep21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  UPTOWN Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 Jul05 Jun03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
4  MAGICAL EXPRESS Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 Sep29 Sep19 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
5  BIG TRUCK Dec03 Sep22 Aug31 Jul22 Jun25 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  DYRDEK Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 8% 10.80    
7  RAISON KARTER Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep14 Sep05 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 2.00 30% 2.40    
8  KITCHI Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 Nov02 Oct24 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.