The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
MVR-1   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:231 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THREE MILE LIMIT 5 1 12½ 13½   14½ 17 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 1.60 40% 1.50 0.30 W
3  PAPER FLOWERS 3 3 22½ 23½   24½ 27 (trevino g)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
5  RESERVATION 6 5 68½ 511½   410½ 310½ (urieta johanna)TAPARA BRANDON 125 8.00 9.40  
7  AWESOME BREAK 8 6 58½ 611½   513½ 410¾ (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★ 39.20  
1  PARTY NEWS 2 8 711½ 715½   617½ 517¾ (maver eduardo)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 2.50 30% 2.40 4.30  
6  OLD MAN MAC 7 2 43½ 35½   39½ 618 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 6.00 ★ 16.00  
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL 4 7 812½ 815¾   718½ 721¼ (maver eduardo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 4.30  
2  EL TIZ 1 4 33 410½   819½ 830 (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 10.00 32.80  
 
MVR-2   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:234 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONTANI 1 1 12 16½   19 114 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 ★ 1.40  
3  GEMO 3 3 22 26½   29 214 (spiess m)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 11% 8.50 4.60 P
4  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN 4 4 53½ 48½   311 314 (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★ 13.10 S
2  RULING EMPIRE 2 2 32 611   513½ 416¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50 25% 3.10 1.30  
6  AJWIBAH 6 5 42½ 37½   412½ 520 (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 10.00 31.70  
5  POWER SONG 5 6 63¾ 510   613½ 620½ (trevino g)BIRT BRAXON 126 4.00 34% 1.90 8.70  
 
MVR-3   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:233 :473 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HALOFIED 3 2 23 23   2½ 12¼ (englehart s)PEREZ E 125 2.00 19% 4.40 2.00 W
2  V K PRINCESS 2 3 34½ 38   35½ 22¼ (bracho jr)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 9% 9.70 10.40 P
7  STORMY BELLA 6 1 13 13   1½ 32¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 ★ 1.20 S
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 6 66½ 510½   410 43¼ (flores christian)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00 21.20  
5  WHAT'S SO FUNNY 4 4 55 611   510½ 58 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 38% 1.60 3.50  
6  CALL TONY 5 5 45 410½   613½ 617¼ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 7% 13.60 10.10  
SCR  ARTUME               (brinsfield brooken)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 12.00    
 
MVR-4   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
:233 :481 1:014     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 3 31½ 3½   2nk 14 (tooley jennifer)PILARES P 122 4.50 34% 2.00 3.10 W
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 2 4 21 1nk   1nk 24 (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00 10.00  
1  BAILEY ROAD 4 9 108½ 810¼   56 34¾ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00 8.40  
9  ANIMO ROBERTO 10 10 66¼ 47½   45 46½ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.50 13% 6.70 5.10  
8  JOHN'S WILD RIVER 9 1 11 2nk   31½ 57½ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 ★ 2.50  
7  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 7 7 78¼ 79¾   610 68 (schuster robin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5% 18.80 15.70  
1A  MY BUDDY MICAH 8 2 98½ 912¼   818 724¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 8.40  
5  JOHN PHILIP 5 5 56 69½   717 828 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 10.00 31.10  
6  TRANSPIRED 6 6 46 58½   921 941 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
2  NEW YORK MIRACLE 1 8 88¼ 1014¼   1026 1047¾ (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00 65.90  
 
MVR-5   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:244 :491 1:152 1:283   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  I LOVE JAXSON 10 4 45½ 44½ 11 17 16½ (englehart s)PEREZ E 124 3.50 11% 8.20 1.30 W
3  JURISDICTION 3 7 57½ 66½ 31 27 26½ (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10 3.90 P
4  DETERMINATOR 4 2 68 79½ 53½ 39 39¾ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 21% 3.90 2.60 S
7  KLAATU 7 1 1½ 1nk 21 410 411 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11.00  
8  THE DRAKE 8 8 911 812½ 78 712½ 511¾ (flores christian)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 11.00  
9  KING ANDRES 9 3 31½ 2nk 42 510½ 616 (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 22.90  
5  GOTSOMEMOJO 5 10 1014 913½ 811 816½ 718 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 10% 9.20 49.80  
6  GEH SCHNELL 6 6 79 55½ 64 612½ 818¾ (manning c)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 24.00  
1  COOPER'S CRESCENT 1 5 2½ 3½ 913 936½ 949½ (reed r)RIVERA R 124 15.00 9% 10.50 21.90  
2  DYNAFORM 2 9 810½ 1018½ 1020 1038½ 1049½ (lopez e)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 75.30  
 
MVR-6   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:244 :493 1:153 1:284   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  T MONEY 4 8 77¾ 76¼ 4¾ 1½ 1nk (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 10% 9.20 5.50 DQ↓3
1  HUNTER SCOTT 1 3 22½ 23½ 2½ 41 2nk (acevedo israel)BRACHO A 123 4.00 17% 4.80 2.80 W
6  TO WIN 6 5 33½ 55 52¾ 2½ 3.2 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 11.00 P
5  ROYAL DRAGOON 5 1 87¾ 87¾ 87¼ 62¾ 43½ (urieta johanna)CORREA L 124 12.00 23.00  
7  FALCONS FURY 7 6 45½ 44 3½ 52½ 54 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 7.00  
1A  RYEGATE STONE 8 7 12½ 13½ 1½ 31 66½ (acevedo israel)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 2.80  
2  ROYAL REALM 2 4 55½ 33½ 62¾ 76¾ 77¾ (englehart s)PEREZ E 124 2.50 11% 8.30 2.30  
3  GOOD IDEA 3 2 67½ 65¼ 76¼ 89¾ 815¾ (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 37% 1.70 2.80  
 
MVR-7   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:224 :473 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHISELED JUSTICE 9 6 55½ 42¼   1nk 1¾ (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 6.30  
3  TURNING PAGES 3 4 2½ 12   2nk 2¾ (trevino g)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 16% 5.10 7.30 P
8  MUCHO PRIMO 8 7 33½ 22   31½ 32½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.50 ★ 2.30 S
10  IMA BELIEVER 10 11 1012½ 88¼   77¼ 43¼ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 10.60  
4  ZAROSHA 4 9 910½ 76¼   65¾ 53½ (poole m)BRACHO A 123 15.00 41.30  
11  THE PINK Z 11 1 44½ 32   41¾ 65 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00 14% 5.90 5.80  
6  HEIDI'S SINATRA 6 10 1113½ 1110   910½ 76 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 86.00  
7  DEXQUIRE 7 2 76 66¼   55¾ 86½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00 14.30  
1  TALE OF LACEY 1 8 87½ 99¼   1111½ 915 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 39% 1.50 3.90  
5  CATMAN JACK 5 5 66 109¾   1011½ 1015¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 3 1½ 54¼   810¼ 1125½ (maddox rachael)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 41.50  
 
MVR-8   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:252 :50 1:174 1:32   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VENTURE ON 4 3 21 1nk 11 14 15¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 1.60 40% 1.50 0.80 W
6  MUCH TIMES TWO 5 2 42½ 41½ 21 24 25¾ (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 ★ 36.50 P
9  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 9 1 87 98 52½ 35 38 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 13.30  
8  JUST INSPIRED 8 7 98½ 77¾ 86¾ 610 414½ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00 95.90  
7  GOING PRIMETIME 6 8 75 64¾ 64½ 49 515¼ (rivera nestor)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 8% 11.90 32.20  
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY 7 5 53 51¾ 32 59 615½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
1A  DAVIS HAT 10 6 1010½ 1012½ 109¾ 812 719 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 4.00 ★ 2.70  
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 4 11 2nk 42½ 711½ 822¼ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 9% 10.30 4.50  
3  GIBBY MY CORN 2 10 65 87¾ 76½ 914 924 (murillo alejandro)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 11.80  
2  SWEET JILL'S JACK 1 9 32 3½ 98¾ 1017½ 1030¾ (campbell l)CORREA L 124 20.00 62.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.