Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE MILE LIMIT 5 1 1 1   1 17 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 1.60 40% 1.50 0.30 W
PAPER FLOWERS 3 3 2 2   2 27 (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
RESERVATION 6 5 6 511½   410½ 310½ (urieta johanna)TAPARA BRANDON 125 8.00 9.40  
AWESOME BREAK 8 6 5 611½   513½ 410¾ (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 39.20  
PARTY NEWS 2 8 711½ 715½   617½ 517¾ (maver eduardo)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 2.50 30% 2.40 4.30  
OLD MAN MAC 7 2 4 3   3 618 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 6.00 16.00  
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL 4 7 812½ 815¾   718½ 721¼ (maver eduardo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50 4.30  
EL TIZ 1 4 33 410½   819½ 830 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 10.00 32.80  
 
MVR-2   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONTANI 1 1 12 1   19 114 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 1.40  
GEMO 3 3 22 2   29 214 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 11% 8.50 4.60 P
TENTWELVEFOURTEEN 4 4 5 4   311 314 (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 13.10 S
RULING EMPIRE 2 2 32 611   513½ 416¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50 25% 3.10 1.30  
AJWIBAH 6 5 4 3   412½ 520 (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 10.00 31.70  
POWER SONG 5 6 6 510   613½ 620½ (trevino g)BIRT BRAXON 126 4.00 34% 1.90 8.70  
 
MVR-3   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALOFIED 3 2 23 23   2½ 1 (englehart s)PEREZ E 125 2.00 19% 4.40 2.00 W
V K PRINCESS 2 3 3 38   3 2 (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 9% 9.70 10.40 P
STORMY BELLA 6 1 13 13   1½ 3 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 1.20 S
PLAYFUL SUMMER 1 6 6 510½   410 4 (flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00 21.20  
WHAT'S SO FUNNY 4 4 55 611   510½ 58 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 38% 1.60 3.50  
CALL TONY 5 5 45 410½   613½ 617¼ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 7% 13.60 10.10  
SCR  ARTUME               (brinsfield broo)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 12.00    
 
MVR-4   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:014     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 3 3 3½   2nk 14 (tooley je)PILARES P 122 4.50 34% 2.00 3.10 W
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 2 4 21 1nk   1nk 24 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00 10.00  
BAILEY ROAD 4 9 10 810¼   56 3 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00 8.40  
ANIMO ROBERTO 10 10 6 4   45 4 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.50 13% 6.70 5.10  
JOHN'S WILD RIVER 9 1 11 2nk   3 5 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 2.50  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 7 7 7 7   610 68 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5% 18.80 15.70  
1A  MY BUDDY MICAH 8 2 9 912¼   818 724¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 8.40  
JOHN PHILIP 5 5 56 6   717 828 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 10.00 31.10  
TRANSPIRED 6 6 46 5   921 941 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 1 8 8 1014¼   1026 1047¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00 65.90  
 
MVR-5   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:152 1:283   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  I LOVE JAXSON 10 4 4 4 11 17 1 (englehart s)PEREZ E 124 3.50 11% 8.20 1.30 W
JURISDICTION 3 7 5 6 31 27 2 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10 3.90 P
DETERMINATOR 4 2 68 7 5 39 3 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 21% 3.90 2.60 S
KLAATU 7 1 1½ 1nk 21 410 411 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11.00  
THE DRAKE 8 8 911 812½ 78 712½ 511¾ (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 11.00  
KING ANDRES 9 3 3 2nk 42 510½ 616 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 22.90  
GOTSOMEMOJO 5 10 1014 913½ 811 816½ 718 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 10% 9.20 49.80  
GEH SCHNELL 6 6 79 5 64 612½ 818¾ (mannin)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 24.00  
COOPER'S CRESCENT 1 5 2½ 3½ 913 936½ 949½ (reed r)RIVERA R 124 15.00 9% 10.50 21.90  
DYNAFORM 2 9 810½ 1018½ 1020 1038½ 1049½ (lopez jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 75.30  
 
MVR-6   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153 1:284   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MONEY 4 8 7 7 4¾ 1½ 1nk (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 10% 9.20 5.50 DQ↓3
HUNTER SCOTT 1 3 2 2 2½ 41 2nk (acevedo israel)BRACHO A 123 4.00 17% 4.80 2.80 W
TO WIN 6 5 3 55 5 2½ 3.2 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 10.00 11.00 P
ROYAL DRAGOON 5 1 8 8 8 6 4 (urieta joha)CORREA L 124 12.00 23.00  
FALCONS FURY 7 6 4 44 3½ 5 54 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 7.00  
1A  RYEGATE STONE 8 7 1 1 1½ 31 6 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 2.80  
ROYAL REALM 2 4 5 3 6 7 7 (englehart s)PEREZ E 124 2.50 11% 8.30 2.30  
GOOD IDEA 3 2 6 6 7 8 815¾ (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 37% 1.70 2.80  
 
MVR-7   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISELED JUSTICE 9 6 5 4   1nk 1¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 6.30  
TURNING PAGES 3 4 2½ 12   2nk 2¾ (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 16% 5.10 7.30 P
MUCHO PRIMO 8 7 3 22   3 3 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.50 2.30 S
10  IMA BELIEVER 10 11 1012½ 8   7 4 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 10.60  
ZAROSHA 4 9 910½ 7   6 5 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 15.00 41.30  
11  THE PINK Z 11 1 4 32   4 65 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00 14% 5.90 5.80  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 6 10 1113½ 1110   910½ 76 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 86.00  
DEXQUIRE 7 2 76 6   5 8 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00 14.30  
TALE OF LACEY 1 8 8 9   1111½ 915 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 39% 1.50 3.90  
CATMAN JACK 5 5 66 10   1011½ 1015¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 3 1½ 5   810¼ 1125½ (maddox racha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 41.50  
 
MVR-8   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:174 1:32   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENTURE ON 4 3 21 1nk 11 14 1 (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 1.60 40% 1.50 0.80 W
MUCH TIMES TWO 5 2 4 4 21 24 2 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 36.50 P
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 9 1 87 98 5 35 38 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 13.30  
JUST INSPIRED 8 7 9 7 8 610 414½ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00 95.90  
GOING PRIMETIME 6 8 75 6 6 49 515¼ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 8% 11.90 32.20  
TWINSPIREDJOEY 7 5 53 5 32 59 615½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
1A  DAVIS HAT 10 6 1010½ 1012½ 10 812 719 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 4.00 2.70  
LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 4 11 2nk 4 711½ 822¼ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 9% 10.30 4.50  
GIBBY MY CORN 2 10 65 8 7 914 924 (murillo rodriguez)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 11.80  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 1 9 32 3½ 9 1017½ 1030¾ (campbell an)CORREA L 124 20.00 62.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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