Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY NEWS Nov23 Sep02       (maver eduardo)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 2.50 30% 2.40    
1A  SHE SPEAKS WELL Nov23 Nov09 Oct17     (maver eduar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.50    
2  EL TIZ Nov23 Oct27       (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 10.00    
3  PAPER FLOWERS Apr04 Mar09 Jan04     (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  THREE MILE LIMIT Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 Sep30 Aug12 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
5  RESERVATION Dec06 Nov17 Nov02 Oct27 Oct12 (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 125 8.00    
6  OLD MAN MAC Nov22 Nov06 Oct23 Sep28 Sep05 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 126 6.00 ★    
7  AWESOME BREAK Nov08 May31 Apr28 Apr13 Mar21 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONTANI Nov30 Oct27 Oct11 Sep22 Aug02 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 ★    
2  RULING EMPIRE Nov29 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  GEMO Nov29 Nov08 Oct22 Apr18 Apr01 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 11% 8.50    
4  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Nov08 Oct31 Oct04 Sep12 Aug25 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★    
5  POWER SONG Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Sep27   (trevino stephen)BIRT BRAXON 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
6  AJWIBAH Nov30 Nov10 Oct16 Sep20 Aug29 (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
 
MVR-3   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYFUL SUMMER Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 Aug17 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
2  V K PRINCESS Oct21 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 Apr10 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  ARTUME Nov30 Nov08 Oct05 Aug08 Jul14 (brinsfield br)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 12.00    
4  HALOFIED Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Aug16 Jul17 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 125 2.00 19% 4.40    
5  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Nov22 Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  CALL TONY Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep12 Aug23 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 7% 13.60    
7  STORMY BELLA Oct31 Sep13 Aug02 Jul20 Jul04 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAILEY ROAD Nov30 Nov14       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00    
1A  MY BUDDY MICAH Nov14 Oct11 Sep22     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00    
2  NEW YORK MIRACLE Nov30         (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 15.00    
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Aug02         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00    
4  LITTLE TOY GUNS Nov30         (tooley )PILARES P 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
5  JOHN PHILIP Nov30 Nov14 Oct27     (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
6  TRANSPIRED         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Nov30         (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5% 18.80    
8  JOHN'S WILD RIVER Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct10 Sep23 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 ★    
9  ANIMO ROBERTO Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-5   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOPER'S CRESCENT Dec04 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 (reed r)RIVERA R 124 15.00 9% 10.50    
2  DYNAFORM Nov13 Oct19 Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
3  JURISDICTION Nov29 Nov12 Oct27 Sep30 Sep21 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
4  DETERMINATOR Nov12 Oct17 Sep27 Aug29 Aug01 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 21% 3.90    
5  GOTSOMEMOJO Nov29 Aug08 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 10% 9.20    
6  GEH SCHNELL Nov19 Oct13 Oct05 Aug29 Aug15 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00    
7  KLAATU Nov19 Nov02 Oct13 Sep20 Aug31 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
8  THE DRAKE Nov15 Oct12 Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
9  KING ANDRES Nov29 Nov12 Oct27 Sep26 Sep08 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
10  I LOVE JAXSON Oct19 Aug22 Aug05 Jun04 May12 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
 
MVR-6   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER SCOTT Nov23 Oct25 Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
1A  RYEGATE STONE Nov02 Oct19 Aug29 Aug06 Jul20 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
2  ROYAL REALM Jul19 Jun08 May06 Mar11 Jan22 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
3  GOOD IDEA Nov23 Nov02 Oct10 Sep05 Aug17 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  T MONEY Nov16 Oct27 Oct14 Sep21 Aug28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 10% 9.20    
5  ROYAL DRAGOON Nov03 Oct27 Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 12.00    
6  TO WIN Nov29 Feb15 Jan14     (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
7  FALCONS FURY Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
 
MVR-7   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF LACEY Nov22 Oct14 Sep29 May30 Apr26 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 39% 1.50    
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec06 Nov22 Nov12 Jun25 Jun15 (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
3  TURNING PAGES Nov22 Oct26 Aug30 Jul28 Jul11 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
4  ZAROSHA Dec01 Nov15 Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 15.00    
5  CATMAN JACK Dec01 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEIDI'S SINATRA Dec01 Nov12 Nov03 Sep21 Aug30 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
7  DEXQUIRE Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 Sep23 Aug23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
8  MUCHO PRIMO Dec06 Oct22 Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.50 ★    
9  CHISELED JUSTICE Nov22 Sep21 Aug30 Jun03 May06 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
10  IMA BELIEVER Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
11  THE PINK Z Dec01 Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 Oct14 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00 14% 5.90    
 
MVR-8   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY Nov30 Oct31 Oct05 Sep19 Sep01 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
1A  DAVIS HAT Nov30 Nov14 Oct31 Oct22 Oct13 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 4.00 ★    
2  SWEET JILL'S JACK Oct24 Sep29 Sep05 Jul20 Jun14 (campbell )CORREA L 124 20.00    
3  GIBBY MY CORN Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Sep12 Aug24 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Nov15 Jun01 May21 Apr15 Mar05 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 9% 10.30    
5  VENTURE ON Nov15 Sep28 Sep20 Aug12 Jul20 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  MUCH TIMES TWO Nov30 Sep12 Aug08 Jul21 Jun29 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 ★    
7  GOING PRIMETIME Dec06 Nov30 Nov14 Oct13 Aug24 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 8% 11.90    
8  JUST INSPIRED Nov30 Nov09 Oct26 Oct14 Sep27 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00    
9  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Nov14 Oct31 Sep28 Sep05 Jul27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.