The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - December 20, 2022

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MVR-1   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:223 :45 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT GOAR 6 7 66 35   24 1(pappada a)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 11% 7.70 3.80 W
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 4 1 2½ 13   14 2(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 45% 1.20 1.80 P
MAKING ME CRAZY 1 5 78 5   43(mahan p)DIAZ I 126 8.00 5.80  
CUMBER 3 2 1½ 23   34(urieta johanna)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 14.60  
QUESTION AUTHORITY 5 6 44 6   6513¼ (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 10.00 15.50  
ENJOY BASEBALL 7 3 55 7   79 613½ (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 8% 12.20 18.60  
BREEZY MONEY 2 4 31 4   57 713½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 14% 6.10 1.90  
 
MVR-2   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:224 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY 2 1 12 13   11(skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 123 1.60 44% 1.30 0.30 W
MOESTER 5 6 4 33   22(brown glenroy)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 8% 11.60 7.80 P
FOREIGN 3 3 22 23   35 37 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 20.00 66.10  
BEAT THE DEALER 4 8 65 57   49 4(zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 10% 9.40 6.70  
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 1 5 3 4   59 513¾ (zielinski richard)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 13% 6.60 9.80  
RAISE THE PURSES 6 7 7 710½   613 614¾ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 125 6.00 13.10  
BLUE MONARCH 7 2 8 810¾   713¼ 716¼ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 33.30  
STREAKY 8 4 5 6   815¼ 820¾ (bennett c)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 73.50  
 
MVR-3   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:234 :464 1:114 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON WISDOM 8 6 77 7 7 26 1(skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 5.40  
TRIGZ TOO 4 3 3 1½ 13 16 2(bernardini p)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 10.50 P
NOT YET CHARLIE 7 7 63 6 4 36 3(cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 7.60  
JUSTIN'S QUEST 1 4 42 5 6 5412 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 53% 0.90 2.70  
MOTAGALLY 2 5 52 4 5 7517¾ (cash l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.00 17% 4.70 1.20  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 6 1 2½ 32 23 4618½ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
PATIO PARTY 3 2 1½ 2½ 3 6719¾ (galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 11.20  
CANDY KINGDOM 5 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 20.00 43.60  
SCR  BLUEBANK               (gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:244 :483 1:13 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL SEE IT 5 1 43 21 31 1nk 1(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 1.20  
SNOWSCAPE 3 2 1 11 11 2nk 2(waltz brian)BRACHO A 123 4.00 7% 13.20 5.00 P
MAXIMUM IMPACT 4 3 2 31 4 43(cash l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.00 33% 2.00 1.80 S
ICON 6 4 32 4 21 32 49 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 6.00 24% 3.20 4.60  
LOOK AWAY 2 5 6 611½ 613½ 5513¾ (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 24.40  
GONE ROGUE 1 6 57 5 5 610½ 618¾ (wilson jr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 17.60  
SCR  ALPHA DOG               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
SCR  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD               (skerrett jeffrey)HALDAR J 123 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-5   12/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
:221 :454 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LA MUNECA 8 1 13 14   14 14 (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 10.70  
LILAC LACE 4 4 3 3   24 24 (yoder d)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 3.50 P
11  COOL IRIS 9 3 4 45   335 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 35% 1.90 1.40 S
FIVE ROSES LUNA 5 5 6 6   57 48 (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 31.30  
IMMACULATE HEART 7 2 23 24   45 510 (sweazey scott)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 2.60  
CASCABRIA 6 7 8 711½   79 610¾ (skerrett jeffrey)CORREA L 124 6.00 10.20  
LUCKY ROAD 2 6 5 5   6713¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 15.00 30.10  
CATLIKE 1 9 7 811½   811 815 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 16.60  
CHECK SIX 3 8 912¾ 915½   915 916¼ (blankenship t)JURADO EDDIE 124 12.00 42.50  
SCR  BISCOTTINI               (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY               (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  SPEAK LIGHTLY               (ruberto v)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:23 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE ME UP BABY 6 1 11 13   11(rivera nestor)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 23% 3.40 3.00 W
BOX STEP 5 4 64 4   42(yoder d)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 34.80  
AUNT BEE 3 7 7 6   63(cash l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 2.00 28% 2.60 1.70 S
A SMILE A DAY 2 2 21 23   34(crumley jevon)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 11.40  
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 1 3 5 5   5510 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 3.50 6% 14.50 7.40  
GONNABEGOOD 4 6 32 33   2610¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 20% 3.90 2.00  
TOTALLY OBSESSED 7 5 4 7   710¾ 714 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 17.00  
 
MVR-7   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:234 :474 1:132 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATES HEARTTHROB 7 6 410½ 49 3 2½ 13 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 1.80  
VALHALLA AIR BASE 2 1 11 11 12 1½ 23 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.00 37% 1.70 3.00 P
PRETTY LOUD 5 7 513 611 58 5313½ (gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 15.00 6% 14.60 53.00 S
LEND AMERICA 1 9 917 815 811½ 8414¼ (szczepanski emily)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 39.30  
SOUPER PRONTO 6 4 21 21 22 4514½ (urieta johanna)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 14% 6.00 2.20  
STOP MAKING SENSE 4 2 35 34 44 3615 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 8% 11.60 10.30  
PAPA CHARLES 8 5 613½ 712 7 6716¼ (gotera carlos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 12.00 17.70  
10  THE EQUINEST 9 8 714 511 68 7817½ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 9.00  
PASION AZTECA 3 3 816½ 917½ 913½ 9921¾ (morelos mateo)DIAZ I 124 15.00 32.70  
SCR  EL SICARIO               (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-8   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:25 :491 1:143 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION GIRL 1 3 4 34 1nk 12 1(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40 W
LA ROSA 9 5 31 2nk 2nk 22 2(hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 14.90 P
MOBIL CHIC 2 10 7 55 4 43(zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 6.00 11% 7.90 6.60 S
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 9 10 8 6 64(vazquez ivan)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 20.00 50.50  
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 6 7 63 6 5 55(faulkner c)DIAZ I 123 2.50 27% 2.70 2.00  
QUEEN HIGH 5 1 11 1nk 3½ 36(galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 6.30  
ROCKY CHANNEL 4 2 9 1011¾ 10 7712 (cline c)HALDAR J 123 15.00 40.50  
10  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 10 4 5 7 8 911½ 818½ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 33.80  
COWCHI 7 8 8 9 9 810 918¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 15.80  
CONSECUTIVE RUN 8 6 21 4 7 1014½ 1036 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 67.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.