The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Sunday - November 20, 2022

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AQU-1   11/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT-11:50
:231 :474 1:131     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUSTER 2 3 7 77 54 31(hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 13% 6.40 0.35 W
JOINT RESOLUTION 10 8 55 5 32 42(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 121 5.00 6.40  
MAGIC TRUCK 6 5 2 22 21 21 3(ferraro w)CASTELLANO J 121 30.00 32.75  
HERONEANDONLY 5 2 1 12 11 11 45 (goodwin gabriel)DAVIS A 124 50.00 ######  
VALENTINO'S HERE 3 10 1012½ 9 9 85(brown r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00 33.00  
BERNARDINO 1 1 911 109 65 666 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 11.20  
CONQUIST 7 9 8 8 7 77(kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 9.30  
SILENT RUNNING 8 6 33 33 4 54 8(bond james)HARKIE K 121 6.00 16.30  
THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK 4 4 6 66 108 9911¼ (summers chad)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 38.25  
1A  BIONDI 9 7 44 43 8 101021½ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 16.30  
SCR  REFUAH               (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TODAY'S FLAVOR               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
 
AQU-2   11/20/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
:25 :501 1:153 1:42   1:551   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC CATCH 2 5 42 41 55 2nk 1(pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 26% 2.90 2.75 W
CRUPI 6 4 63 6 3 3.2 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 29% 2.50 3.25 P
AMERICAN HUSTLE 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 3(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 4.00 S
JUNGFRAU 5 3 21 2½ 2½ 44(mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 1.25  
NARCISO DALI 3 2 3 5 4 55(chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 24.50  
BEAR'S CORRECT 4 6 5 31 613 641¾ 684½ (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 119 50.00 62.75  
SCR  GAME CHANGE               (mcgaughey iii)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  WEEKEND TIZZY               (boniface c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-3   11/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT-12:52
:231 :473 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONEWALL STAR 5 1 1 1   114 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 51% 1.00 0.45 W
WEEKEND RAGS 1 3 3 2   224 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 3.90 3.90 P
SECURITY CODE 3 2 4 35   33(serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 6.70 S
DREAM ON CARA 2 6 6 46   49 410¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 36.50  
THREE UNIONS 4 5 5 57   5511¼ (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 10.30  
SMALL PEBBLES 6 4 2 6   611½ 614¾ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14.40  
 
AQU-4   11/20/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
:234 :481 1:122 1:363   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ALCHEMIST 8 3 5 5 5 1nk 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 7.50  
10  ZAIN SARINDA (IRE) 10 11 11 119 9 42½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8.00  
WHAT A DUDE 5 5 108 107 8 63(jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00 33.00 S
AL'S ROCKET 6 6 87 9 117 104(pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 4.10  
TRANSACTIONAL (GB) 1 7 4 4 3 2nk 5(brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 3.90 2.00  
INFLATION ADJUSTED 7 2 33 33 42 56(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 9.70  
12  LEO MONTE 12 8 1½ 1 1½ 3½ 74 (huston k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 53.50  
RECKLESS SPIRIT 3 10 9 86 7 93 8(bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 6.70  
SOULMATE 4 4 6 65 63 79(pregman jr)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
LIAM'S BLUE MOON 2 1 2½ 2 2½ 810(taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 120 30.00 33.00  
11  SON OF LIBERTY 11 9 76 76 106 118 1113 (antonacci philip)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 36.00  
HILLIARD 9 12 1214½ 12 1211½ 1225 1258¾ (brion keri)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 17.00  
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-5   11/20/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:46
:224 :473 1:132     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE ME KISSES 9 1 4 3½   1nk 1¾ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.50 W
ANA'S GUN 6 2 32 2nk   2nk 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 37% 1.70 3.05 P
ROYAL POPPY 3 5 22 4   44 3(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 3.45 S
NOW SHOWING 7 4 5 52   34(terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 9.30  
MODERN LOVE 1 7 6 710½   715 516¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 6.60  
WAY TOO EARLY 8 8 8 69   611½ 618 (mcgaughey iii)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 26.25  
LEXI'S SPIRIT 5 3 12 1nk   57 719½ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 17% 4.80 10.50  
JUST NORTH 4 6 7 811½   920½ 823¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 14.20  
FANCY AZTECA 2 9 917¾ 918   820 923½ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 44.25  
 
AQU-6   11/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
:223 :463 1:12     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOZAY 5 7 8 8 5 1nk 1(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 31% 2.30 3.40 W
EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) 3 2 11 11 1½ 3.2 2(brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 16% 5.20 1.70 P
MESAORIA 7 3 4 46 2½ 2nk 3(motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 9% 10.10 5.50 S
WAR PRINCESS 6 6 7 6 32 44(pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 6.00  
FIVE PRIZES 2 10 1013 1013½ 8 65(pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 7% 13.20 10.70  
10  DIAMOND STATUS 9 4 3 3 4 566 (martin f)ORTIZ L 121 20.00 27.00  
WESTERN LANE 1 9 67 78 75 77(lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 9.00  
11  BELLESHAZZA 10 8 910 911 10 910¼ 816½ (sciacca gary)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 42.50  
LIBRETTO (IRE) 4 1 21 21 64 8917 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 26.75  
SISTER MAC 8 5 56 57 98 1012¼ 1027 (duarte jr)ROSARIO JOEL 116 30.00 37.00  
SCR  CARATS AND CAKE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
SCR  CHABERTON               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  CLAIRARIFIC               (mott i)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
 
AQU-7   11/20/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
:242 :484 1:13 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DRACARYS 5 3 1 1 11 1nk 11 (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5.40  
EVVIE JETS 3 1 2 2 21 2nk 21 (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 22% 3.50 3.40 P
COCONUT CAKE 1 4 3 3 44 44 35 (keefe l)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00 16.90  
FINEST WORK 4 2 46 45 3 32 4(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 7% 14.40 3.45  
MESSIDOR (IRE) 6 6 68 67 55 55(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 11% 8.40 1.25  
LASHARA (GB) 2 5 58 5 65 66(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 6% 14.50 10.30  
SCR  EXOTIC WEST               (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50    
SCR  FLUFFY SOCKS               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
SCR  POR QUE NO               (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 121 20.00    
 
AQU-8   11/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
:224 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKING STONES 7 3 31 11   16 112½ (englehart chris)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 2.30  
BRUNATE 8 7 4 4   3212½ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 7% 13.70 3.60 P
MOTION TO STRIKE 3 6 2½ 21   26 315 (reynolds j)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00 1.95  
THE MET 5 1 5 5   59 416½ (wilson faith)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
BOX OF JOE 4 5 86 8   811 519 (falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 6.90  
1A  R BOY CHEEKUM 2 2 65 6   6619¼ (thompson george)DAVIS A 120 30.00 24.50  
READY TO MARCH 6 4 1½ 31   4720 (chapman k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.90  
EXXTOP 1 8 75 7   711 824¾ (thompson george)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 24.50  
SCR  MY LAST MISSION               (pecoraro anthony)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN TO WIN               (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-9   11/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
:23 :47 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY HOW 6 6 4 3   1½ 13 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.20 W
RUVIES IN TIME 4 1 23 2   2½ 23 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 33% 2.00 5.60 P
PRETTY CLEVER 3 8 78 611½   63(begg bentley)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 20.70  
SHADOLAMO 5 7 89 813   89 4(jones e)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 69.25  
VALLELUJAH 7 4 5 510   57 5(davis g)DAVIS A 122 15.00 21.70  
HAPPY SOPHIA 2 2 3 45   4610½ (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 4.00 5.40  
HONEY MONEY 1 3 6 712   7711¼ (lucas bonnie)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 9% 10.20 13.00  
QUALITY STONES 8 5 13 1   32 812 (quick j)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 4.00 2.85  
 
AQU-10   11/20/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:214 :443 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOGON 2 4 1½ 1½   12 1(allard t)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00 58.00  
TRUST DADDY 4 5 7 8   62(o'dwyer jeremiah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00 28.50  
YARROW 1 10 10 95   73(clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 7.90  
KING ANGELO 3 7 52 6   34(abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 18% 4.60 2.70  
SOSUA SUMMER 8 6 84 5   452 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 6.30  
JAVA BUZZ 9 2 3 2½   22 6(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 25% 3.00 4.20  
AFTER FIVE 7 8 95 117   97(falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 8.00  
10  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 10 9 11 10   108(gyarmati leah)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 17.00  
TRAINER PLEASE 5 11 42 4   895 (crook-demasi kathlee)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 20.00 74.25  
JUST JEREMY 6 1 2½ 31   510(hogan j)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 34.75  
11  JUST SAY WHEN 11 3 6 74   111110¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 6% 14.50 3.40  
SCR  HANDSOME CAT               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  ROCK THE BOAT               (bailes robert)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.