Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT RUNNING Sep24 Aug17 Jun30 Apr22 Feb05 (bond harold )HARKIE K 121 6.00    
1A  BIONDI Oct21 Aug06 Jul15 May30 Apr24 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 ★    
2  BERNARDINO Oct21 Sep02 Jul15 May30   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
3  OUSTER Oct21 Sep25 Jun09 Apr30 Mar31 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 13% 6.40    
4  VALENTINO'S HERE Oct21 Sep24 Sep02     (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 15.00    
5  THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK Nov05 Oct06 Aug11 Jul09 May28 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
6  HERONEANDONLY Nov13 Oct07 Sep13 Aug26 Jul30 (goodwin )DAVIS A 124 50.00    
7  MAGIC TRUCK Nov05 Oct07 Aug24     (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 121 30.00    
8  CONQUIST Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jun30 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 ★    
9  JOINT RESOLUTION Apr07         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00    
SCR  TODAY'S FLAVOR Sep23         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
SCR  REFUAH Oct20 Sep23 Jul03 May27 Apr29 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   11/20/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEEKEND TIZZY Oct28 Oct14 Sep18     (boniface ke)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 21% 3.70    
2  AMERICAN HUSTLE Oct23 Sep25 Jul30     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 ★    
3  CLASSIC CATCH Oct22         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  NARCISO DALI Oct16 Sep29 Sep08 Aug27   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
5  BEAR'S CORRECT Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 Jul15   (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 119 50.00    
6  JUNGFRAU Sep03         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 ★    
7  CRUPI Oct14 Sep03 Aug06     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  GAME CHANGE Nov06 Aug20       (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
AQU-3   11/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND RAGS Oct30         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  DREAM ON CARA Oct30 Aug18 Aug03 Jul04   (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
3  SECURITY CODE Oct30 Sep23 Sep02 Aug10   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 ★    
4  THREE UNIONS Oct28 Sep22 Aug12     (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★    
5  STONEWALL STAR Oct17 Sep22 Sep02     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 51% 1.00    
6  SMALL PEBBLES Oct24 Aug22       (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   11/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Sep24 Aug19       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  LIAM'S BLUE MOON Oct15 Mar12       (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 120 30.00    
3  RECKLESS SPIRIT Oct07 Aug14 Jul01 Jun05   (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
4  SOULMATE Sep23 Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 May13 (pregma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHAT A DUDE Nov06 Sep10 Jul24     (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  AL'S ROCKET Oct26 Sep24 Aug13 Jun11 May07 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
7  INFLATION ADJUSTED Oct29 Oct09 Sep05 Aug10 Jul02 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
8  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST Sep29 Aug23 Jul29 Jun26   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
9  HILLIARD Nov05 Oct21 Sep24 Sep05 Jun30 (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
10  ZAIN SARINDA (IRE)         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
11  SON OF LIBERTY Oct14 Feb26       (antonacci phil)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
12  LEO MONTE Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul10 (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  PERCEIVED Oct29 Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LEDDY Nov05 Sep24 Aug03     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
AQU-5   11/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODERN LOVE         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 ★    
2  FANCY AZTECA         (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
3  ROYAL POPPY Oct14 Sep17 Aug14     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 ★    
4  JUST NORTH         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
5  LEXI'S SPIRIT Oct27 Aug25       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 17% 4.80    
6  ANA'S GUN         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  NOW SHOWING         (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
8  WAY TOO EARLY         (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
9  GIVE ME KISSES         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-6   11/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN LANE Oct15 Sep16 Apr15     (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
SCR  CHABERTON May28 Apr28       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  FIVE PRIZES Sep08 Aug07 Jun23 May27 Mar06 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 7% 13.20    
4  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) Sep16 Apr15       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 16% 5.20    
5  LIBRETTO (IRE) Sep18 Aug14 Jul20 Jun25 May28 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
6  MOZAY Aug16 Jul23 May28 May01 Mar11 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  WAR PRINCESS         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
8  MESAORIA Oct21 Jan30       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 9% 10.10    
9  SISTER MAC Oct30 Sep18 Sep02     (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
10  DIAMOND STATUS Oct15 Sep16 Aug19 Jun30 May15 (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 121 20.00    
11  BELLESHAZZA Oct14 Aug21 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
SCR  CLAIRARIFIC Oct21 Sep29 Mar27     (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
SCR  CARATS AND CAKE Oct21         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
 
AQU-7   11/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POR QUE NO Oct22 Aug31 Aug16 May30   (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 121 20.00    
2  COCONUT CAKE Oct22 Jul16 Jun19 Jun05 Apr23 (keefe timothy )LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00    
3  LASHARA (GB) Oct28 Sep14 Aug06 Jul10 May19 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 6% 14.50    
4  EVVIE JETS Oct22 Sep24 Jul27 Jul10 Jun12 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  FLUFFY SOCKS Oct08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun18 May06 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
6  FINEST WORK Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 Jul30 Jun24 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 7% 14.40    
7  MISS DRACARYS Oct20 Jun10 May15     (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
8  MESSIDOR (IRE) Oct22 Jul27 Jul03 Jun10 Apr16 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  EXOTIC WEST Nov04 Aug19 Jul24 May20 Apr10 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50    
 
AQU-8   11/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXXTOP Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 Aug08 (thompson marc)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
1A  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct27 Oct13 Oct07 Sep20 Aug24 (thompson)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER Nov13 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  MOTION TO STRIKE Oct23 Jul03 Jun05 May19 Apr07 (reyno)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00    
SCR  RUSSIAN TO WIN Oct16 Sep24 Aug27 Jul23 Jun24 (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
5  BOX OF JOE Oct27 Oct01 Jun17 May21 Apr29 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
6  THE MET Nov09 Oct04 Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  READY TO MARCH Oct27 Aug31 Aug03 Apr04 Mar13 (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
8  BREAKING STONES Oct18 Sep28 Sep04 Aug05 Jul08 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 ★    
9  BRUNATE Oct27 Jul17 Jun04 May05 Apr01 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  MY LAST MISSION Oct27 Aug29 Aug15 Jun29 Jun11 (pecoraro anth)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-9   11/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY MONEY Oct19 Oct06 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 9% 10.20    
2  HAPPY SOPHIA Oct23 Sep29 Aug14 Aug06 Jul09 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 4.00 ★    
3  PRETTY CLEVER Sep25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 May19 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
4  RUVIES IN TIME Nov13 Sep25 Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  SHADOLAMO Nov05 Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 Aug14 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
6  FUNNY HOW Oct22 Sep29 Aug26 Jul09   (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  VALLELUJAH Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
8  QUALITY STONES Oct14 Sep18 Aug06 Jun17 May19 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-10   11/20/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YARROW Oct22 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 Apr28 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
2  ALOGON Oct22 Feb20 Jan02     (allard edward )ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
3  KING ANGELO Oct16 Jul24 Jun04     (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  TRUST DADDY Sep14 Jul03 Jun11 May27   (o'dwyer jer)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
5  TRAINER PLEASE Sep28 Aug23 Jun19 May20 Apr10 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 20.00    
6  JUST JEREMY Oct23 Aug26 Aug07 Jul04 Jun24 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
7  AFTER FIVE Oct16 Oct06 Aug25 Jul09 Apr23 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
8  SOSUA SUMMER Oct23 Sep14 Aug03 Jul02 May15 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
9  JAVA BUZZ Oct22 Sep29 Aug28 Aug03 Jul03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
10  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Oct06 Sep03 Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 (gyarmati leah)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
11  JUST SAY WHEN Sep11 Jul14 May19 Feb23   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  ROCK THE BOAT Oct22         (bailes rob)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  HANDSOME CAT Nov08 Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jul08 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.