Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-10:50
See original race card.
:242 :504 1:151 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 3 3 33 21 2nk 1 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.60 0.90 W
JUNIPER'S MOON 4 9 9 85 5 3 2 (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 28.25  
SPELTERINI 8 5 12 11 1nk 2 3 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 19% 4.20 7.20 S
HOLA GATA 9 8 6 4 4 4 4 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 4.10  
HIGHLAND GRACE 6 6 75 7 7 6 5 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 22% 3.60 7.90  
KINGMAKING (GB) 2 1 22 32 32 5 610 (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00 15.40  
TONIC 1 2 4 53 6 711½ 713 (dutrow anthon)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 37.00  
NATURAL BEAUTY 5 7 87 9 910¾ 814½ 814½ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 8.10  
LADY EMPIRE 7 4 5 64 8 921½ 925¾ (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00 95.00  
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE               (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
AQU-2   11/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-11:33
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONNY QUIST 6 2 31 3 1½ 1 1¾ (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00 57.00  
ACHILLES HEEL 2 7 41 4 52 3 2¾ (englehart jeffre)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 14% 6.30 13.70 P
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 7 6 6 53 41 2 3 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 20.30  
MILANO 4 5 52 64 6 5 4 (klesaris robe)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 19% 4.10 7.40  
RIA'S ANGEL 5 8 84 7 87 44 5 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60 25% 3.00 1.10  
IRON LION IN ZION 3 4 7 86 73 7 611¼ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 22% 3.60 6.70  
NICHOLAS JAMES 8 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 6 712 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 2.10  
SIGHT UNSEEN 1 3 1½ 1½ 31 811¼ 820½ (hennig mark)HARKIE K 118 20.00 36.50  
 
AQU-3   11/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT-12:14
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRADIA 7 6 3½ 2½   11 1 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 4.20  
DIVA BANKER 8 1 5 42   3 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 18% 4.60 11.90 P
MELTING SNOW 2 5 41 5   21 32 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 38% 1.60 0.80 S
SHADOLAMO 6 7 86 77   6 4 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 10.00 24.75  
DAILY BRIEFING 5 8 7 8   710½ 513¾ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 11.30  
SUMMER BREW 4 2 2nk 1½   44 615¼ (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
AFLEET DIVA 3 3 1nk 32   59 719¾ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 10% 8.90 6.70  
MISSING LINK 1 4 64 6   813½ 835 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 45.75  
 
AQU-4   11/05/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:53
See original race card.
:222 :443 :561     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VACATION DANCE 3 1 11 1½   1½ 1 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 8% 11.80 2.50 W
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 1 3 21 2½   2½ 2 (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 41% 1.40 1.75 P
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 4 2 5 54   4 3 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 22% 3.50 1.50 S
CHIRINGO 5 4 42 32   33 4 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 13.00  
BE OF COURAGE 2 5 32 4   5 5 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 11.30  
 
AQU-5   11/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:134 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK 6 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 1 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 12% 7.10 4.90 DQ↓3
TOGA DANCER 5 8 8 7 7 5 2 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 20.30  
ADDICTED TO YOU 1 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 3 (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50 4.40 P
YOUR MISSION 3 5 6 6 5 45 4 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 47% 1.10 1.00  
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 4 1 31 3 4 34 5 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 60.25  
MAGIC TRUCK 8 9 9 9 6 77 6 (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 86.50  
SENSE A GIANT 9 6 4 5 3 66 7 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 10.00  
CENTRAL PRIDE 7 7 7 8 9 810 8 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 5.30  
WHISKY WARRIOR 2 4 5 4 8 913½ 914 (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 31.00  
SCR  A LISTER               (pringle edmu)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY               (goodwin gabri)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
SCR  MEDIA SENSATION               (donk davi)VARGAS A 121 3.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS               (klesaris steve)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  ON PALM SUNDAY               (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  REUNION TOUR               (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
SCR  STEERAGE               (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN ROME 5 4 31 3½   1nk 1¼ (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 15.00 16.70  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 2 6 42 5   32 2¼ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 12% 7.00 0.80 P
F F ROCKET 6 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 3½ (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.60  
BOURBON BAY 3 2 6 64   45 4 (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 9% 10.40 2.35  
TAPIZEARANCE 4 3 5 42   57 511½ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 28.25  
SUPER JOHN 1 5 1½ 2nk   6 612¼ (rohena rafa)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00 7.90  
SCR  RISK PROFILE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  SECRET RULES               (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 112 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-7   11/05/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:222 :443 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONAGE DAYDREAM 1 2 1½ 11   1½ 1 (abreu jorge)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 14.30  
REDIFINED 8 4 6 5   2½ 2 (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 26% 2.80 0.70 P
GEORGEES SPIRIT 2 3 4 4   3 3 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5.20  
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 6 1 2½ 21   42 4 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 14% 6.20 5.10  
DULCIA 7 5 31 3   52 5 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 9% 10.40 19.20  
RECINTO ROMPERE 5 6 5 6   63 6 (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 28.25  
SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 3 7 73 7   77 710 (hess b)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 18.00 10.60  
HURRICANE DEBBIE 4 8 815 831½   842 848¾ (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00 18.00  
SCR  SHIDABHUTI               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-8   11/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 8 1 4 3½   1½ 1 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
RYAN'S CAT 4 2 3 4   41 2 (rodriguez g)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 5.20 P
LIFE CHANGER 2 3 1½ 1nk   3½ 3 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.50 28% 2.50 3.00 S
REGGAE MUSIC MAN 7 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 4 (reynolds pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.85  
WATASHA 5 7 8 52   52 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 3.60  
LEDDY 1 6 52 76   66 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 3.85  
JESTER'S SONG 6 8 7 6   7 711 (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 10.00 15% 5.70 17.80  
JUDGE DAVIS 3 5 63 8   810 815¾ (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00 19.30  
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  PRISONER               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
 
AQU-9   11/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:124     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGENT CREED 4 2 55 5 4 1nk 1¼ (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 4.50 4.90  
MR. KRINGLE 8 9 9 910 5 3.2 2¼ (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 5.10  
GIRAMONTE 7 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 33 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 20.00 35.75  
VOLIERO 2 1 88 79 9 5 4 (camejo m)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 7.70  
KING MOONRACER 6 3 33 3 3½ 4¾ 54 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00 8.70  
BRICCO 1 4 7 89 7 6 6 (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 15% 5.70 4.30  
ACTION JACKSON 3 7 6 6 6 7 7 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 19% 4.20 2.40  
EXCURSIONNISTE 5 6 44 46 8 94 87 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 13% 6.90 7.10  
ALITE 9 8 2½ 2½ 2nk 8 9 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00 77.25  
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BIG GEORGES KINGDM               (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 123 20.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  CITIZEN K               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING               (summers chad)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 10.00    
SCR  MARINARA SAUCED               (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
SCR  TOP ENVOY               (gyarmati le)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
 
AQU-10   11/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMBUKTU 2 3 5 55 42 21 12 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.10 W
SPETTRO 3 1 1½ 2 21 11 22 (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 17.50  
FIELDSTONE 6 9 7 6 64 4 3 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 17% 4.90 3.95 S
MASETA 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 (morey wil)VARGAS A 118 10.00 36.50  
FAST GORDON 5 5 45 45 53 5 5 (rice linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 8.00 9.60  
12  HARD RYE GUY 12 12 1113½ 11 11 11 6 (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 8.90  
GINNSU WARRIOR 7 10 910 9 9 10 7 (noda orlando)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 43.75  
BREADMAN 8 8 8 88 8 66 8 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 7.10  
10  BLESS BLESS 10 11 1213¾ 10 107 9 9 (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 25.00  
GOOCH GO BRAGH 1 2 1011 12 128 12 10 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5.60  
11  PIVOTAL RUN 11 6 6 77 74 7 1110 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 20.00 26.50  
ABLETON 9 7 2½ 1 11 8 1216¾ (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 37.25  
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (ryerson jame)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
SCR  IMPULSIVENESS               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  MR. CONNECTICUT               (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.