Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONIC Oct15         (dutrow anthon)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
2  KINGMAKING (GB)         (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00 ★    
3  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Sep01 Jul24       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  JUNIPER'S MOON         (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
5  NATURAL BEAUTY         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
6  HIGHLAND GRACE         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  LADY EMPIRE Oct08         (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00    
8  SPELTERINI Oct02 Aug21 Jul14     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
9  HOLA GATA Aug21 Jul24       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE Oct16 Sep13       (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
AQU-2   11/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-11:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGHT UNSEEN Oct14 Aug11 Jul03     (hennig mark)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
2  ACHILLES HEEL Sep28 Aug29 Aug12 Jul13 Jun13 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00 14% 6.30    
3  IRON LION IN ZION Oct02 Sep03 Aug03     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  MILANO Oct07 Sep03 Aug25 Jun12 May01 (klesaris robe)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 19% 4.10    
5  RIA'S ANGEL Sep25 Sep03 Jul22 Jun17 May01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60 25% 3.00    
6  JONNY QUIST Oct05 Sep21 Sep10 Aug31 Aug20 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00    
7  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 Jun17 May29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
8  NICHOLAS JAMES Sep18 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   11/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSING LINK Aug14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun26 May14 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 ★    
2  MELTING SNOW Sep01 Jul15 Jun09 Apr24 Mar20 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  AFLEET DIVA Mar19         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
4  SUMMER BREW Sep25         (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAILY BRIEFING Sep29 Sep05 Jul27 May06 Mar25 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00    
6  SHADOLAMO Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 Aug14 Aug03 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
7  VIRADIA Sep29 Aug21 Jun24 May23 Apr22 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
8  DIVA BANKER Sep02 Jul03 May22 Apr03 Feb20 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-4   11/05/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Oct09 Aug19 Jun09 Apr28   (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  BE OF COURAGE Oct21 Sep23       (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 ★    
3  VACATION DANCE Oct09 Sep04       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 8% 11.80    
4  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Oct09 Sep01 Jul22     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 22% 3.50    
5  CHIRINGO Oct13 Aug07       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   11/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDICTED TO YOU Oct06 Aug26 Aug11 Jul09 Jun17 (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50 ★    
2  WHISKY WARRIOR Aug26 Aug11 Jul09 Jun19   (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00    
3  YOUR MISSION Aug06 Jul15       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Oct06 Sep15 Aug11     (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
5  TOGA DANCER Oct06 Aug18 Jun23 Apr22   (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
6  THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK Oct06 Aug11 Jul09 May28 May13 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 12% 7.10    
7  CENTRAL PRIDE Oct07 Sep23 Jul30 May21 Apr28 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★    
8  MAGIC TRUCK Oct07 Aug24       (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
9  SENSE A GIANT Oct06 Aug11 Jun30     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
SCR  ON PALM SUNDAY Oct09 Aug11 Jul29 Jun23 May13 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  STEERAGE Oct07 Aug27 Jul31 Jun19   (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
SCR  MEDIA SENSATION Oct09 Sep02 Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 (donk davi)VARGAS A 121 3.50    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY Oct07 Sep13 Aug26 Jul30   (goodwin gabri)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
SCR  A LISTER Oct07 Sep24 May06 Apr22 Mar19 (pringle edmu)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
SCR  REUNION TOUR Oct06 Sep10 Aug18 Feb13 Jan22 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Oct07 Sep23       (klesaris steve)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER JOHN Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun07 (rohena rafa)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00 ★    
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET Sep25 Aug14 May27 Apr21 Mar09 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
3  BOURBON BAY Oct21 Apr09 Mar27 Feb25 Feb06 (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  SECRET RULES Sep25 May28 Apr02 Feb27 Jan16 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 112 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  TAPIZEARANCE Oct08 Oct01 Aug05 Jul04 May21 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
6  LOST IN ROME Oct15 Oct01 Sep01 Jul28 Jun30 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
7  F F ROCKET Oct16 Sep25 Aug14 Jul23 Jun04 (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  RISK PROFILE Oct07 Aug24 Aug20 Mar11 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
 
AQU-7   11/05/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONAGE DAYDREAM Sep30 Jul28       (abreu jorge)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
2  GEORGEES SPIRIT Oct01 Sep01 Jul21     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
3  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B Sep08 Aug20 Jul22     (hess b)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 18.00    
4  HURRICANE DEBBIE Sep08 May05 Apr14     (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00    
5  RECINTO ROMPERE Sep13 Jul08       (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
6  DONTLOOKBACKATALL Oct08 Aug25       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
7  DULCIA Oct07 Sep10       (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
8  REDIFINED Oct08 Aug21 Jun30     (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 26% 2.80    
SCR  SHIDABHUTI Sep17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-8   11/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYAN'S CAT Oct08 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 (rodriguez g)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 ★    
1A  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Sep17 Aug06 May07 Apr07 Mar05 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR Oct08 Sep17 Aug03 Jun11 May19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
3  LEDDY Sep24 Aug03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
4  LIFE CHANGER Oct08 Aug27 Jul29 Jun05 May05 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.50 28% 2.50    
5  JUDGE DAVIS Oct16         (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00    
6  WATASHA Oct09 Mar12       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★    
7  JESTER'S SONG Sep15 Jun02 Apr16 Feb26 Jan13 (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
8  REGGAE MUSIC MAN Aug12 Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Mar19 (reynolds pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  PRISONER Sep17 Jul23 Jun10 Mar18 Feb05 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
 
AQU-9   11/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRICCO Jul22 Jun23       (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  VOLIERO Oct07 Jul22 Jun09 Apr24 Feb17 (camejo m)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00    
3  ACTION JACKSON Sep24 Aug06       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  AGENT CREED Oct06 Aug20 Jul23 Jun24   (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 4.50    
5  EXCURSIONNISTE Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 May21 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  KING MOONRACER Oct06 Sep03 Aug10 Jul14 Jun17 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00    
7  GIRAMONTE Oct06 Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 Jun18 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
8  MR. KRINGLE Oct09 Aug27 Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
9  ALITE Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 Jul24 Jul08 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00    
SCR  MARINARA SAUCED Oct14 Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 May21 (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K Sep04 Jul16 May21 Apr28   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug10         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Oct29 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 (summers chad)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 10.00    
SCR  TOP ENVOY Sep04 Aug11       (gyarmati le)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Oct18 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 123 20.00 5% 17.70    
 
AQU-10   11/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOCH GO BRAGH Jul15 Jun05 Apr02 Mar06 Jan08 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★    
2  TIMBUKTU Oct07 Sep04 Aug10 Jun24 Apr30 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  SPETTRO Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 Jun18 May28 (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
4  MASETA Oct20 Sep05 Aug07 Jun24 May13 (morey wil)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
5  FAST GORDON Aug25         (rice linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 8.00    
6  FIELDSTONE Sep02 Aug07 Jun09 Apr21   (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
7  GINNSU WARRIOR Oct07 Sep02 Aug03 Jul28 Jun25 (noda orlando)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
8  BREADMAN Aug10 Jun24 May28 May01 Feb24 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
9  ABLETON Oct06 Aug18 Jun17 May13 Feb19 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
10  BLESS BLESS Sep02 Aug07 Jun18 May20   (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
11  PIVOTAL RUN Oct08 Sep10 Aug11 Jun19 May20 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 20.00    
12  HARD RYE GUY Oct07 Aug25 Jun30 Apr24 Mar17 (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 ★    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT Oct20 Sep02 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 (ryerson jame)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
SCR  MR. CONNECTICUT Oct21 Aug11 Jul15 May30 Apr24 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
SCR  IMPULSIVENESS Oct22 Aug25 Jul22 Jun26   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.