Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:124 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGURIA 4 1 54 54 5 2 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 24% 3.20 3.10 W
ERNA 5 3 1 11 11 1 2¼ (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 11.80 P
THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 7 4 43 4 3 33 34 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 27.00  
JUST A SPLASH (IRE) 1 9 77 76 66 54 4 (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 6.80  
KEEP IT SEXY 2 8 66 6 78 77 5 (solares a)VARGAS A 119 20.00 82.00  
10  NYXED 10 5 2 21 21 44 613 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 4.60  
PASSIONATE DREAM 6 10 10 98 8 910½ 714¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20% 4.00 26.00  
TREASURED GEM 9 6 99 109 911 89 814¾ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 7.60  
INVEST WISELY 3 2 32 32 4 6 915¾ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 3.70  
SOURCES AND USES 8 7 8 88 1011½ 1013 1019 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 33% 2.00 5.40  
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEZOS 7 1 1½ 1   12 11 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00 19% 4.40 4.00 W
HATCH (GB) 5 2 53 42   22 21 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.80  
MAJOR SPIN 4 4 2½ 2   3 3 (solares axe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 25.25  
BLAKE B. 6 3 65 6   4 4 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 9.00  
SKYLANDER 1 7 7 7   510½ 514¾ (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 2.05  
BASIS RISK 3 5 3 32   611 615½ (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 8.00 6.10  
SWIFT TAP 2 6 43 53   713½ 719¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 2.00  
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:12     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVVIE JETS 3 2 2 22 21 11 1 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 3.95  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PLUM ALI 2 4 5 3 5 4 2 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 45% 1.20 2.15 P
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SKIPPING (GB) by RAINBOW QUEST)
MESSIDOR (IRE) 4 3 32 5 3 3 3 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00 1.80 S
  (by VADAMOS out of PYRENEAN QUEEN by ZOFFANY (IRE))
POR QUE NO 5 1 1 12 11 21 4 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 5% 18.10 15.80  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CRYPTIC MESSAGE by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
KEPT WAITING 1 5 42 4 44 5 59 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 2.80  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY HOW 1 7 4 42   2nk 1 (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 23% 3.30 3.90 W
FANCY FELINE 7 5 73 3   3½ 2 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 4.00 P
LIBERTY FLAME 6 2 31 2nk   1nk 3 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 8.90  
JULIANA'S ROSE 3 6 6 64   56 410¼ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 3.80  
KANT HURRY LOVE 2 3 1½ 1nk   4 511¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.05  
BUSTIN BULLET 4 4 52 7   611 620 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 11.70  
JET SET JULIET 5 1 2½ 5   718 720¾ (dunham b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 11.80  
SCR  RIBOT'S VALENTINE               (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGUA DULCE (GB) 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1 11 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 17.70  
AKAYLA (IRE) 4 8 87 8 75 5 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.40  
R ROSE' ALL DAY 7 5 43 42 3 3 3 (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 9.60  
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 5 2 3 3 43 4 4 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 12% 7.10 2.35  
10  LETTER OF GOLD 8 7 98 9 9 8 5 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 16% 5.10 3.85  
MILIEU 3 9 7 7 86 7 6 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 14.30  
11  ON THE PAYROLL 9 3 21 2½ 2½ 2 7 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10.60  
MORE THAN A DIVA 1 6 5 5 5 6 8 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5.10  
WILL BE FAMOUS 2 4 6 64 6 9 914¼ (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 20.60  
SCR  APPALACHIAN TRAIL               (seyler d)DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUN BEE               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDDER'S MEN 5 4 1 12   18 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10 0.55 W
10  CLASSIC LEGACY 9 2 711 611   4 2 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5.90  
CLASSIC CATCH 2 9 814½ 814¾   59 3 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.20 S
CHESS SPECTACULAR 3 5 56 5   28 412 (baker charlton)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00 19% 4.30 27.25  
YORKSHIRE PRINCE 7 6 611 711¼   714½ 518½ (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 12.10  
PAROS 4 7 45 4   38 619¼ (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 23.50  
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 8 1 3 32   614 725 (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 10.00 26.50  
STORMANDY 1 8 915½ 918¼   821½ 831¼ (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 38.50  
SCOOTSCOOT 6 3 2 22   926½ 951¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 19.90  
SCR  SKELLIG               (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:151 1:391   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL CITY 1 10 98 96 84 3 1 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 16% 5.40 3.80 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
MACKINNON 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 17% 5.00 4.00 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SCAT MEANS GO by SCAT DADDY)
GRAND SONATA 2 9 44 6 5 53 3 (pletcher to)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5.00  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
WICKED FAST 9 8 1010 108 10 74 4 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 15.40  
  (by TOURIST out of WICKED CHARM by GHOSTZAPPER)
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 3 6 32 3 42 42 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 36.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LAWYER BROCKMEYER by LAWYER RON)
ST ANTHONY 5 7 7 74 74 64 6 (drysdale nei)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 12.80  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of AMNESIA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
NANTASKET BEACH 4 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 74 (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00 63.75  
  (by STREET BOSS out of HOLY CARGO by HOLY BULL)
10  LIMITED LIABILITY 10 1 8 8 9 106 8 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 23% 3.30 4.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
BE BETTER 6 2 54 42 3 95 9 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 19% 4.40 6.60  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 8 4 6 5 63 8 10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 6.40  
  (by ALMANZOR out of FAST LILY by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY ALEX 6 10 108 8   35 1 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 19.10  
M. C. DOUBLE R 7 1 31 3½   12 2 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 4.70  
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 8 2 76 6   58 3 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.30 S
WHO ME 2 8 53 42   48 4 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 21% 3.70 12.10  
SARATOGA BANKER 3 5 1½ 1nk   22 511½ (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 7.20  
11  CHASIN' YOU 10 3 87 7   711 613¾ (lynch nat)VARGAS A 119 12.00 58.50  
GARTH ROAD 5 4 2½ 2nk   6 715½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.50  
10  FAST STUDY 9 6 97 9   917 819¾ (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
DESTIN HOOFMAN 1 7 42 5   812 921½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 41% 1.50 3.30  
TESTA DURA 4 9 6 10   1020½ 1025½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 9% 9.60 6.60  
SCR  PAGETT               (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:12     1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADY ON 2 2 2 3 32 21 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5.40  
JAVA BUZZ 8 1 1 12 1 11 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 9.60  
INTERNAL CAPITAL 7 4 78 8 6 6 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.10 1.40 S
CHULAINN 1 8 4 55 5 5 4 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 4.20  
EMBOITE (IRE) 6 6 35 22 2 3 5 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 15.40  
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 4 3 56 44 43 4 6 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.70  
IMPULSIVENESS 3 7 68 76 7 7 7 (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 22.90  
MY BOY PADDY 5 5 89 6 8 8 812¾ (rivera j)DAVIS A 124 30.00 12% 7.20 35.75  
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-10   10/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST GIANT 4 4 46 45   3 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.65 W
PHANTOM SMOKE 5 3 31 2   2 22 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 10% 8.50 7.50 P
NEURO 3 8 8 67   5 3 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 4.10  
YARROW 7 6 9 810½   7 4 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 5.50  
1A  KLICKITAT 9 2 6 7   6 53 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 2.65  
NOT PHAR NOW 8 1 1nk 1   1 6 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60 3.25  
BREW PUB 1 7 78 911½   9 7 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 27.00  
DEEP COVER 2 5 2nk 33   4 8 (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 5.70  
SHIRAZ 6 9 5 56   87 9 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 28.50  
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  NUEVA YORK               (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 30.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (schosberg richard)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.