The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 22, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
:232 :48 1:124 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIGURIA 4 1 54 54 54½ 21½ 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 24% 3.20 3.10 W
5  ERNA 5 3 11½ 11 11 11½ 2¼ (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★ 11.80 P
7  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 7 4 43 42½ 32½ 33 34 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 27.00  
1  JUST A SPLASH (IRE) 1 9 77 76 66 54 44½ (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 6.80  
2  KEEP IT SEXY 2 8 66 65½ 78 77 58¾ (solares axelle)VARGAS A 119 20.00 82.00  
10  NYXED 10 5 21½ 21 21 44 613 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 4.60  
6  PASSIONATE DREAM 6 10 109½ 98 89½ 910½ 714¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20% 4.00 26.00  
9  TREASURED GEM 9 6 99 109 911 89 814¾ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 7.60  
3  INVEST WISELY 3 2 32 32 42½ 66½ 915¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★ 3.70  
8  SOURCES AND USES 8 7 87½ 88 1011½ 1013 1019 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 33% 2.00 5.40  
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
:231 :463 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BEZOS 7 1 1½ 11½   12 11 (goberdhan chandradat)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00 19% 4.40 4.00 W
6  HATCH 5 2 53 42   22 21 (martin f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.80  
5  MAJOR SPIN 4 4 2½ 21½   32½ 31¼ (solares axelle)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 25.25  
7  BLAKE B. 6 3 65 63½   44½ 44¾ (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 9.00  
1  SKYLANDER 1 7 75¼ 75½   510½ 514¾ (englehart s)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 ★ 2.05  
3  BASIS RISK 3 5 31½ 32   611 615½ (coffey marialice)DAVIS A 120 8.00 6.10  
2  SWIFT TAP 2 6 43 53   713½ 719¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 2.00  
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
:24 :483 1:12     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EVVIE JETS 3 2 21½ 22 21 11 11¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 ★ 3.95  
2  PLUM ALI 2 4 52½ 32½ 55½ 43½ 21¼ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 45% 1.20 2.15 P
4  MESSIDOR (IRE) 4 3 32 53½ 33½ 32½ 31¼ (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00 1.80 S
5  POR QUE NO 5 1 11½ 12 11 21 41¾ (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 5% 18.10 15.80  
1  KEPT WAITING 1 5 42 43½ 44 54½ 59 (falcone n)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 ★ 2.80  
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
:223 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY HOW 1 7 41½ 42   2nk 12¾ (handal raymond)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 23% 3.30 3.90 W
8  FANCY FELINE 7 5 73 31½   3½ 22¾ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 ★ 4.00 P
7  LIBERTY FLAME 6 2 31 2nk   1nk 33½ (quick j)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 8.90  
3  JULIANA'S ROSE 3 6 62½ 64   56 410¼ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 3.80  
2  KANT HURRY LOVE 2 3 1½ 1nk   43½ 511¼ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.05  
4  BUSTIN BULLET 4 4 52 75½   611 620 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 11.70  
6  JET SET JULIET 5 1 2½ 53½   718 720¾ (dunham g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 ★ 11.80  
SCR  RIBOT'S VALENTINE               (handal raymond)VARGAS A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:44
:241 :484 1:131 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AGUA DULCE (GB) 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 12½ 11 (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 17.70  
5  AKAYLA (IRE) 4 8 87 87½ 75 53¾ 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.40  
9  R ROSE' ALL DAY 7 5 43 42 32½ 32½ 31½ (joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 9.60  
6  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 5 2 32½ 31½ 43 42¾ 41¾ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 12% 7.10 2.35  
10  LETTER OF GOLD 8 7 98 98½ 96½ 84¾ 53¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 16% 5.10 3.85  
4  MILIEU 3 9 76½ 75½ 86 74¾ 63½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 14.30  
11  ON THE PAYROLL 9 3 21 2½ 2½ 22½ 74½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★ 10.60  
2  MORE THAN A DIVA 1 6 54½ 53½ 54½ 64¼ 84¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5.10  
3  WILL BE FAMOUS 2 4 65½ 64 64½ 95¾ 914¼ (brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 20.60  
SCR  APPALACHIAN TRAIL               (seyler j)DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUN BEE               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
:223 :463 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RUDDER'S MEN 5 4 11½ 12   18 14¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10 0.55 W
10  CLASSIC LEGACY 9 2 711 611   48½ 24¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5.90  
2  CLASSIC CATCH 2 9 814½ 814¾   59 34¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★ 5.20 S
3  CHESS SPECTACULAR 3 5 56 55½   28 412 (baker charlton)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00 19% 4.30 27.25  
8  YORKSHIRE PRINCE 7 6 611 711¼   714½ 518½ (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 ★ 12.10  
4  PAROS 4 7 45 42½   38 619¼ (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 23.50  
9  FAST BOAT TO SKYE 8 1 32½ 32   614 725 (donk david)VARGAS A 119 10.00 26.50  
1  STORMANDY 1 8 915½ 918¼   821½ 831¼ (baker charlton)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 38.50  
7  SCOOTSCOOT 6 3 21½ 22   926½ 951¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 19.90  
SCR  SKELLIG               (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
:241 :494 1:151 1:391   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL CITY 1 10 98 96 84 31½ 12¼ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 16% 5.40 3.80 W
7  MACKINNON 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 22¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 17% 5.00 4.00 P
2  GRAND SONATA 2 9 44 63½ 52½ 53 32¼ (pletcher a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5.00  
9  WICKED FAST 9 8 1010 108 105½ 74 42½ (maker j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 15.40  
3  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 3 6 32 31½ 42 42 52¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 36.50  
5  ST ANTHONY 5 7 75½ 74 74 64 63¾ (drysdale neil)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 12.80  
4  NANTASKET BEACH 4 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 74 (lawrence lee)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00 63.75  
10  LIMITED LIABILITY 10 1 87½ 85½ 94½ 106 84½ (mcgaughey iii)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 23% 3.30 4.60  
6  BE BETTER 6 2 54 42 31½ 95 94½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 19% 4.40 6.60  
8  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 8 4 64½ 53½ 63 84½ 104½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★ 6.40  
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
:233 :474 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLASHY ALEX 6 10 108 88¾   35 13½ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 19.10  
8  M. C. DOUBLE R 7 1 31 3½   12 23½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 4.70  
9  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 8 2 76 63¾   58 36¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 6.30 S
2  WHO ME 2 8 53 42   48 48½ (nevin michelle)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 21% 3.70 12.10  
4  SARATOGA BANKER 3 5 1½ 1nk   22 511½ (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 7.20  
11  CHASIN' YOU 10 3 87 74¾   711 613¾ (lynch natalia)VARGAS A 119 12.00 58.50  
6  GARTH ROAD 5 4 2½ 2nk   69½ 715½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.50  
10  FAST STUDY 9 6 97 99¼   917 819¾ (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
1  DESTIN HOOFMAN 1 7 42 52¼   812 921½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 41% 1.50 3.30  
5  TESTA DURA 4 9 65½ 109¾   1020½ 1025½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 9% 9.60 6.60  
SCR  PAGETT               (rodriguez r)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
:231 :48 1:12     1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STEADY ON 2 2 24½ 33½ 32 21 12½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5.40  
8  JAVA BUZZ 8 1 14½ 12 11½ 11 22½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 9.60  
7  INTERNAL CAPITAL 7 4 78 86½ 65½ 64¼ 33¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.10 1.40 S
1  CHULAINN 1 8 45½ 55 53½ 53¾ 43¾ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★ 4.20  
6  EMBOITE (IRE) 6 6 35 22 21½ 33½ 54½ (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 15.40  
4  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 4 3 56 44 43 43½ 64¾ (schettino a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.70  
3  IMPULSIVENESS 3 7 68 76 75½ 75¾ 78¼ (pletcher a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 22.90  
5  MY BOY PADDY 5 5 89 65½ 85¾ 88¼ 812¾ (rivera justin)DAVIS A 124 30.00 12% 7.20 35.75  
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-10   10/22/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:222 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST GIANT 4 4 46 45   32½ 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.65 W
5  PHANTOM SMOKE 5 3 31 21½   21½ 22 (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 10% 8.50 7.50 P
4  NEURO 3 8 88¼ 67   55½ 32¼ (ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 4.10  
8  YARROW 7 6 98¾ 810½   76½ 42¾ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 5.50  
1A  KLICKITAT 9 2 67½ 78½   66½ 53 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 ★ 2.65  
9  NOT PHAR NOW 8 1 1nk 11½   11½ 63¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60 3.25  
2  BREW PUB 1 7 78 911½   98½ 75½ (arenas marcelo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 27.00  
3  DEEP COVER 2 5 2nk 33   44½ 85½ (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 5.70  
6  SHIRAZ 6 9 56½ 56   87 95¾ (maker j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 28.50  
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  NUEVA YORK               (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 30.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (schosberg richard)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.