Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:124 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGURIA 4 1 54 54 5 2 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 24% 3.20 3.10 W
ERNA 5 3 1 11 11 1 2¼ (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 11.80 P
THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 7 4 43 4 3 33 34 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 27.00  
JUST A SPLASH (IRE) 1 9 77 76 66 54 4 (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 6.80  
KEEP IT SEXY 2 8 66 6 78 77 5 (solares axe)VARGAS A 119 20.00 82.00  
10  NYXED 10 5 2 21 21 44 613 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 4.60  
PASSIONATE DREAM 6 10 10 98 8 910½ 714¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20% 4.00 26.00  
TREASURED GEM 9 6 99 109 911 89 814¾ (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 7.60  
INVEST WISELY 3 2 32 32 4 6 915¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 3.70  
SOURCES AND USES 8 7 8 88 1011½ 1013 1019 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 33% 2.00 5.40  
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEZOS 7 1 1½ 1   12 11 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00 19% 4.40 4.00 W
HATCH (GB) 5 2 53 42   22 21 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 16.80  
MAJOR SPIN 4 4 2½ 2   3 3 (solares axell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 25.25  
BLAKE B. 6 3 65 6   4 4 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 9.00  
SKYLANDER 1 7 7 7   510½ 514¾ (englehart jef)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 2.05  
BASIS RISK 3 5 3 32   611 615½ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 8.00 6.10  
SWIFT TAP 2 6 43 53   713½ 719¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 2.00  
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:12     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVVIE JETS 3 2 2 22 21 11 1 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 3.95  
PLUM ALI 2 4 5 3 5 4 2 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 45% 1.20 2.15 P
MESSIDOR (IRE) 4 3 32 5 3 3 3 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00 1.80 S
POR QUE NO 5 1 1 12 11 21 4 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 5% 18.10 15.80  
KEPT WAITING 1 5 42 4 44 5 59 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 2.80  
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY HOW 1 7 4 42   2nk 1 (handal raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 23% 3.30 3.90 W
FANCY FELINE 7 5 73 3   3½ 2 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 4.00 P
LIBERTY FLAME 6 2 31 2nk   1nk 3 (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 8.90  
JULIANA'S ROSE 3 6 6 64   56 410¼ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 3.80  
KANT HURRY LOVE 2 3 1½ 1nk   4 511¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.05  
BUSTIN BULLET 4 4 52 7   611 620 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 11.70  
JET SET JULIET 5 1 2½ 5   718 720¾ (dunham bob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 11.80  
SCR  RIBOT'S VALENTINE               (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGUA DULCE (GB) 6 1 11 1½ 1½ 1 11 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 17.70  
AKAYLA (IRE) 4 8 87 8 75 5 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.40  
R ROSE' ALL DAY 7 5 43 42 3 3 3 (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 9.60  
MADEMOISELLEJACKIE 5 2 3 3 43 4 4 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 12% 7.10 2.35  
10  LETTER OF GOLD 8 7 98 9 9 8 5 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 16% 5.10 3.85  
MILIEU 3 9 7 7 86 7 6 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 14.30  
11  ON THE PAYROLL 9 3 21 2½ 2½ 2 7 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10.60  
MORE THAN A DIVA 1 6 5 5 5 6 8 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5.10  
WILL BE FAMOUS 2 4 6 64 6 9 914¼ (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 20.60  
SCR  APPALACHIAN TRAIL               (seyler dou)DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUN BEE               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDDER'S MEN 5 4 1 12   18 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10 0.55 W
10  CLASSIC LEGACY 9 2 711 611   4 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5.90  
CLASSIC CATCH 2 9 814½ 814¾   59 3 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.20 S
CHESS SPECTACULAR 3 5 56 5   28 412 (baker charlton)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00 19% 4.30 27.25  
YORKSHIRE PRINCE 7 6 611 711¼   714½ 518½ (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 12.10  
PAROS 4 7 45 4   38 619¼ (jerkens ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 23.50  
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 8 1 3 32   614 725 (donk david)VARGAS A 119 10.00 26.50  
STORMANDY 1 8 915½ 918¼   821½ 831¼ (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 38.50  
SCOOTSCOOT 6 3 2 22   926½ 951¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 19.90  
SCR  SKELLIG               (terranova p)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:151 1:391   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL CITY 1 10 98 96 84 3 1 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 16% 5.40 3.80 W
MACKINNON 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 17% 5.00 4.00 P
GRAND SONATA 2 9 44 6 5 53 3 (pletcher todd)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5.00  
WICKED FAST 9 8 1010 108 10 74 4 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 15.40  
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 3 6 32 3 42 42 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 36.50  
ST ANTHONY 5 7 7 74 74 64 6 (drysdale neil)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 12.80  
NANTASKET BEACH 4 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 74 (lawrence l)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00 63.75  
10  LIMITED LIABILITY 10 1 8 8 9 106 8 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 23% 3.30 4.60  
BE BETTER 6 2 54 42 3 95 9 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 19% 4.40 6.60  
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 8 4 6 5 63 8 10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 6.40  
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY ALEX 6 10 108 8   35 1 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 19.10  
M. C. DOUBLE R 7 1 31 3½   12 2 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 4.70  
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 8 2 76 6   58 3 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6.30 S
WHO ME 2 8 53 42   48 4 (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 21% 3.70 12.10  
SARATOGA BANKER 3 5 1½ 1nk   22 511½ (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 7.20  
11  CHASIN' YOU 10 3 87 7   711 613¾ (lynch natal)VARGAS A 119 12.00 58.50  
GARTH ROAD 5 4 2½ 2nk   6 715½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.50  
10  FAST STUDY 9 6 97 9   917 819¾ (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
DESTIN HOOFMAN 1 7 42 5   812 921½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 41% 1.50 3.30  
TESTA DURA 4 9 6 10   1020½ 1025½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 9% 9.60 6.60  
SCR  PAGETT               (rodriguez rudy )CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:12     1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEADY ON 2 2 2 3 32 21 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5.40  
JAVA BUZZ 8 1 1 12 1 11 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 9.60  
INTERNAL CAPITAL 7 4 78 8 6 6 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.10 1.40 S
CHULAINN 1 8 4 55 5 5 4 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 4.20  
EMBOITE (IRE) 6 6 35 22 2 3 5 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 15.40  
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 4 3 56 44 43 4 6 (schettino dominic)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.70  
IMPULSIVENESS 3 7 68 76 7 7 7 (pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 22.90  
MY BOY PADDY 5 5 89 6 8 8 812¾ (rivera jus)DAVIS A 124 30.00 12% 7.20 35.75  
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-10   10/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST GIANT 4 4 46 45   3 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 17% 4.90 2.65 W
PHANTOM SMOKE 5 3 31 2   2 22 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 10% 8.50 7.50 P
NEURO 3 8 8 67   5 3 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 4.10  
YARROW 7 6 9 810½   7 4 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 5.50  
1A  KLICKITAT 9 2 6 7   6 53 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 2.65  
NOT PHAR NOW 8 1 1nk 1   1 6 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60 3.25  
BREW PUB 1 7 78 911½   9 7 (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 27.00  
DEEP COVER 2 5 2nk 33   4 8 (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 5.70  
SHIRAZ 6 9 5 56   87 9 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 28.50  
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  NUEVA YORK               (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 30.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (schosberg richard)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.