Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A SPLASH (IRE) Sep23         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
2  KEEP IT SEXY Sep23         (solares a)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
3  INVEST WISELY Sep23 Aug07       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★    
4  LIGURIA Sep11         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  ERNA         (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★    
6  PASSIONATE DREAM Sep22 Jul24       (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 20% 4.00    
7  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
8  SOURCES AND USES         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
9  TREASURED GEM Sep18 Aug21 Jul24     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
10  NYXED Oct01         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLANDER Oct08 Aug10 Jul22 May05 Apr16 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 ★    
2  SWIFT TAP Aug27 Aug03 Jul01 Jun19 May29 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
3  BASIS RISK Aug31 Apr30       (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Oct02 Aug24 Jun30 Jun04 May12 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
5  MAJOR SPIN Sep15 Aug10 Jul08 May30 May06 (solares axe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
6  HATCH (GB) Sep03 Aug14 Jul21 May29 Apr23 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
7  BLAKE B. Jul21 Jun04 Apr30 Mar26 Feb26 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00    
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Aug03 Jun22 May07 Apr13 Mar12 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
9  BEZOS Sep16 Jun18 Jun05 Apr15   (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEPT WAITING Sep29 Jul23 Jun26 May14 Apr09 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 ★    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  PLUM ALI Sep10 Aug07 Jul02 May14 Apr16 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SKIPPING (GB) by RAINBOW QUEST)
3  EVVIE JETS Sep24 Jul27 Jul10 Jun12 May15 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MESSIDOR (IRE) Jul27 Jul03 Jun10 Apr16   (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
  (by VADAMOS out of PYRENEAN QUEEN by ZOFFANY (IRE))
5  POR QUE NO Aug31 Aug16 May30     (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 5% 18.10    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CRYPTIC MESSAGE by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY HOW Sep29 Aug26 Jul09     (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  KANT HURRY LOVE Oct01 Aug26       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  JULIANA'S ROSE Sep05 Feb11 Jan02     (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
4  BUSTIN BULLET Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Oct01 Sep05 Jan08     (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
6  JET SET JULIET Sep25 Sep04 Aug05 Jun25 May27 (dunham b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 ★    
7  LIBERTY FLAME Jun19 May28 Apr23 Apr02   (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00    
8  FANCY FELINE Sep05 Jul22 Apr30 Mar25 Feb25 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APPALACHIAN TRAIL         (seyler d)DAVIS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  MORE THAN A DIVA Sep01         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
3  WILL BE FAMOUS Oct08 Sep22 Aug07 Jul14   (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
4  MILIEU Sep18 Jul31       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
5  AKAYLA (IRE) Aug28         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
6  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Sep23 Aug28       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
7  AGUA DULCE (GB) Sep23         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  SUN BEE Sep09 Aug16       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
9  R ROSE' ALL DAY Aug07 Jul22       (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
10  LETTER OF GOLD Sep14 Aug21       (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
11  ON THE PAYROLL         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMANDY         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
2  CLASSIC CATCH         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★    
3  CHESS SPECTACULAR Sep18         (baker charlton)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00 19% 4.30    
4  PAROS Sep24         (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
SCR  SKELLIG Sep18 Aug13       (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  RUDDER'S MEN         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
7  SCOOTSCOOT Sep16         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
8  YORKSHIRE PRINCE         (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 ★    
9  FAST BOAT TO SKYE         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
10  CLASSIC LEGACY Aug20         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL CITY Sep24 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 May29 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
2  GRAND SONATA Sep05 Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 Apr08 (pletcher to)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
3  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Sep23 Aug13 Jul16 Jun03 Apr02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LAWYER BROCKMEYER by LAWYER RON)
4  NANTASKET BEACH Sep15 Aug25 Feb12 Jan01   (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of HOLY CARGO by HOLY BULL)
5  ST ANTHONY Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 May29 (drysdale nei)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of AMNESIA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
6  BE BETTER Jul29 Jul04 Jun05     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
7  MACKINNON Sep03 Jul22 Feb12 Jan01   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SCAT MEANS GO by SCAT DADDY)
8  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Sep06 Jun04 Apr23 Feb04   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by ALMANZOR out of FAST LILY by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
9  WICKED FAST Sep17 Aug20 Aug06 Jun03 Apr02 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of WICKED CHARM by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  LIMITED LIABILITY Sep06 Jul09 Jun04 Apr16   (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTIN HOOFMAN Sep22         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 41% 1.50    
2  WHO ME Sep23 Aug04 Jul08     (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  PAGETT Sep29 Sep05       (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
4  SARATOGA BANKER Sep22         (dini mike)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
5  TESTA DURA Sep22         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 9% 9.60    
6  GARTH ROAD Sep05         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
7  FLASHY ALEX Oct07 Sep18 Sep05 Aug26   (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
8  M. C. DOUBLE R Sep22 Aug14 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
9  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Jul29 Jun24       (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★    
10  FAST STUDY Sep22         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  CHASIN' YOU Sep23 Sep04       (lynch nat)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHULAINN Jun19 May15       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★    
2  STEADY ON Sep17 Aug28       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
3  IMPULSIVENESS Aug25 Jul22 Jun26     (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
4  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 Jun19 May20 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  MY BOY PADDY Sep09 Aug05       (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 30.00 12% 7.20    
6  EMBOITE (IRE) Sep24 Aug28 Aug17 Jul24 Jul02 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
7  INTERNAL CAPITAL Sep04 Jul29 Jul02     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
8  JAVA BUZZ Sep29 Aug28 Aug03 Jul03   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  PERCEIVED Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 May15 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-10   10/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST GIANT Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
1A  KLICKITAT Oct13 Sep17 May15     (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 ★    
2  BREW PUB Sep22 Aug21 Jul24 May29 May14 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00    
3  DEEP COVER Aug21 Jun26 May21 Apr23 Jan14 (solares axelle)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
4  NEURO Aug13 Jul17       (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
5  PHANTOM SMOKE Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 10% 8.50    
6  SHIRAZ Oct07 Aug31 Jul24 Jun26 Jun16 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
SCR  NUEVA YORK Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul13 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 125 30.00    
8  YARROW Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 Apr28   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
9  NOT PHAR NOW Oct07 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING Sep23 Aug26       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS Sep23 Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 Apr23 (schosberg richard)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct01 Sep04 Jul17 Jul09 May21 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 11% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.