Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. CONNECTICUT   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 6% 15.20 10.50 W
OUSTER   (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 9% 10.70 3.05 P
CONQUIST   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 32% 2.10 4.90 S
DREAMPOINT   (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 9.70  
BIONDI   (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 18% 4.60 9.70  
BORN DANCER   (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 13% 6.60 1.85  
VALENTINO'S HERE   (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 19.80  
BERNARDINO   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 8.10  
SCR  STAND UNITED   (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 50.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEER SPIRIT   (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.90 W
1A  DARK STORM   (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 1.90  
BOURBON BAY   (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 8.00 S
HAMMERIN AAMER   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50 2.20  
KUMAR   (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 8.00 22.30  
CARIBBEAN (AUS)   (sanchez-salomon)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 11% 8.20 5.80  
CRYPTO CASH   (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
 
BAQ-3   10/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORKMAN   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 11% 8.00 10.70 W
UNCLE WATER FLOW   (persaud eddie)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 47.00  
MILLEAN   (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 5.10 S
ABUNDANT HONOR   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 4.90  
EMPEROR'S CAUSE   (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
ROYAL TRYST   (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 18% 4.50 5.80  
ENDOWED   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.40 40% 1.50 0.80  
 
BAQ-4   10/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNABOUT   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 7.90  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF   (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5.70  
ITS ALL RELEVANT   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 40% 1.50 0.90 S
O SHEA CAN U SEE   (laxme)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 15.80  
GIOCARE   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 11% 8.40 5.70  
AMOUNT   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5.20  
PARSIMONY   (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 16% 5.20 20.30  
SCR  INVEST   (shivmang)DAVIS A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BE OF COURAGE   (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 39% 1.60 5.20 W
FACTUALLY CORRECT   (hemingway mich)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
DISARMED   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70 1.60 S
12  KID EMERALD   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 39.25  
TATER AND TOT   (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 12.10  
MAKAR   (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 8% 10.90 4.70  
JOYFUL GHOST   (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.50  
10  NO REGARD   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 12.40  
ALWAYS HUSTLIN   (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 47.00  
CAMM' DUKE   (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00 39.25  
SCR  FIRE KING   (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIFETIME OF CHANCE   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  LIOTTA   (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00    
SCR  M. C. DOUBLE R   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.20 49% 1.10 0.40 W
ADAM'S ANGEL   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 7% 12.80 7.10 P
MATTAPOISETT   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 13.20  
CARATS AND CAKE   (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 8.20  
WINTER MISCHIEF   (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 23.20  
LUTE PLAYER   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  ULTIMA COPA   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-7   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUNDSON   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 1.40  
RAGTIME BLUES   (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 5.60  
MOUNT TRAVERS   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 14.90  
LASTCHANCEATGLORY   (giangiulio m)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 13% 6.70 2.90  
NIGHT OPS   (jacobson da)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 41% 1.40 4.80  
BRONX BOMBER   (delauro edwa)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
POPPY'S PRIDE   (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 7% 12.40 9.50  
SCR  CAERUS   (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/21/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAUNT   (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 9.40  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 17.20  
DRIPPING GOLD   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5.50  
ORCHESTRATION   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.10  
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE)   (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 14% 6.00 4.20  
EXULT   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 11% 8.40 40.25  
HILLIARD   (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 16.40  
10  GOOD MEDICINE   (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 14.80  
SARANAC (FR)   (hodsdon daniell)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00 27.75  
MO REWARDS   (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  PERCEIVED   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY FIREFOOT   (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 14% 6.40 2.45 W
SPICY GINGER   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 13.00  
MOSTLY HARMLESS   (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
CLAIRARIFIC   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 16.70 DH
LINN PIER   (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00 51.25 DH
DIVINE WINE   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 13% 6.80 2.50  
ABSTRACT MOMENT   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7.00  
GOODMORNING ANGEL   (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 14.90  
10  ALWAYS CONNECTED   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
RICELLE   (legall ricard)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 87.50  
SCR  AFRAID NOT   (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER)   (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.