The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 21, 2022
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BAQ-1   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:233 :484 1:134 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR. CONNECTICUT 6 6 86½ 85¾ 83¾ 2½ 1½ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 6% 15.20 10.50 W
4  OUSTER 4 5 65 65 63¼ 83¾ 2½ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 9% 10.70 3.05 P
2  CONQUIST 2 3 21 21 2½ 1½ 31¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 32% 2.10 4.90 S
8  DREAMPOINT 7 7 76 75¼ 73¾ 52½ 41¾ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 9.70  
1  BIONDI 1 4 11 11 1½ 3½ 52 (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 18% 4.60 9.70  
5  BORN DANCER 5 2 33½ 33 32 42 62 (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 13% 6.60 1.85  
3  VALENTINO'S HERE 3 8 44 43 52¼ 62¾ 72½ (brown r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 19.80  
9  BERNARDINO 8 1 54½ 53½ 42 72¾ 83¼ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 8.10  
SCR  STAND UNITED               (clarke dylan)DAVIS A 120 50.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/21/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
:25 :494 1:15 1:411   1:55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER SPIRIT 1 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 12¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.90 W
1A  DARK STORM 2 7 51¼ 42½ 41 31 22¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 1.90  
5  BOURBON BAY 6 4 62¼ 53 52 2½ 32½ (arriaga antonio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 ★ 8.00 S
4  HAMMERIN AAMER 5 6 73¼ 75 63 43½ 44½ (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50 2.20  
6  KUMAR 7 5 41 31 2½ 57½ 514½ (barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 8.00 22.30  
2  CARIBBEAN (AUS) 3 1 3½ 2½ 3½ 69½ 619½ (sanchez-salomon rodolfo)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 11% 8.20 5.80  
3  CRYPTO CASH 4 2 2nk 65 7100 7100 7100 (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
 
BAQ-3   10/21/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:25 :494 1:144 1:411   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CORKMAN 5 6 31 31 31½ 1½ 1¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 11% 8.00 10.70 W
2  UNCLE WATER FLOW 2 7 77¼ 78½ 67 42 2¼ (persaud eddie)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 47.00  
4  MILLEAN 4 5 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 33¼ (klesaris p)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 ★ 5.10 S
7  ABUNDANT HONOR 7 2 11 1½ 1½ 31 46¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 4.90  
1  EMPEROR'S CAUSE 1 1 43 55½ 56½ 54½ 58 (giangiulio michelle)HARKIE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
6  ROYAL TRYST 6 3 64¼ 67 78 77½ 611¼ (arenas marcelo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 18% 4.50 5.80  
3  ENDOWED 3 4 53¼ 44 44½ 64½ 711¾ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.40 40% 1.50 0.80  
 
BAQ-4   10/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:232 :464 1:114     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT 1 6 53¼ 43 32 2nk 11¼ (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 ★ 7.90  
5  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 5 2 21½ 21½ 22 31½ 21¼ (handal raymond)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5.70  
8  ITS ALL RELEVANT 7 1 11½ 11½ 12 1nk 33 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 40% 1.50 0.90 S
3  O SHEA CAN U SEE 3 7 78¾ 710 714 711 46¾ (laxmeter daniel)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 15.80  
4  GIOCARE 4 4 63¾ 65½ 610½ 57½ 57½ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 11% 8.40 5.70  
7  AMOUNT 6 3 43 53½ 56½ 46 68¼ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5.20  
2  PARSIMONY 2 5 31½ 32 43½ 69½ 721½ (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 16% 5.20 20.30  
SCR  INVEST               (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/21/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
:224 :461 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BE OF COURAGE 9 5 31½ 21½   11½ 14 (pregman jr)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 39% 1.60 5.20 W
3  FACTUALLY CORRECT 2 1 1½ 11½   21½ 24 (hemingway michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
4  DISARMED 3 4 42 42½   32½ 35¾ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70 1.60 S
12  KID EMERALD 10 6 63 64½   65½ 47¼ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 39.25  
5  TATER AND TOT 4 2 2½ 32½   43 57½ (englehart s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 12.10  
8  MAKAR 6 8 73 54   53½ 68¼ (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 8% 10.90 4.70  
9  JOYFUL GHOST 7 3 52½ 76½   78 710¼ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 6.50  
10  NO REGARD 8 7 89½ 813½   815 812 (terranova p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 12.40  
6  ALWAYS HUSTLIN 5 10 913½ 913¾   915 912¼ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 47.00  
2  CAMM' DUKE 1 9 10100 10100   10100 10100 (ryerson t)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00 39.25  
SCR  FIRE KING               (clement christophe)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIFETIME OF CHANCE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  LIOTTA               (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00    
SCR  M. C. DOUBLE R               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:23 :463 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 2 5 52¼ 41½   14 16¾ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.20 49% 1.10 0.40 W
4  ADAM'S ANGEL 4 2 3½ 2nk   24 26¾ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 7% 12.80 7.10 P
5  MATTAPOISETT 5 4 63¾ 52   37½ 311¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 13.20  
3  CARATS AND CAKE 3 1 1½ 1nk   48½ 418½ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 ★ 8.20  
6  WINTER MISCHIEF 6 3 2½ 3½   512½ 521¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 23.20  
1  LUTE PLAYER 1 6 42 62½   617½ 634¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  ULTIMA COPA               (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-7   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:231 :463 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AMUNDSON 3 1 11 11   1½ 1¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 ★ 1.40  
5  RAGTIME BLUES 4 4 21 21   2½ 2¼ (breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 5.60  
2  MOUNT TRAVERS 2 2 32 32½   46½ 39¾ (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 14.90  
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY 5 6 42½ 54   56½ 411¼ (giangiulio michelle)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 13% 6.70 2.90  
8  NIGHT OPS 7 5 76 78   69½ 512¼ (jacobson david)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 41% 1.40 4.80  
7  BRONX BOMBER 6 3 52½ 42½   36 615¾ (delauro j)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
1  POPPY'S PRIDE 1 7 63½ 66   713 718¾ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 7% 12.40 9.50  
SCR  CAERUS               (lucas bonnie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/21/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:244 :50 1:16 1:401 2:033 2:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DAUNT 5 63 32 32½ 21 2nk 1nk (ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 9.40  
7  FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 1nk 11 11½ 11 1nk 2nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 17.20  
8  DRIPPING GOLD 8 31 52½ 53 41½ 32 3¼ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5.50  
3  ORCHESTRATION 2 84½ 74½ 64 52½ 43 4¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.10  
9  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 9 97 95¾ 96¾ 84¼ 54½ 51¼ (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 14% 6.00 4.20  
6  EXULT 6 108½ 107¾ 109¼ 107¾ 96¼ 63 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 11% 8.40 40.25  
2  HILLIARD 1 74 85½ 86½ 95¾ 85¾ 73¼ (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 16.40  
10  GOOD MEDICINE 10 2nk 21 21½ 31½ 75¾ 85½ (pletcher a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 14.80  
4  SARANAC (FR) 3 41½ 42 43 63½ 65½ 99½ (hodsdon danielle)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00 27.75  
1  MO REWARDS 4 52½ 64 74½ 73¾ 107¼ 1010½ (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  PERCEIVED               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-9   10/21/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
:223 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY FIREFOOT 4 6 52½ 52½   21 1¾ (reynolds j)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 14% 6.40 2.45 W
8  SPICY GINGER 8 5 41½ 31   11 2¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 13.00  
5  MOSTLY HARMLESS 5 7 74 74½   53½ 32¾ (martin f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
1  CLAIRARIFIC 1 1 31 42   75 43¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00 16.70 DH
9  LINN PIER 9 4 62½ 63   64 43¼ (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00 51.25 DH
3  DIVINE WINE 3 10 84½ 86   85½ 64 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 13% 6.80 2.50  
2  ABSTRACT MOMENT 2 2 2½ 2½   32½ 74½ (nevin michelle)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7.00  
7  GOODMORNING ANGEL 7 8 97 96½   97 86½ (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 14.90  
10  ALWAYS CONNECTED 10 3 1½ 1½   43 99¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
6  RICELLE 6 9 109 109½   1013½ 1014¼ (legall e)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 87.50  
SCR  AFRAID NOT               (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY TIME               (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.