Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIONDI Aug06 Jul15 May30 Apr24   (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  CONQUIST Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jun30 Jun09 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  VALENTINO'S HERE Sep24 Sep02       (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
4  OUSTER Sep25 Jun09 Apr30 Mar31   (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 9% 10.70    
5  BORN DANCER Aug17 Jul09       (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  STAND UNITED Sep24 Aug26       (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 50.00    
7  MR. CONNECTICUT Aug11 Jul15 May30 Apr24   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 6% 15.20    
8  DREAMPOINT Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
9  BERNARDINO Sep02 Jul15 May30     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER SPIRIT Oct15 Jul28 Jul22 Jun18 Apr21 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
1A  DARK STORM Sep17 Aug05 Jul14 Jun30 May29 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60    
2  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jun26 (sanchez-salomon)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
3  CRYPTO CASH Aug24 Jun30 Jun03 May07 Apr08 (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAMMERIN AAMER Sep16 Jul22 Jun16 Apr21 Mar26 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
5  BOURBON BAY Apr09 Mar27 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 ★    
6  KUMAR Sep17 Aug25 Jul21 Jun03 May06 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Sep15 Jun16 May01 Apr07 Mar18 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNCLE WATER FLOW Sep15 Aug18 Jul10 May20 Apr07 (persaud eddie)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
3  ENDOWED Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun05 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  MILLEAN Sep30 Aug21 Apr03 Feb19   (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 ★    
5  CORKMAN Oct02 Sep24 Sep05 Aug24 Jul15 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  ROYAL TRYST Oct02 Jul30 Jul14 Jun04 May08 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
7  ABUNDANT HONOR Sep30 Aug28 Jan05     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT Oct01 Sep14 Aug21 Aug10 May14 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 ★    
2  PARSIMONY Jul28 Jul14 May24 May06 Feb07 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  O SHEA CAN U SEE Sep17 Aug05 Jun24 May21 Apr21 (laxme)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
4  GIOCARE Aug25 Jul14 Jun03 May06 Mar26 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
5  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Aug25 Jul14 Jun19 May06 Apr21 (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
SCR  INVEST Oct01 Aug05 May21 Apr28 Mar19 (shivmang)DAVIS A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMOUNT Sep16 Aug25 Jul22 Jun16 May08 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
8  ITS ALL RELEVANT Sep17 Jun24 May27 Apr28 Mar27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIFETIME OF CHANCE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
2  CAMM' DUKE Jul29 Jun24       (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00    
3  FACTUALLY CORRECT         (hemingway miche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DISARMED Sep04 Jul27       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
5  TATER AND TOT Sep29 Sep04       (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
6  ALWAYS HUSTLIN         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
SCR  LIOTTA Sep16 Aug19 Jul29     (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00    
8  MAKAR Aug10 Jul08       (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 8% 10.90    
9  JOYFUL GHOST         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
10  NO REGARD         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
11  BE OF COURAGE Sep23         (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
12  KID EMERALD Sep23         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  FIRE KING Sep23 Aug04       (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  M. C. DOUBLE R Sep22 Aug14 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUTE PLAYER Aug25         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER Aug25 Jul27       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.20 49% 1.10    
3  CARATS AND CAKE         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 ★    
4  ADAM'S ANGEL Sep16 Jul27       (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 7% 12.80    
5  MATTAPOISETT Sep23 Jul27 Jul01     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
6  WINTER MISCHIEF Sep23         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
SCR  ULTIMA COPA Feb27 Jan19       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-7   10/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S PRIDE Jun17 May20 Apr30 Mar25 Mar13 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
2  MOUNT TRAVERS Sep25 Aug24 Jul22 Jun30 May27 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
3  AMUNDSON Sep03 Jul30 Jun16 Apr29 Feb27 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 ★    
SCR  CAERUS Oct06 Aug27 Aug07 Jul07 May06 (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
5  RAGTIME BLUES Sep01 Aug05 May15 Apr28 Mar18 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Sep25 Aug24 Jul22 Jun18 Mar20 (giangiulio m)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 13% 6.70    
7  BRONX BOMBER Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 (delauro edwa)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  NIGHT OPS Sep05 Aug06 Jan09     (jacobson da)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
BAQ-8   10/21/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO REWARDS Sep23 Aug17 Jul16     (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERCEIVED Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 May15 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 8.00 ★    
2  HILLIARD Sep24 Sep05 Jun30 Jun05 Apr16 (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
3  ORCHESTRATION Sep23 Jul30       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  SARANAC (FR) Sep23 Aug25 Jul31     (hodsdon daniell)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
5  DAUNT Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 Jun04 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
6  EXULT Aug28 Jul30       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
7  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Sep23 Jul22 Jun18     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
8  DRIPPING GOLD Sep05 Aug25 Jul16 Jun18   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
9  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Sep17 Aug25 Jun26     (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
10  GOOD MEDICINE Sep02 Jul24 Jun18 May20 Apr23 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
BAQ-9   10/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIRARIFIC Sep29 Mar27       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
2  ABSTRACT MOMENT Sep14 Aug10 Jul27 Jun18   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
3  DIVINE WINE Sep22         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  LADY FIREFOOT Sep22 Aug19 Jul30     (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
5  MOSTLY HARMLESS Sep22 Sep05 Aug06 Jun30 May27 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RICELLE Aug21 Jul28 Jun30 Jun10 May15 (legall r)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
7  GOODMORNING ANGEL May13 Mar27 Feb06     (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
8  SPICY GINGER Sep22 Jun05       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
9  LINN PIER Sep22 Sep05 Jul17 Jun10 May15 (toscano j)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
10  ALWAYS CONNECTED Sep22 Jan14       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 Jun04 Apr10 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  AFRAID NOT Oct07 Sep07 Aug08 Jul19 Jun25 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.