Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:223 :48 1:134 1:37   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAT FLIP 3 5 1½ 11 1½ 12 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 33% 2.10 1.95 W
KALIK 7 2 55 43 4 22 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 15.30  
FIGHTERTOWN 1 8 4 3 31 32 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5.30 S
10  AMERICAN HUSTLE 10 1 66 54 5 44 44 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 3.35  
SCAT TU TAP 4 6 2½ 21 2½ 5 5 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 10.40  
FARADAY 6 9 917 914½ 96 710 610 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 4.50  
1A  PLEASE BABY 8 7 810½ 77 7 69 710¼ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10.40  
WISECRAKEN 5 3 3 6 64 810¼ 814 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 12.90  
BROTHER SHOWTYME 9 4 7 8 85 911¼ 918¾ (forde jason)CASTILLO AMIN 119 50.00 ######  
IN SPADES 2 10 1021½ 1015½ 10 1012¾ 1019¾ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 6% 17.10 15.60  
SCR  BIG WICKS               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 2.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  EQUAL PROTECTION               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MCCULLOUGH               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  SORPRESO               (rohena raf)DAVIS A 119 50.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/23/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
See original race card.
:241 :511 1:172 1:411   1:582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYRISKYAFFAIR 7 4 11 11 11 1 1 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 33% 2.00 1.00 W
ENSEMBLE (IRE) 6 8 8 8 63 5 2 (walsh brendan )CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 17.40  
UNRULY JULIE 5 6 53 4 3 2 3 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 9% 10.00 6.10 S
LISHEEN 4 1 3 31 4 4 4 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 5.20  
EVER SUMMER 2 5 21 21 21 3 5 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 6.20  
RHOMBIQUE 8 7 64 6 5 6 63 (ribaudo robert)SAMUEL L 122 15.00 24.50  
BROADWAY BOOGIE 1 3 43 5 74 7 76 (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 9.40  
YOUENS 3 2 7 7 8 810¾ 811 (russell brittany )DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 13.80  
SCR  CORINNA               (matz r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-3   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:142     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANYWHO 2 4 4 32   22 1¾ (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 4.40  
DON'T TELL AMY 4 7 64 5   4 2¾ (solares axell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 16% 5.20 4.00 P
RISK FREE 3 1 2½ 11   12 32 (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.90 S
KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE 5 5 3 4   32 4 (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.75  
GINETTES ON FIRE 7 2 1½ 21   5 510½ (delgado jose)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
REIGN OF THUNDER 1 3 53 611½   631¾ 646½ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 33.75  
LA GROTTE 6 6 7 722½   760¾ 7100 (solares axelle)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 4.40  
 
BAQ-4   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:14 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG AGENDA 6 3 44 4 3 2 1nk (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 3.35  
ROYAL PRINCE 1 2 11 1 1 1 2nk (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 63% 0.60 2.25 P
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 2 8 7 85 54 43 3¾ (maker michae)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 10.00 10.60  
REGAL SPEAKER 3 1 33 3 43 3 42 (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 16.70  
QUIET OUT EAST 7 10 98 10 96 6 5 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 21.80  
12  BARLEEWON 12 5 21 2 2 5 63 (camejo m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 19.00  
ARTIE'S ANGEL 8 7 55 64 6 7 7 (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 18.40  
JACK THE CAT 9 11 11 11 11 9 8 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 6% 15.90 8.50  
10  FRONT MAN 10 6 6 7 7 8 9 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 51.75  
NOBLE CONQUEST 5 12 10 9 107 1110¾ 109 (abreu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 44.25  
11  CHESS'S DREAM 11 9 8 53 8 1211¼ 11 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 8.70  
MONARCHS GLEN (GB) 4 4 1211½ 1210¼ 128 10 1210¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 7% 13.70 7.20  
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPID'S HEART 5 5 2½ 1½   1 15 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 1.40 44% 1.30 0.55 W
HAPPY SOPHIA 4 2 3½ 4   2 25 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 121 20.00 15.90  
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 3 4 54 7   3 36 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 24.75  
BUSTIN BAY 2 3 6 6   5 410¼ (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 6.20  
KHALI MAGIC 6 8 7 52   6 513 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 19% 4.10 4.60  
VALLELUJAH 7 7 8 8   7 614½ (davis robb)DAVIS A 122 20.00 22.70  
MISS ALACRITY 8 6 42 3½   4 717¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 1 1 1½ 2½   812¼ 826¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 7% 14.40 27.50  
 
BAQ-6   10/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:222 :454 :573     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN CURTIS RUN 5 9 9 9   5 1 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 3.00  
GROOMS ALL BIZNESS 6 3 43 21   2½ 2 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 25.25  
OUTLAW KID 3 7 5 4   4 3 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 2.20  
JUST JEREMY 8 1 2½ 31   3½ 43 (hogan willia)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 77.25  
THAT'S RIGHT 2 2 1½ 11   1½ 5 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 4.50 8.10  
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 1 4 33 5   63 6 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 13.30  
TOO MANY TWIZZLERS 4 8 7 8   7 7 (delacour arnaud)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 15% 5.80 4.40  
10  SOSUA SUMMER 9 6 8 7   85 87 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 4.20  
SURPRISE BOSS 7 5 6 6   9 9 (rohena raf)DAVIS A 118 12.00 33.25  
SCR  CYBERVIKING               (o'connell kath)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
SCR  MAYA PRINCE               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASKED MARAUDER 1 2 7 76   4 1½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 8% 11.70 2.75 W
MR BREADWINNER 7 4 3½ 3   12 2½ (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 55% 0.80 1.95 P
WILL E SUTTON 8 5 4 4   5 3 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 14.40  
JAKE ROCKS 9 6 2nk 2½   22 4 (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 4.00 7% 14.40 3.05  
DOCTOR LOVE 3 8 8 88   6 5 (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 12.90  
MOTION TO STRIKE 6 3 1nk 1½   33 6 (reynold)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00 5.80  
SPECTATORLESS 2 9 911¼ 912   912½ 713½ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 121 12.00 31.00  
MERCHANTS OF COOL 5 7 54 54   7 814¼ (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 121 20.00 6% 15.60 59.75  
EXXTOP 4 1 6 6   811 921¾ (thompson m)DAVIS A 121 30.00 68.50  
 
BAQ-8   10/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROAD TO REMEMBER 10 1 3½ 3½   1 1 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 29.00  
LISA'S VISION 1 4 4 4   2 2 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 4.30 P
TIS A PITY 8 7 6 7   4 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 47% 1.10 4.50 S
SILKEN DOLLAR 7 8 8 8   53 42 (schosberg richa)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 15.50  
ROYAL DANCER 9 5 7 5   3 5 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 11% 7.90 1.90  
LUCKY LATKES 4 9 9 10   8 63 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00 39.00  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 6 10 10 9   9 75 (barker edward)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 48.25  
DUFRESNE 2 3 2nk 2nk   7 8 (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 6.80  
SARATOGA GAZE 3 2 1nk 1nk   6 97 (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 8% 12.30 7.50  
DOC DOC ROCK 5 6 5 6   10 1016¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 9.00  
SCR  CARBON               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  EXFILTRATION               (pregman jr)RIDER TBA 121 12.00    
SCR  QUEENS DANCER               (dixon lind)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  STEAL MY HEART               (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 30.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:15     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3X  PEBBLE LANE 11 3 1 1   21 1 (schosberg richard)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 11% 8.00 6.00 W
MAGGIE T 2 5 2 2   11 2 (barker edward )SAMUEL L 119 8.00 13% 6.50 9.90 P
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 3 1 5 3   3 3 (chich)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
AMANDA'S FOLLY 6 4 3 46   4 4 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 3.50  
FOLLOW THE FED 1 2 65 5   54 5 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 33% 2.00 2.15  
11  APRIL FIRST 8 8 12 1015½   815 618¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 12.50  
1A  STRIKING MELODY 12 7 11 811   612 720½ (chichakly amira)CASTILLO AMIN 119 8.00 6.70  
BRING THE MAGIC 4 10 88 914   915½ 821¾ (miceli mich)VARGAS A 119 10.00 18.10  
12  MY GORGEOUS 9 12 10 710½   714 928¼ (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 15.50  
10  LA CHANCE 7 9 9 1115½   1019 1031 (rohena raf)DAVIS A 119 30.00 51.00  
HYPNOCURRENCY 5 6 44 6   1134 11100 (begg be)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 10.60  
2B  SLY SLOANE 10 11 75 1215¾   1238 12100 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 10.60  
SCR  MA MI JO DREAMS               (schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
SCR  MY SWEET BANKER               (schetti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 12.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.