Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCAT TU TAP Oct02 Aug27       (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
1A  PLEASE BABY Oct02 Sep03 Jul23 May27   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
2  FARADAY         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  MCCULLOUGH         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
3  FIGHTERTOWN Sep03         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★    
4  IN SPADES Sep24 Aug22       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  SORPRESO Aug10 Jul17       (rohena r)DAVIS A 119 50.00    
6  BAT FLIP Sep24 Aug20 Jul24     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  WISECRAKEN Sep25         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
8  KALIK Sep16         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
9  BROTHER SHOWTYME Aug22         (forde jason)CASTILLO AMIN 119 50.00    
10  AMERICAN HUSTLE Sep25 Jul30       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00    
SCR  EQUAL PROTECTION         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BIG WICKS Sep18         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 2.50 14% 5.90    
 
BAQ-2   10/23/2022 6270ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY BOOGIE Sep07 Jul23 Jun24 Apr30   (toner james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
2  EVER SUMMER Sep30 Aug24       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
3  YOUENS Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 Jun18 May12 (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
4  LISHEEN Sep25 Sep02 Jul15     (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 ★    
5  UNRULY JULIE Sep30 Sep07 Aug09 Jul18 Jun05 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
6  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Sep30 Sep02 Jul30 Apr23   (walsh brenda)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
7  MYRISKYAFFAIR Sep25 Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr08 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  CORINNA Sep29 Sep01 Jul28     (matz r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
9  RHOMBIQUE Sep30 Aug27 Jul22 Jun17 Jun04 (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 122 15.00    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 Mar27 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-3   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OF THUNDER Oct01 Sep05       (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00    
2  ANYWHO         (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 ★    
3  RISK FREE Oct02 Sep15 Aug17     (delauro edward )CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  DON'T TELL AMY         (solares axe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE         (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  LA GROTTE Aug07         (solares axel)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
7  GINETTES ON FIRE         (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PRINCE Oct02         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 63% 0.60    
2  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Sep18 Aug20 Jul30 May21 Mar12 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
3  REGAL SPEAKER Sep15 Jul15 Jun03 Mar02 Jan05 (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
4  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Sep18 Aug21 Jun23 May05 Apr10 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
5  NOBLE CONQUEST Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 (abr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
6  BIG AGENDA Sep18 Jul30 Jun25 Apr30 Apr14 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 ★    
7  QUIET OUT EAST Sep18 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 Jun02 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
8  ARTIE'S ANGEL Sep24 Aug29 Aug17 Jul23 Jun25 (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
9  JACK THE CAT Sep18 Jul30 Jun25 May28 Apr16 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
10  FRONT MAN Sep30 Jul23 Jul01 May29 May05 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
11  CHESS'S DREAM Sep05 Aug20 Jul22 Jun23 Mar27 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
12  BARLEEWON Sep15 Jul30 Jun24 May01 Apr16 (camejo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ARRIO Oct09 Sep24       (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 Jul04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Sep23 Aug06 Mar25 Feb27 Feb06 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 7% 14.40    
2  BUSTIN BAY Sep24 Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 Jun19 (arriaga anton)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 ★    
3  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Oct01 Sep15 Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
4  HAPPY SOPHIA Sep29 Aug14 Aug06 Jul09 Feb27 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
5  CUPID'S HEART Sep05         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 1.40 44% 1.30    
6  KHALI MAGIC Sep25 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 19% 4.10    
7  VALLELUJAH Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 May08 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
8  MISS ALACRITY Sep25 Aug06 Jun24 Apr30   (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Aug28 Aug17 Jul28 Jul03   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
2  THAT'S RIGHT Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 Jun17 May20 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 4.50    
3  OUTLAW KID Sep17 Aug28 Jan28     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50    
4  TOO MANY TWIZZLERS Sep14 Jul17 Jun26 May29   (delacour arna)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  RUN CURTIS RUN Sep10 Jul17 Jun05 May04   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
6  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
7  SURPRISE BOSS Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Jun04 Apr23 (rohena j)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
8  JUST JEREMY Aug26 Aug07 Jul04 Jun24 May21 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
SCR  MAYA PRINCE Sep24 Sep07 Feb19 Jan28   (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
10  SOSUA SUMMER Sep14 Aug03 Jul02 May15 Apr02 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  CYBERVIKING Aug24 Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 Apr30 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR Oct08 Sep17 Aug03 Jun11 May19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  LEDDY Sep24 Aug03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASKED MARAUDER Sep14 Jul30 Jul04 Jun16 May14 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 8% 11.70    
2  SPECTATORLESS Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 Jul04 Jun16 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 12.00    
3  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
4  EXXTOP Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 Aug08 Jul16 (thompson)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
5  MERCHANTS OF COOL Oct13 Mar19 Jan09     (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 121 20.00 6% 15.60    
6  MOTION TO STRIKE Jul03 Jun05 May19 Apr07 Mar13 (reyno)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00 ★    
7  MR BREADWINNER Sep03 Jul28 May28 Apr30 Apr03 (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
8  WILL E SUTTON Oct13 Sep24 Aug31 Jul15 Jun17 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00    
9  JAKE ROCKS Oct02 Aug24 Jun30 Jun04 May12 (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 4.00 7% 14.40    
 
BAQ-8   10/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISA'S VISION Sep23 Aug26 Jul20 Jun04 Apr22 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 ★    
2  DUFRESNE Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May14 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
3  SARATOGA GAZE Sep23 Jun26       (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 8% 12.30    
4  LUCKY LATKES Aug28 Jul29 May14 Mar25 Feb09 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
5  DOC DOC ROCK Jul06 Jun22 Jun06 May07 Mar06 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
6  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Aug28 Jun26 Jun03 Mar20 Feb12 (barker edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
7  SILKEN DOLLAR Sep23 Aug17 Jul29 Jun19 May30 (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
8  TIS A PITY Jul29 Jun12 May22     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
9  ROYAL DANCER Sep17 Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 May12 (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 11% 7.90    
10  ROAD TO REMEMBER Sep25 Aug20 Jul23 Jun26 May27 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
SCR  STEAL MY HEART Oct03 May11 Apr23 Feb27   (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 30.00    
SCR  QUEENS DANCER Oct03 Sep19 Aug26 Aug09 Jul14 (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  EXFILTRATION Aug04 Feb11 Jan06     (pregman jr)RIDER TBA 121 12.00    
SCR  CARBON Oct01 Mar20       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 11% 7.70    
 
BAQ-9   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul04 (chi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
1A  STRIKING MELODY Sep26 Sep05       (chichakly ami)CASTILLO AMIN 119 8.00    
2  HYPNOCURRENCY Sep17         (begg james )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
2B  SLY SLOANE Sep01         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
3X  PEBBLE LANE Sep22 Aug10       (schosberg richa)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  MA MI JO DREAMS Sep30 Sep02       (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
4  FOLLOW THE FED Sep30         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  MAGGIE T Sep02 Aug04       (barker edwar)SAMUEL L 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN Oct08 Aug18       (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
7  BRING THE MAGIC Sep30         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  MY SWEET BANKER         (schet)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 12.00 19% 4.30    
9  AMANDA'S FOLLY Sep15 Aug03 Jun25     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
10  LA CHANCE Sep23 Sep01 Aug08 Jul15 Jun14 (rohena r)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
11  APRIL FIRST Aug18         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
12  MY GORGEOUS Sep25         (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.