Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Hunter!
Montpelier
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MTP-2   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
4:314         4:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HE'LL DO 4 32 34½ 34½ 21 1½ 13 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156   26% 2.80   W
7  MR. BRIDGER 5 2½ 22½ 22 32 2½ 23 (george laird)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156   ★   P
5  SENOR SEVILLE 3 42½ 55½ 57 45 514 319 (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 153      
2  QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) 2 1½ 12½ 12 11 310½ 421½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 153      
1  FEARSOME (GB) 1 54 45½ 45 57 413 523½ (murphy cyr)BESWICK HARRISON 156   36% 1.80    
SCR  PROJECT TWO (IRE)               (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 152   ★    
SCR  TOP BRASS (GB)               (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 151   10% 9.20    
 
MTP-3   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
4:324         4:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ARROWHEART 2 11½ 11½ 1½ 11 1nk 1¾ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 152   ★    
10  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 9 31½ 31½ 32 21 2nk 2¾ (smith lawre)GALLIGAN GERARD 156   7% 12.90   P
9  REFI 8 76 79½ 710½ 46 32 34¾ (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156   ★   S
4  PLENTY IN THE TANK (IRE) 4 42 42½ 2½ 34 422 422½ (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 148   63% 0.60    
7  ECONOMIC POLICY 6 89 911 912 67½ 524 523 (bourke lia)BESWICK HARRISON 148      
1  GUNDRY 1 53 53½ 43 56½ 644 676¾ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 151      
3  DIVA OF SEVILLE 3 65 68½ 610 719½ 754 7100 (pinkard casey)SMITH COLIN 142      
8  MERKABA 7 911 810½ 811 8100 8100 8100 (dowling willi)BARGARY JAMIE 152      
5  FEMINISTA 5 21½ 21½ 55 9100 9100 9100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 137      
SCR  DADDY'S COZY               (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
SCR  HERO'S RETURN               (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 156   6% 16.40    
 
MTP-4   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
4:323         4:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) 2 11 11½ 11 1½ 14½ 110¾ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   6% 14.80   W
4  LIGHTNING ROD 4 21 21½ 21 2½ 24½ 210¾ (george laird)GERAGHTY ROSS 150   ★   P
1  WEBB 1 33 36½ 310 47½ 37½ 312 (elliott ja)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
3  MISSION BRIEF 3 44 48½ 610¾ 510½ 429½ 431¼ (hodsdon danie)BARGARY JAMIE 150   58% 0.70    
6  EAGERLY 6 76½ 69½ 510½ 37½ 537½ 539¾ (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 154      
7  CATCHER'S MITT 7 66½ 710 712¼ 630½ 640½ 645½ (miller zach)MILLER ZACH 150      
5  TALK OR LISTEN (IRE) 5 55½ 59 410½ 755½ 780½ 7100 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   ★    
SCR  JUKEBOX JUJU               (gomens julie)FOX FIONA 142   ★    
 
MTP-5   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
4:492         4:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE) 3 55½ 53½ 56 43 2½ 1nk (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
3  QUID 2 1½ 1nk 13 12 1½ 2nk (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154   7% 13.80   P
2  SEISMIC WAVE 1 2½ 32 34 22 34½ 34¾ (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   71% 0.40   S
6  KIYOMORI 5 43½ 2nk 23 56 412½ 419¼ (elliott ja)BESWICK HARRISON 142   ★    
5  HILLIARD 4 32½ 43 44½ 33 515½ 524¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   ★    
SCR  PURE COURAGE               (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   ★    
SCR  SURVEY (IRE)               (mulligan edward)SMITH COLIN 147      
 
MTP-6   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
4:30         4:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOLLY FANTASY (GER) 2 44½ 410½ 412¼ 2½ 2nk 13 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 153   37% 1.70   W
7  NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE) 6 88½ 819 718¾ 31½ 1nk 23 (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   29% 2.50   P
6  SPEED ALERT 5 66½ 614 820¾ 68½ 46 37 (fout dou)BESWICK HARRISON 147   ★   S
2  SAIGON 1 78 716 616¾ 42½ 35 410¾ (elliott jan)GALLIGAN GERARD 156   ★    
5  OUR BAB (IRE) 4 55 512½ 513¾ 1½ 58 512¼ (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153      
4  BELLA COOLA 3 32½ 26 212 718½ 750 665¼ (voss elizabeth)FOX FIONA 145      
9  SORAMOND (GER) 8 12 16 112 57½ 646 770 (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 156   9% 9.80    
8  EVE'S CITY 7 22 38½ 312 823½ 8100 8100 (fout dougla)BARGARY JAMIE 142      
SCR  LEAR AVIA               (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
 
MTP-7   11/05/2022 13200ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
5:091         5:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 3 31½ 32 32 3½ 13½ 110 (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
2  CITY DREAMER (IRE) 2 44 42½ 42½ 42½ 23½ 210 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 148   ★   P
4  DUC DE MERAN (FR) 4 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 36½ 311 (murphy cyr)BESWICK HARRISON 144   ★   S
5  BODES WELL (IRE) 5 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 48½ 419 (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 144   25% 3.00    
1  IRANISTAN 1 59½ 515½ 510½ 52¾ 513½ 533½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   43% 1.30    
6  ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) 6 611 617½ 650½ 6100 6100 6100 (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 158   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.