Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Montpelier
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MTP-2   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'LL DO   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156   26% 2.80   W
MR. BRIDGER   (george laird)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156     P
SENOR SEVILLE   (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 153      
QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE)   (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 153      
FEARSOME (GB)   (murphy cyr)BESWICK HARRISON 156   36% 1.80    
SCR  PROJECT TWO (IRE)   (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
SCR  TOP BRASS (GB)   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 151   10% 9.20    
 
MTP-3   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROWHEART   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 152      
10  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER   (smith lawre)GALLIGAN GERARD 156   7% 12.90   P
REFI   (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156     S
PLENTY IN THE TANK (IRE)   (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 148   63% 0.60    
ECONOMIC POLICY   (bourke lia)BESWICK HARRISON 148      
GUNDRY   (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 151      
DIVA OF SEVILLE   (pinkard casey)SMITH COLIN 142      
MERKABA   (dowling willi)BARGARY JAMIE 152      
FEMINISTA   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 137      
SCR  DADDY'S COZY   (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
SCR  HERO'S RETURN   (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 156   6% 16.40    
 
MTP-4   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE)   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   6% 14.80   W
LIGHTNING ROD   (george laird)GERAGHTY ROSS 150     P
WEBB   (elliott ja)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
MISSION BRIEF   (hodsdon danie)BARGARY JAMIE 150   58% 0.70    
EAGERLY   (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 154      
CATCHER'S MITT   (miller zach)MILLER ZACH 150      
TALK OR LISTEN (IRE)   (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
SCR  JUKEBOX JUJU   (gomens julie)FOX FIONA 142      
 
MTP-5   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE)   (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
QUID   (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154   7% 13.80   P
SEISMIC WAVE   (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   71% 0.40   S
KIYOMORI   (elliott ja)BESWICK HARRISON 142      
HILLIARD   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
SCR  PURE COURAGE   (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150      
SCR  SURVEY (IRE)   (mulligan edward)SMITH COLIN 147      
 
MTP-6   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY FANTASY (GER)   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 153   37% 1.70   W
NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE)   (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   29% 2.50   P
SPEED ALERT   (fout dou)BESWICK HARRISON 147     S
SAIGON   (elliott jan)GALLIGAN GERARD 156      
OUR BAB (IRE)   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153      
BELLA COOLA   (voss elizabeth)FOX FIONA 145      
SORAMOND (GER)   (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 156   9% 9.80    
EVE'S CITY   (fout dougla)BARGARY JAMIE 142      
SCR  LEAR AVIA   (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
 
MTP-7   11/05/2022 13200ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER)   (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
CITY DREAMER (IRE)   (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 148     P
DUC DE MERAN (FR)   (murphy cyr)BESWICK HARRISON 144     S
BODES WELL (IRE)   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 144   25% 3.00    
IRANISTAN   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   43% 1.30    
ASK PADDINGTON (IRE)   (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 158      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.