The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Montpelier
Saturday - November 05, 2022

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MTP-2   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
4:314         4:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'LL DO 4 32 3 3 21 1½ 13 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156   26% 2.80   W
MR. BRIDGER 5 2½ 2 22 32 2½ 23 (george laird)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156     P
SENOR SEVILLE 3 45 57 45 514 319 (hodsdon danielle)GERAGHTY ROSS 153      
QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) 2 1½ 1 12 11 310½ 421½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 153      
FEARSOME (GB) 1 54 4 45 57 413 523½ (murphy cyril)BESWICK HARRISON 156   36% 1.80    
SCR  PROJECT TWO (IRE)               (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
SCR  TOP BRASS (GB)               (young f)GARNER THOMAS 151   10% 9.20    
 
MTP-3   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
4:324         4:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROWHEART 2 11 1½ 11 1nk 1¾ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 152      
10  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 9 33 32 21 2nk 2¾ (smith m)GALLIGAN GERARD 156   7% 12.90   P
REFI 8 76 7 710½ 46 32 3(wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156     S
PLENTY IN THE TANK (IRE) 4 42 4 2½ 34 422 422½ (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 148   63% 0.60    
ECONOMIC POLICY 6 89 911 912 6 524 523 (bourke liam)BESWICK HARRISON 148      
GUNDRY 1 53 5 43 5 644 676¾ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 151      
DIVA OF SEVILLE 3 65 6 610 719½ 754 7100 (pinkard casey)SMITH COLIN 142      
MERKABA 7 911 810½ 811 8100 8100 8100 (dowling william)BARGARY JAMIE 152      
FEMINISTA 5 22 55 9100 9100 9100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 137      
SCR  DADDY'S COZY               (hodsdon danielle)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
SCR  HERO'S RETURN               (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 156   6% 16.40    
 
MTP-4   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
4:323         4:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) 2 11 1 11 1½ 1110¾ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   6% 14.80   W
LIGHTNING ROD 4 21 2 21 2½ 2210¾ (george laird)GERAGHTY ROSS 150     P
WEBB 1 33 3 310 4 3312 (elliott e)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
MISSION BRIEF 3 44 4 610¾ 510½ 429½ 431¼ (hodsdon danielle)BARGARY JAMIE 150   58% 0.70    
EAGERLY 6 76 510½ 3 537½ 539¾ (voss elizabeth)GARNER THOMAS 154      
CATCHER'S MITT 7 6710 712¼ 630½ 640½ 645½ (miller zach)MILLER ZACH 150      
TALK OR LISTEN (IRE) 5 559 410½ 755½ 780½ 7100 (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
SCR  JUKEBOX JUJU               (gomens julie)FOX FIONA 142      
 
MTP-5   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
4:492         4:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE) 3 55 56 43 2½ 1nk (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
QUID 2 1½ 1nk 13 12 1½ 2nk (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154   7% 13.80   P
SEISMIC WAVE 1 2½ 32 34 22 33(morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   71% 0.40   S
KIYOMORI 5 42nk 23 56 412½ 419¼ (elliott e)BESWICK HARRISON 142      
HILLIARD 4 343 4 33 515½ 524¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
SCR  PURE COURAGE               (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150      
SCR  SURVEY (IRE)               (mulligan edward)SMITH COLIN 147      
 
MTP-6   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
4:30         4:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY FANTASY (GER) 2 4410½ 412¼ 2½ 2nk 13 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 153   37% 1.70   W
NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE) 6 8819 718¾ 3 1nk 23 (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   29% 2.50   P
SPEED ALERT 5 6614 820¾ 6 46 37 (fout douglas)BESWICK HARRISON 147     S
SAIGON 1 78 716 616¾ 4 35 410¾ (elliott e)GALLIGAN GERARD 156      
OUR BAB (IRE) 4 55 512½ 513¾ 1½ 58 512¼ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153      
BELLA COOLA 3 326 212 718½ 750 665¼ (voss elizabeth)FOX FIONA 145      
SORAMOND (GER) 8 12 16 112 5 646 770 (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 156   9% 9.80    
EVE'S CITY 7 22 3 312 823½ 8100 8100 (fout douglas)BARGARY JAMIE 142      
SCR  LEAR AVIA               (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
 
MTP-7   11/05/2022 13200ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
5:091         5:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) 3 332 32 3½ 1110 (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
CITY DREAMER (IRE) 2 44 4 4 4 2210 (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 148     P
DUC DE MERAN (FR) 4 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 3311 (murphy cyril)BESWICK HARRISON 144     S
BODES WELL (IRE) 5 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 4419 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 144   25% 3.00    
IRANISTAN 1 5515½ 510½ 5 513½ 533½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   43% 1.30    
ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) 6 611 617½ 650½ 6100 6100 6100 (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 158      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.