Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Montpelier
Saturday - November 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MTP-1   11/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse   3UP ALL PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JEROME Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 (smith lawrenc)GALLIGAN GERARD 155      
MYGRANDMAISRACHEL         (mulligan edward)GARNER THOMAS 150      
BELLARMINE HALL Oct15 Sep07 Aug29 Jul20 Apr01 (bourke m)BARGARY JAMIE 155   10% 9.50    
GRUNION         (yovanovich do)WOODSON MICHAEL 145      
KEN LOVES KITTEN Aug22 Aug10 May19 Apr17   (bourke m)NO RIDER 150      
RUM BOBBY         (mulligan edw)BESWICK HARRISON 155   9% 10.70    
SHOOTIN THE BREEZE         (neilson kathy)HENDRIKS PARKER 155   56% 0.80    
 
MTP-2   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARSOME (GB) Oct15 Aug08       (murphy cyril)BESWICK HARRISON 156   36% 1.80    
QUEENS EMPIRE (IRE) Oct08 May14       (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 153      
SCR  PROJECT TWO (IRE) Oct15 Aug31 Aug01     (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
SCR  TOP BRASS (GB) Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 May07 Mar31 (young f)GARNER THOMAS 151   10% 9.20    
SENOR SEVILLE Oct15         (hodsdon daniell)GERAGHTY ROSS 153      
HE'LL DO Oct02         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156   26% 2.80    
MR. BRIDGER Oct08 Aug22 Aug08     (george laird)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156      
 
MTP-3   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNDRY Oct15 Sep30       (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 151      
ARROWHEART Oct22 Oct08 Jan02     (young f)GARNER THOMAS 152      
DIVA OF SEVILLE Oct02         (pinkard casey)SMITH COLIN 142      
PLENTY IN THE TANK (IRE) Oct22         (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 148   63% 0.60    
FEMINISTA Oct08 Sep05 Jul26 Jul01 Jun08 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 137      
SCR  DADDY'S COZY Sep16 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun08 (hodsdon daniell)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
ECONOMIC POLICY Oct22         (bourke liam)BESWICK HARRISON 148      
MERKABA Oct08 Jun21 Jun01     (dowling william)BARGARY JAMIE 152      
REFI Jan17         (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 156      
10  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Oct30 Oct22 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 (smith lawrenc)GALLIGAN GERARD 156   7% 12.90    
SCR  HERO'S RETURN Oct29 Oct08       (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 156   6% 16.40    
 
MTP-4   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEBB Oct22 Oct02 Sep17 Aug07 Jul21 (elliott jane)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) Oct22 Jun19 May21 May12 Apr22 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   6% 14.80    
MISSION BRIEF Oct08 Jun08       (hodsdon daniell)BARGARY JAMIE 150   58% 0.70    
LIGHTNING ROD Oct22 Aug17 Jul04 Jun03 Apr28 (george laird)GERAGHTY ROSS 150      
TALK OR LISTEN (IRE) Mar09 Feb05       (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
EAGERLY Oct22 Oct15 Jun04     (voss elizabeth)GARNER THOMAS 154      
CATCHER'S MITT Oct22 Oct08 Sep21     (miller zach)NO RIDER 150      
SCR  JUKEBOX JUJU         (gomens julie)NO RIDER 142      
 
MTP-5   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PURE COURAGE Oct15 Aug04 Jun04     (wyatt j)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150      
SEISMIC WAVE Oct22 Oct08 Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 (morris r)GALLIGAN GERARD 154   71% 0.40    
QUID Aug29 Jul11       (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154   7% 13.80    
SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE) Oct22 Oct08       (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
HILLIARD Oct21 Sep24 Sep05 Jun30 Jun05 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
KIYOMORI Oct07 Sep24       (elliott jane)BESWICK HARRISON 142      
SCR  SURVEY (IRE)         (mulligan edward)SMITH COLIN 147      
 
MTP-6   11/05/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEAR AVIA Oct08         (wyatt j)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
SAIGON Oct22 Oct02 Sep10 Aug07 Jul13 (elliott janet)GALLIGAN GERARD 156      
MOLLY FANTASY (GER) Oct22 Oct08       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 153   37% 1.70    
BELLA COOLA Oct02 Aug22 Jul26     (voss elizabeth)FOX FIONA 145      
OUR BAB (IRE) Aug22 Jul11       (young f)GARNER THOMAS 153      
SPEED ALERT         (fout dougl)BESWICK HARRISON 147      
NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE) Oct02 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11   (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   29% 2.50    
EVE'S CITY Oct02 Aug22 May14     (fout douglas)BARGARY JAMIE 142      
SORAMOND (GER) Oct29         (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 156   9% 9.80    
 
MTP-7   11/05/2022 13200ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRANISTAN Sep15 Jul20 May14     (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   43% 1.30    
CITY DREAMER (IRE) Oct22         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 148      
SONG FOR SOMEONE (GER) Oct15 Sep15 Aug17     (young f)BRENNAN NATHAN 152      
DUC DE MERAN (FR) Oct22 Oct08       (murphy cyril)BESWICK HARRISON 144      
BODES WELL (IRE) Oct22 Oct08       (young f)GARNER THOMAS 144   25% 3.00    
ASK PADDINGTON (IRE) Oct15 Sep15 May28     (brion keri)MCDERMOTT SEAN 158      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.