The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 19, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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ARP-1   09/19/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
1:272         1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOKA GIRL 7 1 43 33   22 1(rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 18% 4.50 1.70 W
ULTRA CORDIAL 6 2 2½ 2½   12 2(danyluk ken)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 13% 6.40 11.30 P
REMARKABLE CHARM 2 5 5 55   43 3(roberts m)WALES T 124 3.50 18% 4.60 1.40 S
RYRYSWEETIE 4 7 3 44   68 4(coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 10.80  
DABBLIN CHANNEL 5 3 64 65   56 59 (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 124 10.00 13.90  
BEHOLD THAT WORD 1 4 75 711   713 617¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 18% 4.70 8.60  
FIVE B C 3 6 1½ 1½   32 718 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 6.00 7.00  
 
ARP-2   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG DADDY DON 5 2 1nk 1nk   12 1(parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50 53% 0.90 0.40 W
TIME TO SKIP TOWN 2 3 36 33   33 2(parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 13% 6.80 4.80 P
WALKIN TALKIN BOB 3 1 2nk 2nk   22 37 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 120 6.00 3.20 S
STRONG STORM 1 4 411 413   418 427¾ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50 9.70  
TYLERS ANGEL WINGS 4 5 513 516   526 547¼ (pokorny foster)GONZALEZ V 121 30.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
 
ARP-3   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLAWAY 5 5 5 5   51(chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 20% 4.00 1.50 W
WE MISS GENO 3 3 3½ 2nk   4¾ 2(martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 10.10 P
FAYETTE WARRIOR 2 2 2nk 4¼   2nk 36 (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 6.00 7.80 S
ITS A DEAL 4 4 4¾ 1nk   1nk 4(rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 39% 1.60 4.50  
GRAYDAR'S DREAM 1 1 1nk 3.2   3.2 511 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 3.50 14% 5.90 1.10  
 
ARP-4   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:244 :49 1:134 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JU JU GUY 2 4 4 32 3.2 1nk 1(childs g)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 33% 2.10 3.50 W
WIN FOR FUN 4 3 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 2(gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 2.50 1.30 P
ROADSIDE 5 6 5 54 5 32 3(kulow mark)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 22% 3.50 6.10 S
RUN FOR MATTY 6 5 3 42 4 54(ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 13% 6.80 12.80  
MY PAL 1 1 63 65 6 4513 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 2.40  
ORDER OF THE DAY 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 6620¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 9.70  
 
ARP-5   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
:222 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF THE SKY 5 2 54 4   1nk 1(jenkins l)RAMOS B 121 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
MILLI STARR 4 6 66 5   52(ness john)WALES T 124 15.00 23.10 P
LEIGHTON KENTUCKY 1 5 2½ 32   2nk 310 (ecoffey w)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 17% 5.00 2.30 S
LOVESAFLYIN 3 3 31 22   4411¾ (fackler s)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
CHIEFTESS 2 4 4 6   6513¼ (muckey john)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 22.30  
JOE G'S PAYBACK 6 1 1½ 12   3.2 614¾ (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 9% 10.20 1.90  
SCR  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN               (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:23 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA ROSE 5 1 11 1½   11 111¼ (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 117 2.50 31% 2.20 0.70 W
FINE POINT ASSAY 6 5 5 2½   21 211¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 23% 3.30 2.00 P
LANKY LOU 3 2 6 44   33 311¾ (marquez leonel)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50 24% 3.10 5.30 S
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 4 6 4 31   4416¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 8.00 12.80  
CHRISTIAN STREET 2 3 31 510   5518½ (wales dale)MARTIN A 120 20.00 12.30  
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 1 4 21 611   610½ 635 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 26.00  
 
ARP-7   09/19/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:224 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRYSPELL 6 2 2½     1nk 1½ (marquez leonel)MARTIN A 124 20.00 18.90  
DAVE 5 1 1½     2nk 2½ (haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 9% 10.70 3.10 P
ZCAT'S CHATAIN 1 8 7     73(coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 7.10 S
SOUTHERN MOJO 2 4 6     44(ecoffey w)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 31% 2.20 6.00  
JOMO 8 7 44     55(hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 7.00  
TOP BRASS 7 6 54     669 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B null   1.10  
TOP BRASS (GB) 7         6 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 35% 1.90 1.10  
MR. WHITE 3 3 32     32 7(ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 18.40  
SILVER AND ACES 4 5 810¾     8810¾ (williams f)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 23.60  
 
ARP-8   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:243 :482 1:144 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PODEROSO EQUS 6 4 4 5 3 11(rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50 0.90 W
BURGAMEISTER 7 6 8 8 64 22(haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.30 P
LOOKING FOR BULL 3 5 76 7 85 53 3(hancock l)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50 11.20  
GIMME SPACE 8 7 5 3 43 65 414½ (childs g)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 53.10  
BUD MINISTER 2 2 3 4 5 7519½ (marquez leonel)RAMOS B 124 8.00 23.40  
A P'S BLUEGRASS 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 3620 (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 124 2.00 34% 2.00 3.20  
IOWA NATIVE 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 4722½ (dieter dalton)BETHKE A 124 6.00 10% 9.30 24.70  
MACHO MADNESS 4 8 6 6 7 815½ 832¾ (fackler s)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 50.00  
 
ARP-9   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 6 1 2½ 2   1nk 13 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 29% 2.50 1.50 W
TOMBI 7 6 75 6   42 23 (rushton temple)WALES T 121 8.00 4.20  
RED WES 3 2 1½ 1   2nk 3(gerke cimmaron)HERRERA HUGO 121 5.00 7.80 S
WILD FIREMAKER 5 4 42 32   34(ibanez alberto)MARTIN A 124 20.00 26.10  
THREE BALL 2 3 53 53   558 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 11.10  
GOLD LABEL 1 7 3½ 4   64 610¼ (rushton stacy)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50 34% 2.00 5.40  
THE BIG SHOW 4 5 64 7   77 713¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50 12% 7.30 2.70  
SCR  WYOMING CONQUEST               (chavez veronica)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.