Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   09/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:272         1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ATOKA GIRL 7 1 43 33   22 13½ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 18% 4.50 1.70 W
6  ULTRA CORDIAL 6 2 2½ 2½   12 23½ (danyluk ken)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 13% 6.40 11.30 P
2  REMARKABLE CHARM 2 5 53½ 55   43 37¾ (roberts m)WALES T 124 3.50 18% 4.60 1.40 S
4  RYRYSWEETIE 4 7 32½ 44   68 47¾ (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★ 10.80  
5  DABBLIN CHANNEL 5 3 64 65   56 59 (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 10.00 13.90  
1  BEHOLD THAT WORD 1 4 75 711   713 617¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 18% 4.70 8.60  
3  FIVE B C 3 6 1½ 1½   32 718 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 6.00 7.00  
 
ARP-2   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG DADDY DON 5 2 1nk 1nk   12 12¾ (parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50 53% 0.90 0.40 W
2  TIME TO SKIP TOWN 2 3 36 33   33 22¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 13% 6.80 4.80 P
3  WALKIN TALKIN BOB 3 1 2nk 2nk   22 37 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 120 6.00 ★ 3.20 S
1  STRONG STORM 1 4 411 413   418 427¾ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50 ★ 9.70  
4  TYLERS ANGEL WINGS 4 5 513 516   526 547¼ (pokorny fo)GONZALEZ V 121 30.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
 
ARP-3   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BULLAWAY 5 5 53¾ 52¼   51¾ 13¼ (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 20% 4.00 1.50 W
3  WE MISS GENO 3 3 3½ 2nk   4¾ 23¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 ★ 10.10 P
2  FAYETTE WARRIOR 2 2 2nk 4¼   2nk 36 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 6.00 ★ 7.80 S
4  ITS A DEAL 4 4 4¾ 1nk   1nk 47¼ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 39% 1.60 4.50  
1  GRAYDAR'S DREAM 1 1 1nk 3.2   3.2 511 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 3.50 14% 5.90 1.10  
 
ARP-4   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:134 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JU JU GUY 2 4 41½ 32 3.2 1nk 11¼ (childs russell )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 33% 2.10 3.50 W
4  WIN FOR FUN 4 3 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 21¼ (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 2.50 ★ 1.30 P
5  ROADSIDE 5 6 52½ 54 52¼ 32 35¾ (kulow mark)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 22% 3.50 6.10 S
6  RUN FOR MATTY 6 5 31½ 42 41¼ 52¾ 47½ (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 13% 6.80 12.80  
1  MY PAL 1 1 63 65 62¾ 42½ 513 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50 ★ 2.40  
3  ORDER OF THE DAY 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 64¾ 620¼ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 9.70  
 
ARP-5   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUT OF THE SKY 5 2 54 42¼   1nk 17¼ (jenkins l)RAMOS B 121 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
5  MILLI STARR 4 6 66 55¼   51¼ 27¼ (ness john)WALES T 124 15.00 ★ 23.10 P
1  LEIGHTON KENTUCKY 1 5 2½ 32   2nk 310 (ecoffey gilbe)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 17% 5.00 2.30 S
4  LOVESAFLYIN 3 3 31 22   41¼ 411¾ (fackler ho)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
2  CHIEFTESS 2 4 42½ 67¼   63¼ 513¼ (muckey john)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 22.30  
7  JOE G'S PAYBACK 6 1 1½ 12   3.2 614¾ (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 9% 10.20 1.90  
SCR  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN               (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LUNA ROSE 5 1 11 1½   11 111¼ (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 117 2.50 31% 2.20 0.70 W
6  FINE POINT ASSAY 6 5 51¼ 2½   21 211¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 23% 3.30 2.00 P
3  LANKY LOU 3 2 62¼ 44   33 311¾ (marquez l)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50 24% 3.10 5.30 S
4  KINSLEYS SWEET PEA 4 6 41¼ 31   43½ 416¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 8.00 12.80  
2  CHRISTIAN STREET 2 3 31 510   58½ 518½ (wales dale)MARTIN A 120 20.00 ★ 12.30  
1  ITHOUGHTIKNEW 1 4 21 611   610½ 635 (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 ★ 26.00  
 
ARP-7   09/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DRYSPELL 6 2 2½     1nk 1½ (marquez jose)MARTIN A 124 20.00 18.90  
5  DAVE 5 1 1½     2nk 2½ (haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 9% 10.70 3.10 P
1  ZCAT'S CHATAIN 1 8 75¾     73¾ 35¾ (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★ 7.10 S
2  SOUTHERN MOJO 2 4 64¼     42¼ 46½ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 31% 2.20 6.00  
8  JOMO 8 7 44     52¼ 57½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 7.00  
7  TOP BRASS (GB) 7 6 54     62¾ 69 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B null   1.10  
3  MR. WHITE 3 3 32     32 79½ (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 ★ 18.40  
4  SILVER AND ACES 4 5 810¾     88¾ 810¾ (williams stev)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 23.60  
 
ARP-8   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:144 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PODEROSO EQUS 6 4 43½ 53½ 31½ 11½ 12¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50 0.90 W
7  BURGAMEISTER 7 6 86½ 85¾ 64 21½ 22¼ (haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.30 P
3  LOOKING FOR BULL 3 5 76 75½ 85 53 37¼ (hancock da)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50 11.20  
8  GIMME SPACE 8 7 53½ 31½ 43 65 414½ (childs russel)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 53.10  
2  BUD MINISTER 2 2 31½ 41½ 53½ 75½ 519½ (marquez leon)RAMOS B 124 8.00 23.40  
1  A P'S BLUEGRASS 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 32½ 620 (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 2.00 34% 2.00 3.20  
5  IOWA NATIVE 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 42½ 722½ (dieter dalto)BETHKE A 124 6.00 10% 9.30 24.70  
4  MACHO MADNESS 4 8 65½ 64½ 74½ 815½ 832¾ (fackler howard)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 ★ 50.00  
 
ARP-9   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 6 1 2½ 21½   1nk 13 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 29% 2.50 1.50 W
8  TOMBI 7 6 75 63½   42 23 (rushton temple)WALES T 121 8.00 4.20  
3  RED WES 3 2 1½ 11½   2nk 33¾ (gerke cimmaron)HERRERA HUGO 121 5.00 ★ 7.80 S
6  WILD FIREMAKER 5 4 42 32   31½ 44½ (ibanez alber)MARTIN A 124 20.00 26.10  
2  THREE BALL 2 3 53 53   52½ 58 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 ★ 11.10  
1  GOLD LABEL 1 7 3½ 42½   64 610¼ (rushton st)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50 34% 2.00 5.40  
5  THE BIG SHOW 4 5 64 74½   77 713¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50 12% 7.30 2.70  
SCR  WYOMING CONQUEST               (chavez veron)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.