Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-1   09/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHOLD THAT WORD Sep04 Aug21 Jul04 May21 May01 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 18% 4.70    
REMARKABLE CHARM Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun11 (roberts m)WALES T 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
FIVE B C Aug28 Jul24 Jun18 Jun12 May28 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 6.00    
RYRYSWEETIE Aug30 Jul31 Jul18 Jun18 Jun04 (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
DABBLIN CHANNEL Aug30 Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 May21 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 10.00    
ULTRA CORDIAL Sep06 Aug21 Jul24 Jun18 Jun10 (danyluk ken)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 13% 6.40    
ATOKA GIRL Aug28 Aug07 Jul12 May20 May13 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
ARP-2   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG STORM Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27   (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
TIME TO SKIP TOWN Aug28 Jul09       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
WALKIN TALKIN BOB Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 (gerke cimmaron)LUARK T 120 6.00    
TYLERS ANGEL WINGS Sep04 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jul03 (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
BIG DADDY DON Aug28 Aug09 Aug01 Jul17   (parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
ARP-3   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYDAR'S DREAM Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 May23 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
FAYETTE WARRIOR Sep05 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jul03 (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
WE MISS GENO Aug29 Jul25 Jul11     (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
ITS A DEAL Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 May30 May14 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
BULLAWAY Sep06 Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jul05 (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
ARP-4   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PAL Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Apr28 Apr04 (martinez a)WALES T 121 4.50    
JU JU GUY Sep04 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 Jun05 (childs g)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
ORDER OF THE DAY Sep06 Aug15 Jun25 May29 Apr23 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00    
WIN FOR FUN Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul10 Jun17 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 2.50    
ROADSIDE Sep06 Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 May07 (kulow mark)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
RUN FOR MATTY Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun17 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 13% 6.80    
 
ARP-5   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEIGHTON KENTUCKY Aug29 Aug22 Aug09 Jun25 Jun18 (ecoffey gilbert)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
CHIEFTESS Sep06 Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 (muckey john)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00    
SCR  TOMS MAXIMILLIAN Aug22 May27 May15 Apr15 Apr02 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
LOVESAFLYIN Sep05 May20 Apr23 Apr09 Mar25 (fackler howard )FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MILLI STARR Aug30 Aug21 Jul24 Jun17 Jun12 (ness john)WALES T 124 15.00    
OUT OF THE SKY Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 Apr08 Mar16 (jenkins l)RAMOS B 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
JOE G'S PAYBACK Sep06 Aug21 May15 Apr24 Mar27 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 9% 10.20    
 
ARP-6   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITHOUGHTIKNEW         (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00    
CHRISTIAN STREET         (wales dale)MARTIN A 120 20.00    
LANKY LOU Sep12 Aug23 Aug09     (marquez leo)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
KINSLEYS SWEET PEA Sep05 Aug02 Jul26 Jul03   (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 8.00    
LUNA ROSE Sep04 Aug14 Aug02 Jul17 Jul03 (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
FINE POINT ASSAY         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
ARP-7   09/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZCAT'S CHATAIN Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 Jun27 Jun14 (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
SOUTHERN MOJO Aug29 Aug09 Jun19 May20 May01 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
MR. WHITE Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Feb19   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00    
SILVER AND ACES Jul30 Jul02 Apr09 Mar18 Mar05 (williams steve )CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
DAVE Aug09 Jun19 May20 Apr23 Mar06 (haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 9% 10.70    
DRYSPELL Sep13 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jul05 (marquez l)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
TOP BRASS (GB) May07 Mar31 Mar24 Feb26 Jan07 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B null      
JOMO Sep05 Jun05 May29 May06 Apr22 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00    
 
ARP-8   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A P'S BLUEGRASS Aug28 Aug08 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
BUD MINISTER Aug28 Jul19 Jul05 May21 May14 (marquez leonel)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
LOOKING FOR BULL Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul26 Jul11 (hancock davi)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50    
MACHO MADNESS Sep05 Jun10 May29 May13 Apr29 (fackler howard )FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
IOWA NATIVE Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 Jul15 Jul01 (dieter dalton)BETHKE A 124 6.00 10% 9.30    
PODEROSO EQUS Sep11 Aug23 Jul17 Jul03 May13 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
BURGAMEISTER Sep11 Aug01 Jul19 Jun18 May29 (haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
GIMME SPACE Aug08         (childs russell )CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00    
 
ARP-9   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD LABEL Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Mar19 (rushton stac)GONZALEZ V 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
THREE BALL Sep05 Aug28 Jul25 Jul11 Jun18 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
RED WES Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 (gerke cimmaron)HERRERA HUGO 121 5.00    
SCR  WYOMING CONQUEST Sep10 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (chavez veronic)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
THE BIG SHOW Sep06 Jul03 Jun11 Apr23 Apr09 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
WILD FIREMAKER Aug28 Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 Jun11 (ibanez alberto)MARTIN A 124 20.00    
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY Aug30 Jul18 Jul04 May20 Apr09 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
TOMBI Aug29 Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 May14 (rushton temple)WALES T 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.