Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEBCAM 4 6 11 1   13 110½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 33% 2.10 0.30 W
TAPPIN' THE BLING 1 5 33 3   3 210½ (mitchell stetson)WALES T 120 4.50 26% 2.90 3.00 P
ROYAL OUTLAW 3 1 21 2   23 310½ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00 14.10 S
ALEX TO 6 2 55 56   4 414¾ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 9.20  
SHKEURTAILFEATHERS 5 3 4 4   5 516¾ (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 121 15.00 33.90  
ARCH'S WILD 2 4 69 612   612½ 629½ (mcdonald willi)MARTIN A 124 20.00 17% 5.00 11.80  
 
ARP-3   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER EXPOSED 2 1 1nk 1   13 14 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 52% 0.90 0.20 W
GARNETS GAL 1 3 2nk 2   23 24 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 19.60 P
MY MEADOW 5 2 36 3   35 36 (hall monk)MARTIN A 121 4.50 10.10 S
SNICKEL TE 4 5 4 47   4 410¾ (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 121 3.50 10% 9.30 12.40  
JUST LEAVE 3 4 5 58   57 513¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 12.00 4.10  
 
ARP-4   08/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR EAGLE'S RETURN 2 5 4 410   23 1 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 3.50 34% 2.00 3.80 W
LIGHT BOUND BID 4 7 617½ 616   6 2 (muckey john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 4.50 P
FELON (IRE) 7 2 511½ 510   3 3 (hancock l)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 34.60 S
DEJA CREW 1 3 26 38   46 4 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 3.10  
ALL SHACKED UP 3 1 16 16   13 5 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.70  
THE GREATEST EAGLE 6 6 720½ 719   711½ 6 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 6.00  
PICKELJUICE 5 4 36 26   57 7 (burns dale)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 13.00  
 
ARP-5   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNAS FINAL WORD 4 5 43 4   21 1½ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.50 2.90  
EPSOM IMP 6 3 2½ 1½   11 2½ (jenkins l)WALES T 121 10.00 11% 8.00 3.00 P
GIVE EM FITZ 3 6 53 5   54 3 (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 121 20.00 7% 13.40 9.80 S
BIND ME UP 5 2 3 32   3 4 (mitchell stets)BETHKE A 124 4.50 6.40  
OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL 7 1 1½ 2½   42 5 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 6.00 21.00  
SPELL WINDER 2 7 6 6   6 6 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 56% 0.80 2.20  
SHIVERHERTIMBERS 1 4 75 76   77 710½ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5.50  
 
ARP-6   08/09/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETA CAPO SONG 3 3 33     1nk 1¾ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 8% 12.10 0.70 W
LEIGHTON KENTUCKY 2 6 23     3.2 2¾ (ecoffey gilbert)CARLSON JAYCE 119 15.00 14.80 P
MAXIMUS THE GREAT 5 5 6     4 31 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 12.00 14.40  
SOUTHERN MOJO 4 1 5     5 4 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 37% 1.70 4.20  
DAVE 6 4 13     2nk 5 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 28% 2.60 5.10  
MR. WHITE 1 2 4     6 6 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 4.30  
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY               (jenkins l)MARTIN A 116 4.50 7% 13.80    
 
ARP-7   08/09/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :522         :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHERUBIM 4 4 22     1½ 1 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 15% 5.60 35.20 W
EL DIABLO GRANDE 2 1 33     3 2 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 2.50 0.50 P
BRAVE HELIOS 6 3 4     43 3 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 26.70  
BEHOLD DE FLAME 5 6 5     5 4 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 121 8.00 10.70  
LONE SHOTGUN RIDER 3 2 12     2½ 56 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 21% 3.70 1.80  
CHISMOSO 1 5 612½     610½ 611 (dieter dalton)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50 8.50  
SCR  FLOWER BEACH               (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  RINESHAFT               (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 9% 10.00    
 
ARP-8   08/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHTED 4 2 21 2½   1½ 1 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 11% 7.90 0.30 W
BIG DADDY DON 3 1 11 1½   2½ 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 56% 0.80 9.00 P
LANKY LOU 1 4 42 5   3 313½ (marquez le)FACKLER CHRIS 115 20.00 9% 9.80 6.40 S
FROG WALKER 7 5 53 4   4 418 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 8.00 11.10  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 6 3 31 3   58 521 (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 10.50  
SUPER CREATIVE 2 7 65 6   614 629 (davis j)BETHKE A 120 4.50 17.20  
MORO HOUDINI 5 6 76 7   716 734 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 29.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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