Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPIN' THE BLING Jul03 May19 May01 Apr08 Mar23 (mitchell stetson)WALES T 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  ARCH'S WILD Jul31 Jun12 May28 May13   (mcdonald wil)MARTIN A 124 20.00 17% 5.00    
3  ROYAL OUTLAW Jul19 May13 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 120 10.00 ★    
4  WEBCAM Jul25 Jul03 Mar12 Feb27 Jan09 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
5  SHKEURTAILFEATHERS Jul19 Jul05       (pokorny foster)LOPEZ P 121 15.00 ★    
6  ALEX TO Jun19 Jun10 Feb27 Feb01   (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00    
 
ARP-3   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARNETS GAL Jul25 Jul11       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 ★    
2  OVER EXPOSED Jul25 Jul04 May20 May07 Mar12 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  JUST LEAVE         (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 8% 12.00    
4  SNICKEL TE Jul25 Jul04       (vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 121 3.50 10% 9.30    
5  MY MEADOW Jul25         (hall monk)MARTIN A 121 4.50 ★    
 
ARP-4   08/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEJA CREW Jul19 Jul05 Jun11 Jun03 May27 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 ★    
2  WAR EAGLE'S RETURN Jun10 May21 May07     (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  ALL SHACKED UP Jul12 Jun10 May20 May13 Apr22 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  LIGHT BOUND BID Jul26 Jun17 Jun10 May21 May07 (muckey john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 ★    
5  PICKELJUICE Jul12 Jun18 May28 May21 Mar05 (burns dale)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
6  THE GREATEST EAGLE Jul11 Jun18 May28 May06 Apr02 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00    
7  FELON (IRE) Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 Jun10 Jun03 (hancock david)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 ★    
 
ARP-5   08/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIVERHERTIMBERS Jul11 Jun03 May21     (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 15.00    
2  SPELL WINDER Jul25 Jul11 May21 Apr15 Mar18 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  GIVE EM FITZ Jul04         (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 121 20.00 7% 13.40    
4  DONNAS FINAL WORD Jul03 Jun11 May29 May21 May01 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.50 ★    
5  BIND ME UP Jul25 Jul10 Jul02 May28 May14 (mitchell ste)BETHKE A 124 4.50 ★    
6  EPSOM IMP Jul25 Jul19 Jul04     (jenkins l)WALES T 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
7  OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL Jul11 Jun18 Jun12 May30 May13 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 6.00    
 
ARP-6   08/09/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. WHITE Jul26 Jul12 Feb19     (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
2  LEIGHTON KENTUCKY Jun25 Jun18 Jun12 Jun04 Apr22 (ecoffey gilbe)CARLSON JAYCE 119 15.00 ★    
3  BETA CAPO SONG Aug02 Jun19 Jun04 May20 Apr03 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 8% 12.10    
4  SOUTHERN MOJO Jun19 May20 May01 Apr23 Apr03 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  OUT OF THE SKY Aug02 Jul18 Apr08 Mar16 Feb15 (jenkins reed)MARTIN A 116 4.50 7% 13.80    
6  MAXIMUS THE GREAT Aug02 Jul03 Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 121 12.00    
7  DAVE Jun19 May20 Apr23 Mar06 Feb20 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
ARP-7   08/09/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHISMOSO Jun24 May30 Apr23 Apr10 Feb26 (dieter dalton)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50    
2  EL DIABLO GRANDE Jul12 Jun18 May27 Apr23 Apr08 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 2.50 ★    
3  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Jul19         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  CHERUBIM Aug01 Jul11 Jun10 May21 Apr09 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  FLOWER BEACH Jul18 Apr12 Mar30 Mar07 Feb17 (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  RINESHAFT Jun03 Apr29 Apr03 Mar10 Jan21 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 9% 10.00    
7  BEHOLD DE FLAME Jul19 Jul05 May07     (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 121 8.00    
8  BRAVE HELIOS Jul18 Jul05 Jun17 Jan18   (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00    
 
ARP-8   08/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANKY LOU         (marquez jose )FACKLER CHRIS 115 20.00 9% 9.80    
2  SUPER CREATIVE Jul19         (davis rodney)BETHKE A 120 4.50    
3  BIG DADDY DON Aug01 Jul17       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  KNIGHTED Aug01 Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 May20 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 11% 7.90    
5  MORO HOUDINI Jul19 Jul05       (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
6  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Jun25 May02 Apr08 Mar07   (esquibel mark)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 ★    
7  FROG WALKER Mar28 Mar07       (loftin linda)MARTIN A 120 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.