Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   07/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:124     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROADSIDE 1 4 3 33   22 1¾ (kulow mark)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 11% 8.40 0.70 W
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 4 1 1½ 1   12 2¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 3.70 P
CASH CRUZER 7 6 611½ 510   47 3 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 3.50 10.40  
BOLD IMPACT 6 5 5 410   59 414¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 17% 4.80 5.90  
DEACON BEACON 5 2 2½ 2   35 515½ (young a)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 43.00  
DADDY JACK 3 7 715½ 715½   617 622¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 12% 7.30 17.90  
GABBY TOM 2 3 45 610½   737 7100 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 34% 2.00 5.80  
 
ARP-2   07/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY ROGUE 6 1 1 12   13 1 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 6.00 4.70  
SCOOTER'S BOY 1 6 610½ 68   4 2 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 10% 9.50 3.30 P
KNOWYOUROPTIONS 3 2 4 3   23 2 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.80 P
COWBOY DON 7 5 5 54   36 46 (mcdonald j)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 20% 4.00 8.50  
THE GREATEST EAGLE 2 7 711 710   611½ 517¾ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 51.50  
LADDIE BOY 5 4 32 4   712 626¾ (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 3.00  
DEWEY 4 3 2 22   5 728½ (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 121 3.50 4.00  
 
ARP-3   07/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:124     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERRARI ROAD 5 2 2nk 2½   1 1nk (muckey john)JUDE JOHN 124 3.50 1.60  
PANIC BUTTON 4 4 5 4   3 2nk (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 2.40 P
LOOKING FOR BULL 2 5 44 5   4 3 (rushton stacy)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 1.20 S
I'M LUCKY 3 3 1nk 1½   2 411½ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 12.00 36% 1.80 10.20  
CHERUBIM 1 1 32 3   5 522½ (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 34% 2.00 21.50  
 
ARP-4   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRILINTHEPINES 6 1 1nk 11   13 1 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 22% 3.60 0.40 W
CHIEFTESS 4 5 5 4   4 2 (stivers ryan)JUDE JOHN 124 6.00 24.40 P
ZIPPORAH 1 7 4 32   3 3 (anderson c)RAMOS B 124 10.00 8.50  
TOURIST LIKE ME 3 2 2nk 21   23 48 (shephard john)WALES T 124 4.00 17.10  
HEAVENS PRINCESS 7 3 6 5   6 512½ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50 11.00  
TOP OF THE PODIUM 2 6 7 75   710½ 615¼ (rushton temple)BETHKE A 121 12.00 37.30  
D L'S GIRL 5 4 31 65   5 719¾ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 49% 1.00 3.40  
 
ARP-5   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:214 :451 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN'S BULL 1 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 4.50 3.90  
DRYSPELL 4 3 3 31   2½ 2 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 19% 4.30 2.60 P
WE MISS GENO 3 6 44 43   4 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 8% 11.20 1.80 S
CRIMSON TRACE 6 1 2½ 1nk   3 4 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 8.50  
THREE BALL 2 4 55 54   55 512¼ (roberts m)WALES T 124 3.50 36% 1.80 4.70  
NEXTPORTOFCALL 5 5 66 66   67 614¾ (young a)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00 6.80  
SCR  ISLAND SUN               (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
 
ARP-6   07/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLE'S JOY 6 5 52 2½   1 1 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 5.60  
SPELL WINDER 4 1 3 43   3 2 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 11% 8.10 7.80 P
LIL MISS DE BUY 8 8 4 31   4 3 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 22% 3.60 3.70 S
SWANKY (GB) 7 4 1½ 1½   2 49 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 3.50  
OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL 1 3 2½ 5   5 5 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 4.50 19% 4.20 14.80  
SHIVERHERTIMBERS 3 7 8 64   68 610 (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 7.80  
GARNETS GAL 5 6 6 7   710 713½ (parsons riley)WALES T 121 12.00 6.80  
FLAN 2 2 7 8   811 814¼ (ness john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 23% 3.30 3.20  
 
ARP-7   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS A TIZ 5 1 12 12   12 1½ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 10% 9.00 2.30 W
GOODNIGHTLOVING 3 6 44 54   3 2½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 46% 1.20 2.20 P
NEON DREAMS 2 3 54 44   4 3 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 10% 8.70 3.90 S
SWEET TATUM 1 4 22 22   22 44 (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 3.50 4.90  
REMARKABLE CHARM 4 5 66 68   610½ 511¾ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 3.60  
J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY 6 2 33 33   5 612¾ (shephard john)BETHKE A 124 10.00 23.80  
 
ARP-8   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:214 :443 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST ALTERNATE 1 2 2½ 22   2½ 1½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 54% 0.90 1.10 W
TRACK SMART 2 1 1½ 12   1½ 2½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 2.10 P
MISS IMPORTANT 4 3 43 47   3 33 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 2.50 13% 6.60 1.50 S
D'WILD MUFFIN 3 4 31 34   4 410½ (hibdon n)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
SCR  PRANKED               (parsons riley)WALES T 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.