The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - July 05, 2022

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ARP-2   07/05/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:241 :472 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD IMAGE 1 1 31 31   12 1¾ (rushton temple)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 8.00 7% 12.40 0.70 W
BUD MINISTER 4 5 43 4   22 2¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 6.00 6.10 P
CREASY 2 3 1nk 1nk   34 3(chavez juan)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 15.50  
IMPUTED 5 2 2nk 2nk   4413¾ (alire randy)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 2.70  
TAP A MIRACLE 3 4 59 511½   515½ 531¾ (ness john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 19% 4.20 4.00  
SCR  GRAN EDITION               (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
SCR  NEW GOSPEL               (ecoffey w)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
ARP-3   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:231 :47 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL RISE UP 7 1 1½ 1½   11¾ (chavez juan)WALES T 120 10.00 4.90  
BULL RING 5 6 65 69   52¾ (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 2.50 29% 2.40 2.50 P
OUR HALF FIRST 3 2 31 4   43(jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 27% 2.80 4.70 S
MORO HOUDINI 2 3 2½ 3   34(hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9% 10.30 4.80  
BENTLEY 1 4 42 56   657 (ness john)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 5.90  
LEFT BEHIND 6 5 52 2½   26(mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 15.00 3.70  
MORO BLACK BOOK 4 7 78 712   718½ 722 (hibdon n)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 10% 9.30 10.60  
 
ARP-4   07/05/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:22 :452       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUGAR COUNTRY 3 3 22 23   2½ 1¼ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 64% 0.60 1.30 W
GEE WHIZ WHO 4 5 44 36   32¼ (rushton temple)WALES T 124 2.50 2.90 P
GOLD LABEL 2 4 57 59   431 (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 6.00 2.30 S
GONE PARADISE 7 1 12 13   1½ 4(hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
THORNISH 5 7 711½ 713½   75(anderson c)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00 18.70  
SLICK IT UP 6 2 33 48   56(ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 15.00 17.00  
GAME DAY DECISION 1 6 6 613   6711½ (ness john)BETHKE A 124 10.00 25.10  
 
ARP-5   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:224 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLAWAY 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1(chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 121 15.00 5.00  
DOWNTOWN BROWN 3 5 2½ 2½   2½ 2(mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5.60  
LAST CALL LEROY 6 3 31 53   3311 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 10% 8.70 7.30 S
CIRCLE BACK 7 1 41 4   44 411½ (long vaughn)WALES T 124 2.50 1.40  
FEISTY BIRD 5 6 5 3   5514 (ecoffey w)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.00  
OTHER THAN THAT 2 7 714½ 718   715½ 626¼ (rushton temple)BETHKE A 121 12.00 11% 8.50 23.60  
SHKEURTAILFEATHERS 4 4 6 68   610½ 730½ (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 121 20.00 44.30  
SCR  ARCH'S WILD               (jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
ARP-6   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:214 :451 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTOPILOT 1 5 44 44   31¼ (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00 2.30  
PREACHER 6 1 1 12   12¼ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 2.50 8% 12.20 2.10 P
MOST AMUSING 3 3 2 22   23(anderson c)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 4.50 48% 1.10 2.60 S
BIG BIZ 5 2 32 33   44(coughlin chris)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 5.80  
WEST COAST BROKER 4 6 6 69   5512¾ (ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 38.10  
TIGER THE MAN 2 4 5 57   6616½ (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 16% 5.40 4.70  
 
ARP-7   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:222 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE TWISTED STEEL 5 1 2½ 1½   12 1(ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 121 10.00 33.80  
SEELEY 6 7 89 6   44 2(mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 25.40 P
OPTIMAL 7 3 3 3½   22 3(rushton temple)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 2.90 S
ROCKETRINGO 2 2 1½ 2½   3410 (ness john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 5.10  
BEHOLD DE FLAME 1 8 53 4   56 511¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50 1.80  
PAPA CABALLERO 4 6 65 8   8612¼ (roberts m)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 20% 4.10 6.40  
DEJA CREW 3 5 4 7   6712¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30 9.50  
BRAVE HELIOS 8 4 76 54   7814¾ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 4.80  
 
ARP-8   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:222 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT NATION 8 7 7 54   2½ 1¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 42% 1.40 1.60 W
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 2 5 6 33   1½ 2¾ (oliver kim)LUARK T 121 2.50 15% 5.60 1.60 P
DRYSPELL 1 3 1nk 11   31 3(hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 28.40  
TOMBI 6 8 8 6   54(rushton temple)BETHKE A 121 4.50 13.00  
BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 4 4 3.2 21   45(parsons riley)WALES T 124 10.00 9% 10.70 8.00  
KITTEN'S BULL 5 1 2nk 4   66 610¾ (chavez juan)JUDE JOHN 121 20.00 34.10  
WILLY B 3 6 5 7   79 716 (vicchrilli russell)MANRRIQUE JOSE 117 15.00 5.30  
MAGICAL STAR 7 2 4¼ 812½   819 834¾ (gerke cimmaron)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 12% 7.50 12.50  
SCR  DEL ARGENT               (alire randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.