Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - July 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   07/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD IMAGE May14 Apr10 Mar13 Feb26   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  CREASY May14         (chavez jua)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
SCR  NEW GOSPEL Jun26 Jun12 May23     (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  GRAN EDITION Apr23         (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00    
5  TAP A MIRACLE Apr30 Apr23 Apr02 Feb19   (ness john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  BUD MINISTER May21 May14 Apr23 Apr10 Mar26 (hibdon mark )RAMOS A 124 6.00 ★    
7  IMPUTED Apr03 Feb22 Jan29 Jan11   (alire randy)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 ★    
 
ARP-3   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENTLEY Jun07 May14 Apr23 Feb27   (ness john)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
2  MORO HOUDINI         (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
3  OUR HALF FIRST Jun17 May27       (jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  MORO BLACK BOOK         (hibdon n)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
5  BULL RING May20 May09 May03 Apr13 Mar16 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  LEFT BEHIND Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 15.00    
7  ALL RISE UP         (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 ★    
 
ARP-4   07/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME DAY DECISION Jun17 May27 Apr23 Apr03 Feb27 (ness john)BETHKE A 124 10.00 ★    
2  GOLD LABEL Mar19 Feb26       (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 6.00 ★    
3  COUGAR COUNTRY Jan20         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 64% 0.60    
4  GEE WHIZ WHO May14 Apr22 Apr03     (rushton temple)WALES T 124 2.50 ★    
5  THORNISH May14 Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Mar05 (anderson davi)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
6  SLICK IT UP Jun17 May29 May20 May01 Apr03 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
7  GONE PARADISE May06 Apr22 Mar06 Feb25   (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLAWAY Mar06 Feb19       (chavez juan)HERRERA HUGO 121 15.00 ★    
2  OTHER THAN THAT May13 Apr15 Apr01     (rushton temp)BETHKE A 121 12.00 11% 8.50    
3  DOWNTOWN BROWN May20 Apr16 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
4  SHKEURTAILFEATHERS         (pokorny fost)MARTIN A 121 20.00    
5  FEISTY BIRD Jun25 Jun10 May15 Apr30 Mar26 (ecoffey gilb)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  ARCH'S WILD Jun12 May28 May13     (jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
7  LAST CALL LEROY Mar19 Mar04       (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
8  CIRCLE BACK May15 May07 Apr09 Mar06 Feb12 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 2.50    
 
ARP-6   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTOPILOT May28 May13 Apr30 Mar22 Jan16 (martinez a)WALES T 124 6.00 ★    
2  TIGER THE MAN Jun10 May14 Apr30 Mar26 Feb26 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  MOST AMUSING May14 May06 Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 (anderson davi)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  WEST COAST BROKER Jun17 May30 May21 May07 Apr10 (ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
5  BIG BIZ Jun10 May14 May01 Apr09 Mar19 (coughlin chris)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 ★    
6  PREACHER May14 May01 Apr16 Mar26 Mar19 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 2.50 8% 12.20    
 
ARP-7   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHOLD DE FLAME May07         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
2  ROCKETRINGO Jun10 May21 Apr16 Apr03 Feb20 (ness john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 ★    
3  DEJA CREW Jun11 Jun03 May27 May07 Apr29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  PAPA CABALLERO Jun17 Jun11 May27 Apr29 Mar26 (roberts brian )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
5  BLUE TWISTED STEEL Jun11 May14       (ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 121 10.00    
6  SEELEY Jun17 Jun03 May14 Apr16 Apr02 (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  OPTIMAL May01 Apr16 Mar26 Feb26   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRAVE HELIOS Jun17 Jan18       (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
 
ARP-8   07/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRYSPELL May21 Apr30 Apr16 Apr09 Mar19 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
2  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Jun12 May02 Apr13 Mar07 Jan25 (oliver kim)LUARK T 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
3  WILLY B         (vicchrilli ru)CARDOSO DAVID 117 15.00    
SCR  DEL ARGENT May28 May08 Apr30 Apr24   (alire ran)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
5  BEE EXXTRAVAGANT         (parsons riley)WALES T 124 10.00 9% 10.70    
6  KITTEN'S BULL         (chavez juan)JUDE JOHN 121 20.00    
7  TOMBI May14 Apr23 Mar19     (rushton temp)BETHKE A 121 4.50 ★    
8  MAGICAL STAR         (gerke cimmaron)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
9  WILDCAT NATION May06 Apr16 Apr08 Mar12 Feb27 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.