Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:001     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK A LANE FRANK 1 4 5 4   12 1 (christian bill)MARTIN A 120 1.00 27% 2.70 0.20 W
BULL RING 6 1 4 1nk   22 2 (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 3.50 24% 3.10 5.00 P
LEVEL 5 7 6 53   45 313 (thompson grady)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 20% 3.90 11.70 S
BENTLEY 7 3 2nk 7   5 413 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 28.00  
OUR HALF FIRST 2 5 7 64   6 515½ (jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 23.80  
MORO HOUDINI 4 2 3.2 2nk   34 617½ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50 13.60  
SUPER CREATIVE 3 6 1nk 31   76 721¾ (davis j)JUDE JOHN 120 15.00 5% 18.70 42.50  
 
ARP-3   07/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :462       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEJA CREW 1 2 24     21 1 (haar j)WALES T 124 12.00 7.80  
EPSOM IMP 3 4 4     3 2 (jenkins l)HERRERA HUGO 116 8.00 5.40  
LONE SHOTGUN RIDER 6 1 14     11 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 33% 2.00 1.50 S
BEHOLD DE FLAME 2 5 610½     5 4 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 6.00 2.20  
CREAKY CRICKET 5 3 35     4 5 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
T. P. RIGHT LANE 4 6 5     66 6 (rushton temple)BETHKE A 119 4.50 22% 3.60 7.30  
SCR  RINESHAFT               (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
ARP-4   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN BROWN 1 5 64 6   3 1½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.10 W
CIRCLE BACK 6 1 2nk 2nk   1 2½ (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 3.30 P
UNCLE TAP 7 2 1nk 1nk   2 3 (haar j)BETHKE A 124 6.00 21% 3.90 15.90 S
LAST CALL LEROY 3 6 5 4   4 4 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 18% 4.50 4.70  
JUST WING IT 5 3 42 3   5 513¾ (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00 12.20  
ROYAL OUTLAW 2 4 3 5   6 617¼ (anderson david )CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 3.50  
SHKEURTAILFEATHERS 4 7 712 713¼   720½ 744¼ (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 121 20.00 66.60  
 
ARP-5   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE WHIZ WHO 4 1 4 4   22 1nk (rushton temple)WALES T 124 4.50 2.40  
ITS A DEAL 2 3 11 1   12 2nk (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 29% 2.40 2.60 P
GOLD LABEL 6 2 3 3   3 3.2 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 3.60  
BIG BIZ 1 5 5 56   44 4 (coughlin chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 5.10  
OAKES CROSSING 5 4 21 2   55 510 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 21% 3.70 4.20  
BURGAMEISTER 3 6 6 69   68 618½ (haar j)BETHKE A 124 10.00 20% 4.10 8.70  
 
ARP-6   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:214 :451 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNTING 4 6 4 21   1 12 (rushton temple)BETHKE A 119 3.50 38% 1.60 3.80 W
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST 2 5 54 5   43 22 (oliver kim)LUARK T 121 2.50 33% 2.00 1.00 P
DIVINE TASK 6 2 31 31   2 3 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 15.00 2.70 S
GRAYDAR'S DREAM 5 1 2½ 4   3 47 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 10.00 10.00  
DRYSPELL 3 3 1½ 11   5 5 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
STREET N SOUR 1 4 64 6   6 612¾ (thompson grady)JUDE JOHN 120 4.50 9.40  
 
ARP-7   07/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN EDITION 3 2 4 3   12 112 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 4.50  
UNSOLVED 5 3 1 14   22 212 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 42% 1.40 9.80 P
BUD MINISTER 2 1 33 4   3 313 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 2.50 17% 5.00 3.30 S
TIMED EVENT 1 4 2 24   4 416½ (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 9% 10.40 0.50  
CREASY 4 6 510½ 511½   5 523¼ (chavez juan)GONZALEZ V 124 6.00 23.80  
TAP A MIRACLE 6 5 611 613½   610 632¼ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 19.40  
 
ARP-8   07/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 5 1 2 2   21 1nk (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.00 56% 0.80 1.70 W
STEPHEN'S ANSWER 1 2 1 1   11 2nk (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 13% 6.50 8.90 P
HIGHTAILING 2 4 3 3   33 3 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 119 4.50 7.20 S
HOLD TIGHT 4 3 43 43   44 4 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 0.70  
TUFF WILLY TE 3 5 56 56   57 59 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 10.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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