Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK A LANE FRANK Jul03 May03 Apr04     (christian bill)MARTIN A 120 1.00 27% 2.70    
OUR HALF FIRST Jul05 Jun17 May27     (jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
SUPER CREATIVE         (davis j)JUDE JOHN 120 15.00 5% 18.70    
MORO HOUDINI Jul05         (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
LEVEL Jun18 May23 Apr09 Mar05   (thompson grady)HERRERA HUGO 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
BULL RING Jul05 May20 May09 May03 Apr13 (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
BENTLEY Jul05 Jun07 May14 Apr23 Feb27 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
 
ARP-3   07/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEJA CREW Jul05 Jun11 Jun03 May27 May07 (haar j)WALES T 124 12.00    
BEHOLD DE FLAME Jul05 May07       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 6.00    
EPSOM IMP Jul04         (jenkins l)HERRERA HUGO 116 8.00    
T. P. RIGHT LANE Jul04 Apr23 Mar19     (rushton temple)BETHKE A 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  RINESHAFT Jun03 Apr29 Apr03 Mar10 Jan21 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
CREAKY CRICKET Apr10 Feb25       (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LONE SHOTGUN RIDER         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
ARP-4   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN BROWN Jul05 May20 Apr16 Mar19 Mar05 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
ROYAL OUTLAW May13 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar11 (anderson david )CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00    
LAST CALL LEROY Jul05 Mar19 Mar04     (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
SHKEURTAILFEATHERS Jul05         (pokorny foster)MARTIN A 121 20.00    
JUST WING IT May13 May01 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00    
CIRCLE BACK Jul05 May15 May07 Apr09 Mar06 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50    
UNCLE TAP Jun12 May21 May14 Apr09 Mar26 (haar j)BETHKE A 124 6.00 21% 3.90    
 
ARP-5   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BIZ Jul05 Jun10 May14 May01 Apr09 (coughlin chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
ITS A DEAL May30 May14 Apr23 Apr08 Mar11 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
BURGAMEISTER Jun18 May29 Apr30 Apr15 Mar26 (haar j)BETHKE A 124 10.00 20% 4.10    
GEE WHIZ WHO Jul05 May14 Apr22 Apr03   (rushton temple)WALES T 124 4.50    
OAKES CROSSING May28 May20 Apr30 Apr24   (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
GOLD LABEL Jul05 Mar19 Feb26     (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-6   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET N SOUR Jul03 Jun17 May28 May13 Apr29 (thompson grady)JUDE JOHN 120 4.50    
ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Jul05 Jun12 May02 Apr13 Mar07 (oliver kim)LUARK T 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
DRYSPELL Jul11 Jul05 May21 Apr30 Apr16 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
STUNTING Apr16 Mar05       (rushton temple)BETHKE A 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
GRAYDAR'S DREAM Jun27 May23 Apr19 Apr07 Mar24 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 10.00    
DIVINE TASK         (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 15.00    
 
ARP-7   07/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMED EVENT Jul04 May15 Mar18 Mar04 Jan30 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
BUD MINISTER Jul05 May21 May14 Apr23 Apr10 (hibdon n)RAMOS A 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
GRAN EDITION Apr23         (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00    
CREASY Jul05 May14       (chavez juan)GONZALEZ V 124 6.00    
UNSOLVED Jun18 Jun11 May14 Apr16 Apr02 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
TAP A MIRACLE Jul05 Apr30 Apr23 Apr02 Feb19 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00    
 
ARP-8   07/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHEN'S ANSWER Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar06 Feb12 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
HIGHTAILING Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 Apr15 Feb25 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 119 4.50    
TUFF WILLY TE Jul04         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
HOLD TIGHT Jun11 Apr30 Apr09     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
MAIUS Jul04         (martinez a)WALES T 121 2.00 56% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.