Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA'S DIVA 2 2 4 3   31 1nk (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 51% 1.00 5.30 W
ATOKA GIRL 4 3 2½ 2½   1nk 2nk (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 2.50 3.80 P
LA ROSA DRIVE 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 31 (childs russell )CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 0.40 S
STREETTALKINHOTTIE 1 4 52 5   46 414¼ (ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 7.90  
MISS ELLIE'S GIRL 5 5 31 42   58 519 (jondle mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 17% 4.80 10.40  
 
ARP-4   07/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK WITH SEVEN 1 8 6 6   41 1 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
EL DIABLO GRANDE 7 1 2½ 21   2½ 2 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 3.50 19% 4.20 1.90 P
ALL SHACKED UP 2 3 1½ 11   1½ 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 8% 11.90 7.40 S
MR. WHITE 5 5 5 43   5 44 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 18.60  
BEAU GOSSE 4 4 4 54   31 5 (thompson grady)JUDE JOHN 124 6.00 11.00  
WILD FIREMAKER 8 2 31 3   6 6 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 2.00 27% 2.60 4.60  
FELON (IRE) 6 6 77 7   7 712¼ (hancock l)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 30.50  
PICKELJUICE 3 7 89 8   8 813 (burns dale)BETHKE A 124 10.00 12.50  
 
ARP-5   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD NOTE 2 3 511 58 4 22 1 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 1.70  
THETRASHMANSCOMING 5 5 3 23 21 12 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.10 P
WATER PATROL 4 4 26 35 34 3 310¼ (haar j)WALES T 124 3.50 18% 4.40 6.40 S
ASTUTE WARRIOR 3 2 49 4 5 510½ 419¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 7% 14.20 4.20  
MASTERPIECE DAY 1 1 16 13 11 4 527¼ (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 4.50 2.30  
 
ARP-6   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :452 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERVASIVE 3 3 2½ 2nk   2 1½ (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 3.50 42% 1.40 2.60 W
WHERE'S FREDDIE 4 1 1½ 1nk   1 2½ (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 25% 3.00 2.10 P
OTHER THAN THAT 1 5 5 410   46 3 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 1.80 S
BE ALL EARS 5 2 32 32   33 45 (long vaughn)WALES T 121 12.00 5.30  
LET IT RIP 2 4 4 510½   5 5 (luark jennifer)LUARK T 124 4.50 6.30  
SCR  BULLAWAY               ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-7   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO GIFTED 4 1 12 11   14 1 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 6.00 1.40  
CRUZ'N OLLIE 3 5 33 32   24 2 (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 2.50 3.60 P
BUMPER POOL 2 4 56 5   49 315¾ (coughlin chris)RAMOS B 120 3.50 3.00 S
RUN FOR MATTY 5 6 6 67   612½ 418¾ (ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 121 4.50 64% 0.60 10.90  
BARLOWS PRIDE 6 2 46 4   510½ 519¼ (parsons riley)BETHKE A 117 8.00 9.10  
BURBACH 1 3 22 21   37 620¼ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 4.50  
 
ARP-8   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILA RITA 1 4 3 21   1nk 1 (loftin linda)JUDE JOHN 121 12.00 3.20  
KELLEY'S MANDATE 2 1 1½ 11   2nk 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 0.70 P
RIVER CHARMER 4 3 4 411½   415 317¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 22% 3.60 3.50 S
TRICKY LEX 5 2 2½ 3   310 418½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 21% 3.80 5.00  
TYLERS ANGEL WINGS 3 5 58 515½   520 530¾ (pokorny)FONSECA-SOTO FERNANDO 124 20.00 15.30  
SCR  CRIMSON T.               (young a)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  KISS OF CRAN               (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50    
SCR  KISSA DONNA DE BUY               (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00    
SCR  LANKY LOU               (marquez le)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.