Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE FOR THREE 2 4 5 34   21 1½ (parsons riley)WALES T 120 3.50 9% 10.20 1.90 W
WALKIN TALKIN BOB 3 1 11 2nk   11 2½ (gerke cimmaron)RAMOS B 120 2.50 20% 4.00 0.80 P
BIG DADDY DON 1 5 66 57   4 3 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 50% 1.00 4.40 S
DOCS CARO CAT 6 3 21 1nk   3 410½ (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00 13.20  
ITS YOUR THING 4 2 3 68   613 545¼ (chavez juan)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 14.20  
BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 5 6 44 46   511½ 651 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00 25.20  
 
ARP-4   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:114     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBAS DIXIE 6 1 31 3   2½ 1nk (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 2.00  
PODEROSO EQUS 2 7 1nk 2   1½ 2nk (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 3.60 P
JIMBO'S BIZ 4 2 6 64   31 3.15 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80 3.20 S
JU JU GUY 1 6 2nk 43   43 44 (childs russell )CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 16.00  
SILVER MAKER 7 3 4 5   6 5 (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 43% 1.30 2.40  
BREAKIN DAYLIGHT 3 4 7 76   75 612 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
WEST COAST BROKER 5 5 52 1   5 712 (ibanez alberto)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 22.30  
 
ARP-5   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD SAINT 5 2 1½ 11   1½ 1¾ (hall monk)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 32% 2.10 0.50 W
LUNA ROSE 6 1 2½ 21   2½ 2¾ (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 120 2.50 38% 1.70 3.30 P
O'LORDY LORD 1 3 3 31   3½ 32 (hudson raina)RAMOS B 124 12.00 9% 10.40 4.00 S
KISSA DONNA DE BUY 4 5 56 511   510¾ 420¾ (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 6.00 21.50  
PLAYAS GEMELAS 2 6 610 612½   611¾ 523½ (gerke cimmaron)HAAR NATHAN 120 15.00 21.20  
PERFECT LILCHARLIE 3 4 43 45   410½ 625 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 20.00 18.20  
 
ARP-6   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE FLORENCE 2 5 22 11   12 1 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 18% 4.40 0.70 W
AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH 5 1 4 4   22 2 (shipp michael)WALES T 121 4.50 17% 4.90 3.00 P
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 4 2 3 32   32 3 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 43% 1.30 2.10 S
AMBER WAVES 3 3 56 5   5 412½ (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 15.00 16.70  
HANNAH'S STORM 1 4 12 21   44 518 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 15.50  
SCR  AIR WALKER               (shephard john)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKY LEE 2 3 45 3   32 1½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 1.00 46% 1.20 0.30 W
TOMBI 4 2 2½ 2   21 2½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 3.50 6.70  
BEE EXXTRAVAGANT 3 1 1½ 1   11 3 (parsons riley)WALES T 124 4.50 6.30 S
DEL ARGENT 6 4 3 44   46 413½ (alire r)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 9% 9.80 16.00  
PRAIRIE SQUALL 1 6 68 510   5 515 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 7.70  
IMPUTED 5 5 5 610   6 617½ (alire randy)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 8% 11.30 22.60  
 
ARP-8   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO CLASSIC 2 2 4 42   1½ 1 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 122 2.50 3.60  
AMERICAN REALITY 7 4 22 1½   2½ 2 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00 19.40 P
PROMPTLY DONE 4 6 7 6   6 38 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 6.10 S
POETIC PURSUIT 6 1 5 5   3 4 (martinez a)WALES T 122 3.50 17% 5.10 4.30  
QUEENSCABALLO 1 5 6 77   54 5 (anderson c)RAMOS B 122 4.50 54% 0.90 1.20  
FLO TIME 5 7 32 32   7 614¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 122 12.00 5.80  
POW POW 3 3 12 2½   44 718 (mcdonald j)JUDE JOHN 122 15.00 14.80  
SCR  LANKY LOU               (marquez l)MARTIN A 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.