Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:23 :462       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA STEPHEN 1 3 11½ 11   1½ 1¾ (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 ★ 0.10  
2  MO SUMMER 2 2 21½ 21   2½ 2¾ (anderson david)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 25% 2.90 9.00 P
4  RAMOS 4 5 55 55½   36½ 314¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 22% 3.60 4.30 S
5  MIDNIGHT GHOST 5 1 43 44   47 422½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 117 10.00 ★ 19.00  
3  DESERT PEPPER 3 4 33 34   57½ 533¾ (marquez jose )FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 15% 5.50 14.70  
 
ARP-3   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BAD BOY BILL 2 7 1nk 11½   11 14¼ (gleason tyro)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 3.50 3.00  
7  CASH CRUZER 7 3 31½ 21½   21 24¼ (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50 31% 2.20 7.70 P
1  SWAY BACK WHEN 1 6 98¾ 87   44½ 37¾ (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 8% 12.00 4.10 S
8  OUR HALF FIRST 8 4 88½ 77   65½ 49 (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 18% 4.70 5.00  
6  CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 6 2 63½ 55½   55 512¼ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 4.50 6% 15.90 1.60  
3  BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 3 5 53 43½   34 613¾ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 117 20.00 34.80  
4  MORO BLACK BOOK 4 8 76½ 97¼   76 714¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 38.00  
9  TANDEM DRIVE 9 1 2nk 33   87½ 817½ (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 55.00  
5  BEHOLD DE SPRING 5 9 42 66   99½ 919¾ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 10.00 14% 6.00 13.80  
 
ARP-4   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 4 1 31 1nk   11 1¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
6  D L'S GIRL 6 4 43 42¼   31½ 2¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 8% 11.50 7.00 P
2  JUST LUCK 2 5 54½ 52¾   41½ 3¼ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00 1.50 S
5  GOLD PASS 5 6 66½ 64¾   64¾ 44 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.00 ★ 6.50  
3  TOURIST LIKE ME 3 2 21 3.2   51¾ 56¾ (shephard john)WALES T 124 4.50 23.50  
1  CHIEFTESS 1 3 11 2nk   21 67½ (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 124 8.00 ★ 15.00  
 
ARP-5   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MACHOS VISION 3 2 53½ 32½   31½ 11¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★ 3.30  
4  OUT OF THE SKY 4 1 11½ 11   11 21¼ (jenkins l)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 63% 0.60 1.00 P
6  DONNAS FINAL WORD 6 4 21½ 21   21 31¾ (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 121 8.00 3.00  
2  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH 2 3 32½ 54   54 47 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 11% 8.20 12.00  
5  HEY ROXY 5 5 43½ 43½   43½ 510½ (williams ste)BETHKE A 124 2.50 ★ 7.80  
1  AL'S PRINCESS 1 6 67½ 66   610 617½ (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 ★ 11.30  
 
ARP-6   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  J P'S WEST ACRES 8 3 2nk 1½   14 17 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 16% 5.30 5.60 W
7  DOX BIZ 6 2 1nk 31½   35 27 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 ★ 24.10 P
1  DEACON BEACON 1 4 3.2 2½   24 39½ (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 18.40  
2  DOCS CARO CAT 2 5 52¾ 54   56½ 410¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 ★ 14.70  
8  BENTLEY 7 6 76¾ 68   68 510¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.50 18% 4.50 3.10  
6  ITS YOUR THING 5 1 41¼ 43   46 610¾ (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 20.00 14.20  
5  BULL RING 4 7 89¾ 812   712 715¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 43% 1.30 0.60  
3  GREAT AWAKENING 3 8 66¾ 79   815 843½ (hibdon mark )MARTIN A 120 10.00 69.10  
SCR  MORO HOUDINI               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
 
ARP-7   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 2 1 2nk 21   1nk 1½ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 45% 1.20 4.30 W
4  GOLD LABEL 3 3 31 32   3½ 2½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★ 3.20 P
6  PREACHER 5 2 1nk 11   2nk 31 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 15% 5.80 0.80 S
5  COWBOY DON 4 5 55½ 42½   41 41½ (mcdonald willi)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 ★ 5.90  
1  SCOOTER'S BOY 1 4 45 52½   52½ 57 (anderson c)WALES T 124 8.00 12% 7.30 7.00  
SCR  BUMPER POOL               (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 20.00    
 
ARP-8   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL 8 2 21½ 21   1nk 1¾ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 4.50 6.70  
6  RYRYSWEETIE 6 5 96¾ 75½   93 2¾ (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 16.60  
7  DABBLIN CHANNEL 7 6 64 64   41¼ 3¾ (mitchell ste)MARTIN A 124 2.50 10% 9.10 4.30 S
5  MISS OCEAN EXPRESS 5 7 118¾ 85¾   72¼ 42 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 35% 1.90 2.30  
4  THAT'S ALL RIGHT 4 1 11½ 11   2nk 53¼ (mitchell ste)BETHKE A 124 12.00 3.60  
3  SOJOURNER TRUTH 3 11 107¼ 96¼   82½ 63¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 25.10  
11  IZE DISCREET ROSE 11 3 32½ 42   31 74 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 8.00 5% 18.60 6.80  
2  J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY 2 4 42½ 54   51¾ 85½ (shephard john)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 27.60  
9  MILLI STARR 9 9 53 31½   61¾ 96¾ (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00 16.40  
1  JUST LEAVE 1 10 76 106¼   105 1011¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 19% 4.40 13.00  
10  MISS ELLIE'S GIRL 10 8 86½ 117¼   117 1112¾ (mcdonald willi)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 47.20  
SCR  POLLY WAR CRY               (dieter dalto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-9   08/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:11     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STUNTING 4 4 1nk 1½   11½ 11¼ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 17.70 1.50 W
8  INTO CLASSIC 6 1 62¾ 42½   21½ 21¼ (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00 3.50  
7  GOODNIGHTLOVING 5 6 52¾ 63½   32½ 31½ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 22% 3.60 6.60 S
5  INAGOODWAY 3 3 2nk 31   53½ 46¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 41.80  
3  AMERICAN REALITY 1 2 3½ 2½   43 511¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.80  
4  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 2 5 42½ 53   65½ 612½ (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 4.50 ★ 3.70  
SCR  ALWAYS A TIZ               (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT               (christian billy)WALES T 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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