Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:23 :462       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA STEPHEN 1 3 1 11   1½ 1¾ (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 0.10  
MO SUMMER 2 2 2 21   2½ 2¾ (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 120 3.50 25% 2.90 9.00 P
RAMOS 4 5 55 5   3 314¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 22% 3.60 4.30 S
MIDNIGHT GHOST 5 1 43 44   47 422½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 117 10.00 19.00  
DESERT PEPPER 3 4 33 34   5 533¾ (marquez le)FACKLER CHRIS 120 15.00 15% 5.50 14.70  
 
ARP-3   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BOY BILL 2 7 1nk 1   11 1 (gleason tyrone)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 3.50 3.00  
CASH CRUZER 7 3 3 2   21 2 (long vaughn)WALES T 120 2.50 31% 2.20 7.70 P
SWAY BACK WHEN 1 6 9 87   4 3 (hudson raina)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 8% 12.00 4.10 S
OUR HALF FIRST 8 4 8 77   6 49 (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 18% 4.70 5.00  
CHARLIE'S NO SAINT 6 2 6 5   55 512¼ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 120 4.50 6% 15.90 1.60  
BEHOLD HWY FIFTY 3 5 53 4   34 613¾ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 117 20.00 34.80  
MORO BLACK BOOK 4 8 7 9   76 714¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 15.00 38.00  
TANDEM DRIVE 9 1 2nk 33   8 817½ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 55.00  
BEHOLD DE SPRING 5 9 42 66   9 919¾ (parsons riley)RAMOS B 124 10.00 14% 6.00 13.80  
 
ARP-4   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 4 1 31 1nk   11 1¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 50% 1.00 1.00 W
D L'S GIRL 6 4 43 4   3 2¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 8% 11.50 7.00 P
JUST LUCK 2 5 5 5   4 3¼ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 20% 4.00 1.50 S
GOLD PASS 5 6 6 6   6 44 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.00 6.50  
TOURIST LIKE ME 3 2 21 3.2   5 5 (shephard john)WALES T 124 4.50 23.50  
CHIEFTESS 1 3 11 2nk   21 6 (stivers ryan)BETHKE A 124 8.00 15.00  
 
ARP-5   08/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHOS VISION 3 2 5 3   3 1 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 3.30  
OUT OF THE SKY 4 1 1 11   11 2 (jenkins l)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 63% 0.60 1.00 P
DONNAS FINAL WORD 6 4 2 21   21 3 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 121 8.00 3.00  
A BUNCH FOR LUNCH 2 3 3 54   54 47 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 6.00 11% 8.20 12.00  
HEY ROXY 5 5 4 4   4 510½ (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 2.50 7.80  
AL'S PRINCESS 1 6 6 66   610 617½ (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 11.30  
 
ARP-6   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J P'S WEST ACRES 8 3 2nk 1½   14 17 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 16% 5.30 5.60 W
DOX BIZ 6 2 1nk 3   35 27 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 24.10 P
DEACON BEACON 1 4 3.2 2½   24 3 (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 18.40  
DOCS CARO CAT 2 5 5 54   5 410¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 8.00 14.70  
BENTLEY 7 6 7 68   68 510¾ (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 2.50 18% 4.50 3.10  
ITS YOUR THING 5 1 4 43   46 610¾ (chavez lupe)LOPEZ P 121 20.00 14.20  
BULL RING 4 7 8 812   712 715¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 43% 1.30 0.60  
GREAT AWAKENING 3 8 6 79   815 843½ (hibdon n)MARTIN A 120 10.00 69.10  
SCR  MORO HOUDINI               (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
 
ARP-7   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 2 1 2nk 21   1nk 1½ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 45% 1.20 4.30 W
GOLD LABEL 3 3 31 32   3½ 2½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 3.20 P
PREACHER 5 2 1nk 11   2nk 31 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 15% 5.80 0.80 S
COWBOY DON 4 5 5 4   41 4 (mcdonald william)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 5.90  
SCOOTER'S BOY 1 4 45 5   5 57 (anderson c)WALES T 124 8.00 12% 7.30 7.00  
SCR  BUMPER POOL               (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 20.00    
 
ARP-8   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHYOUBEAUTIFULDOLL 8 2 2 21   1nk 1¾ (luark jennifer)LUARK T 121 4.50 6.70  
RYRYSWEETIE 6 5 9 7   93 2¾ (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 16.60  
DABBLIN CHANNEL 7 6 64 64   4 3¾ (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 124 2.50 10% 9.10 4.30 S
MISS OCEAN EXPRESS 5 7 11 8   7 42 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 35% 1.90 2.30  
THAT'S ALL RIGHT 4 1 1 11   2nk 5 (mitchell stets)BETHKE A 124 12.00 3.60  
SOJOURNER TRUTH 3 11 10 9   8 6 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 25.10  
11  IZE DISCREET ROSE 11 3 3 42   31 74 (coughlin chris)WALES T 124 8.00 5% 18.60 6.80  
J'S TWOSTEP BEAUTY 2 4 4 54   5 8 (shephard john)HERRERA HUGO 124 10.00 27.60  
MILLI STARR 9 9 53 3   6 9 (ness john)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00 16.40  
JUST LEAVE 1 10 76 10   105 1011¾ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 3.50 19% 4.40 13.00  
10  MISS ELLIE'S GIRL 10 8 8 11   117 1112¾ (mcdonald william)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 47.20  
SCR  POLLY WAR CRY               (dieter dalton)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-9   08/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:11     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNTING 4 4 1nk 1½   1 1 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 17.70 1.50 W
INTO CLASSIC 6 1 6 4   2 2 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00 3.50  
GOODNIGHTLOVING 5 6 5 6   3 3 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00 22% 3.60 6.60 S
INAGOODWAY 3 3 2nk 31   5 4 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00 41.80  
AMERICAN REALITY 1 2 3½ 2½   43 511¾ (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.80  
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 2 5 4 53   6 612½ (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 4.50 3.70  
SCR  ALWAYS A TIZ               (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT               (christian billy)WALES T 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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